Corinthians vs Athletico Paranaense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa do Brasil
Football Copa do Brasil Corinthians - Athletico Paranaense
Result
2:0
10/09/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Betano do Brasil - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globo Internacional TV, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.211.13
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
95
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
23
Passes
85% (452/534)80% (252/315)
Yellow Cards
43
Expected Goals (xG)
1.211.13
xG on target (xGOT)
1.561.12
Total shots
95
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
30
Shots inside the Box
74
Shots outside the Box
21
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
23
Touches in opposition box
1515
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1013
Passes
85% (452/534)80% (252/315)
Long passes
53% (24/45)34% (13/38)
Passes in final third
64% (69/107)65% (56/86)
Crosses
15% (2/13)0% (0/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.720.67
Throw-ins
1621
Fouls
1310
Tackles
64% (9/14)45% (5/11)
Duels won
4536
Clearances
2111
Interceptions
710
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.121.56
Goals prevented
1.12-0.44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 28', Viveros K. 🟨,
  • 39', Angileri F. 🟨,
  • 43', 1 - 0, Garro R. ⚽, Gui Negao (A),
  • 45+1', Depay M. ↓, Vitinho ↑,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Felipinho ↓, Zapelli B. ↑,
  • 46', Ricardo E. ↓, Patrick ↑,
  • 48', Aguirre Tabares J. F. 🟨,
  • 52', Vitinho 🟨,
  • 54', Patrick 🟨,
  • 58', Julimar ↓, Leozinho ↑,
  • 63', 2 - 0, Gui Negao ⚽, Garro R. (A),
  • 64', Gui Negao 🟨,
  • 67', Viveros K. ↓, Renan Peixoto ↑,
  • 73', Matheuzinho 🟨,
  • 74', Benavidez G. (Pen),
  • 77', Gui Negao ↓, Yuri Alberto ↑,
  • 79', Leo Derik ↓, Luiz Fernando ↑,
  • 84', Garro R. ↓, Ryan ↑,
  • 84', Breno Bidon ↓, Charles Rigon ↑,

Chances of winning


Corinthians
51.6%		Draw
29.6%		Athletico Paranaense
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.9% 27.2% 20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6% 26.8% 20.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
    •

    Corinthians - Athletico Paranaense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.84 ↑
    (1.77)    		 3.16 ↓
    (3.37)    		 4.88 ↑
    (4.4)    		 6.4%
    (9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    •
    What is the prediction for Corinthians - Athletico Paranaense?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Corinthians will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Athletico PR will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Corinthians: 50.9% – 95.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Corinthians (votes: 1 - 50%). Athletico PR (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 3.
    • Recent performances by Corinthians have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Athletico PR is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Corinthians may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Corinthians is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Corinthians: Matheuzinho (Muscle Injury) Yuri Alberto (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Athletico PR: Arthur Dias (Inactive) Isaac (Inactive) Leo (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Athletico PR: Raul (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 10 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 28:17. (average 1.4:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Corinthians won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.8:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Corinthians - Athletico Paranaense were as follows:
    27.08.2025 Athletico Paranaense - Corinthians 0:1
    17.10.2024 Corinthians - Athletico Paranaense 5:2
    23.06.2024 Athletico Paranaense - Corinthians 1:1
    01.11.2023 Corinthians - Athletico Paranaense 1:0
    24.06.2023 Athletico Paranaense - Corinthians 1:0
    Latest results of Corinthians
    31.08.2025 Corinthians - Palmeiras 1:1 ✺
    27.08.2025 Athletico Paranaense - Corinthians 0:1 ✺
    24.08.2025 Vasco da Gama - Corinthians 2:3 ✺
    16.08.2025 Corinthians - Bahia 1:2 ✺
    11.08.2025 Juventude - Corinthians 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
    06.09.2025 Botafogo SP - Athletico Paranaense 1:3 ✺
    30.08.2025 Athletico Paranaense - Grêmio Novorizontino 2:1 ✺
    27.08.2025 Athletico Paranaense - Corinthians 0:1 ✺
    23.08.2025 CRB Maceio - Athletico Paranaense 0:1 ✺
    16.08.2025 Athletico Paranaense - Cuiabá 1:1 ✺
    Draw
    2025

