Result
0:3
03/12/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 37
- Referee: Sampaio W. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video |
 China | K-Ball |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 2 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 1.84 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (268/337) | 80% (269/336) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 1.84 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 1.96 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (268/337) | 80% (269/336) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (24/46) | 54% (19/35) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (59/94) | 67% (50/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (9/18) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.51 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.96 | 0.43 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.04 | 0.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 56', 0 - 1, Neymar ⚽, Guilherme (A),
- 62', Nene ↓, Rafael Bilu ↑,
- 64', Souza 🟨,
- 65', 0 - 2, Neymar ⚽, Igor Vinicius (A),
- 67', Rodrigo Sam 🟨,
- 72', Marcos Paulo 🟨,
- 73', 0 - 3, Neymar (Penalty Awarded),
- 77', Luan Freitas ↓, Giovanny ↑,
- 77', Barreal A. ↓, Rollheiser B. ↑,
- 77', Diaz L. ↓, Ze Rafael ↑,
- 79', Ze Rafael 🟨,
- 81', Ze Ivaldo ↓, Luan Peres ↑,
- 81', Igor Vinicius ↓, Mayke ↑,
- 83', Neymar ↓, Thaciano ↑,
- 90', Peixoto ↓, Enio ↑,
Chances of winning
Juventude
18.4% | Draw
25.1% | Santos
56.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juventude has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juventude's form might have worsened.Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Santos's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (+13.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juventude, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-17.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Santos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Juventude - Santos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.13 ↑
(2.75) |
3.77 ↑
(3.25) |
1.68 ↓
(2.57) |
5.6%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Juventude - Santos?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Santos (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Santos (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Juventude (4.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Santos will win
(13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Juventude (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Santos (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 16).
- Juventude is Relegated to Serie B Superbet
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, Santos is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Juventude: Angel W.
(Inactive)
Caique Goncalves
(Yellow Cards)
Gilberto
(Muscle Injury)
Lucas Fernandes
(Inactive)
Peixoto
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Santos: Escobar G.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Juventude: Emerson Galego
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventude won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1.2:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Juventude won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Juventude won against Santos?
Juventude has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Santos won against Juventude?
Santos has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Juventude - Santos were as follows:
04.08.2025
Santos
-
Juventude
3:1
10.10.2022
Santos
-
Juventude
4:1
Latest results of Juventude
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Corinthians | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Bahia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 | Bragantino | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | Gremio | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Chapecoense-SC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8:6 | 2 | 5 |
| 10 | Mirassol | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 11 | Flamengo RJ | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
| 13 | Santos | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | Botafogo RJ | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 3 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 | Remo | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6:8 | -2 | 3 |
| 17 | Atletico-MG | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 2 |
| 18 | Internacional | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 | Cruzeiro | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:9 | -5 | 2 |
| 20 | Vasco | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