    1/64-finals
    1SantosBye
    4ByeCRB
    5CruzeiroBye
    7Inter de LimeiraVila Nova FC0 : 1
    8Rio Branco-VNAmazonas1 : 0
    9Maringa FCJuventude1 : 0
    10Uniao CarmolandenseAmerica RN4 : 2
    11TocantinopolisAtletico-MG0 : 2
    12IndependenciaManaus1 : 2
    13ConcordiaPonte Preta2 : 1
    14PortuguesaBotafogo PB1 : 2
    16ByeFlamengo RJ
    17Operario VGSport Recife1 : 0
    18Rio Branco ESNovorizontino1 : 3
    20ByeCorinthians
    21SergipeCeara0 : 2
    22ParnahybaConfianca0 : 5
    24ByePalmeiras
    25Sao PauloBye
    27MaranhaoVitoria0 : 1
    28Santa Cruz de NatalNautico0 : 4
    29TremBrusque0 : 2
    30OlariaABC1 : 0
    31Pouso AlegreAthletico-PR0 : 2
    32Guarany de BageAE Altos2 : 1
    33Tuna LusoSampaio Correa1 : 0
    34BoavistaCSA0 : 2
    35Sao Raimundo RRGremio1 : 2
    36BarcelonaAthletic Club1 : 2
    37HumaitaOperario-PR0 : 1
    38CSETombense1 : 3
    39Uniao RondonopolisVasco0 : 3
    40Barcelona RONova Iguacu1 : 4
    41Botafogo RJBye
    43Porto VelhoCuiaba1 : 0
    44CapitalPortuguesa RJ1 : 0
    45Operario MSCriciuma0 : 1
    46GASRemo0 : 4
    47SousaBragantino1 : 2
    48OratorioEC Sao Jose1 : 3
    49Aguia De MarabaFluminense0 : 8
    50DouradosSER Caxias0 : 2
    51CascavelAmerica MG1 : 0
    52VotuporanguenseAparecidense2 : 3
    53InternacionalBye
    55CeilandiaCoritiba3 : 2
    56MaracanaFerroviario2 : 1
    57ASAAtletico GO1 : 2
    58JequieRetro1 : 2
    60ByeFortaleza
    61Paysandu PABye
    64ByeBahia

    1/32-finals
    1SantosBye
    2ByeCRB
    3CruzeiroBye
    4Vila Nova FCRio Branco-VN6 : 0
    5Maringa FCUniao Carmolandense4 : 2
    6Atletico-MGManaus4 : 1
    7ConcordiaBotafogo PB0 : 4
    8ByeFlamengo RJ
    9Operario VGNovorizontino0 : 1
    10ByeCorinthians
    11CearaConfianca3 : 2
    12ByePalmeiras
    13Sao PauloBye
    14VitoriaNautico0 : 2
    15BrusqueOlaria2 : 1
    16Athletico-PRGuarany de Bage3 : 1
    17Tuna LusoCSA0 : 5
    18GremioAthletic Club4 : 3
    19Operario-PRTombense1 : 0
    20VascoNova Iguacu3 : 0
    21Botafogo RJBye
    22Porto VelhoCapital1 : 3
    23CriciumaRemo2 : 1
    24BragantinoEC Sao Jose2 : 1
    25FluminenseSER Caxias2 : 1
    26CascavelAparecidense0 : 1
    27InternacionalBye
    28CeilandiaMaracana0 : 1
    29Atletico GORetro1 : 2
    30ByeFortaleza
    31Paysandu PABye
    32ByeBahia

    1/16-finals
    1SantosCRB0 : 1, 1 : 1
    2CruzeiroVila Nova FC3 : 0, 2 : 0
    3Maringa FCAtletico-MG0 : 4, 2 : 2
    4Botafogo PBFlamengo RJ2 : 4, 0 : 1
    5NovorizontinoCorinthians0 : 1, 0 : 1
    6CearaPalmeiras0 : 3, 0 : 1
    7Sao PauloNautico2 : 1, 2 : 1
    8BrusqueAthletico-PR0 : 1, 0 : 0
    9CSAGremio0 : 0, 3 : 2
    10Operario-PRVasco1 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Botafogo RJCapital0 : 1, 4 : 0
    12CriciumaBragantino0 : 6, 1 : 0
    13FluminenseAparecidense4 : 1, 1 : 0
    14InternacionalMaracana3 : 0, 1 : 0
    15RetroFortaleza2 : 1, 1 : 1
    16Paysandu PABahia0 : 4, 0 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1CRBCruzeiro0 : 2, 0 : 0
    2Atletico-MGFlamengo RJ1 : 1, 1 : 0
    3CorinthiansPalmeiras2 : 0, 1 : 0
    4Sao PauloAthletico-PR0 : 2, 2 : 1
    5CSAVasco1 : 3, 0 : 0
    6Botafogo RJBragantino1 : 0, 2 : 0
    7FluminenseInternacional1 : 1, 2 : 1
    8RetroBahia0 : 0, 2 : 3

    Quarter-finals
    1CruzeiroAtletico-MG2 : 0, 2 : 0
    2CorinthiansAthletico-PR2 : 0, 1 : 0
    3VascoBotafogo RJ2 : 1, 1 : 1
    4FluminenseBahia2 : 0, 0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1CruzeiroCorinthians
    2VascoFluminense

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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