Portland Timbers vs Real Salt Lake – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
22/10/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS - Play Offs - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Gonzalez G. Jr. (Usa)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.811.01
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1222
Shots on target
87
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
76
Passes
82% (383/465)85% (442/519)
Yellow Cards
05
Expected Goals (xG)
1.811.01
xG on target (xGOT)
2.571.01
Total shots
1222
Shots on target
87
Shots off target
18
Blocked Shots
37
Shots inside the Box
1112
Shots outside the Box
110
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
76
Touches in opposition box
2547
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1514
Passes
82% (383/465)85% (442/519)
Long passes
52% (24/46)52% (25/48)
Passes in final third
73% (93/128)72% (122/170)
Crosses
27% (6/22)35% (6/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.841.47
Throw-ins
1315
Fouls
1415
Tackles
40% (4/10)44% (4/9)
Duels won
4536
Clearances
4226
Interceptions
420
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
65
xGOT faced
1.012.57
Goals prevented
0.01-0.43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 22', Caliskan N. 🟨,
  • 25', 1 - 0, Mora F. ,
  • 37', 2 - 0, Mora F. ,
  • 39', 2 - 1, Glad J. , Goncalves D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Caliskan N. , Eneli E. ,
  • 65', Olatunji V. , Agada W. ,
  • 65', Gozo Z. , Rwan Cruz ,
  • 74', Vera B. 🟨,
  • 78', Antony , Lassiter A. ,
  • 78', Ayala D. , Paredes C. ,
  • 78', Ojeda B. , Barea J. ,
  • 79', Yedlin D. 🟨,
  • 81', 3 - 1, Miller K. , Lassiter A. (A),
  • 84', Luna D. 🟨,
  • 85', Pereira da Costa D. , Ortiz J. ,
  • 85', Mora F. , Kelsy K. ,
  • 88', Yedlin D. , Russell J. ,
  • 88', Katranis A. 🟨,
  • 90', Velde K. , Fernandez O. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Portland Timbers
43.3%
Draw
26.6%
Real Salt Lake
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.3% 25.8% 29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8% 26.7% 28.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portland Timbers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Real Salt Lake has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Salt Lake than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Portland Timbers - Real Salt Lake Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.22
    (2.17)
    3.58
    (3.72)
    3.19
    (3.21)
    4.4%
    (4.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Portland Timbers - Real Salt Lake?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Portland will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Portland: 35.2%92%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Portland (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Salt Lake (2.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Salt Lake (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Portland (votes: 2 - 40%). Salt Lake (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portland won 2.
    • Portland is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Salt Lake has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Portland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Portland could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Portland: Carballo F. (Lower-Body Injury) Rodriguez J. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Salt Lake: Bell M. (Muscle Injury) Bonilla J. (Knee Injury) Brown J. (Knee Injury) MacMath Z. (Back Injury)
    • There are questionable in Portland: McGraw Z. (Back Injury) Surman F. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Portland won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 41:25. (average 2.1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Portland won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 30:13. (average 2.5:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portland Timbers - Real Salt Lake were as follows:
    16.07.2025 Portland Timbers - Real Salt Lake 0:1
    14.05.2025 Real Salt Lake - Portland Timbers 0:0
    21.09.2024 Real Salt Lake - Portland Timbers 3:3
    13.07.2024 Portland Timbers - Real Salt Lake 3:0
    30.08.2023 Portland Timbers - Real Salt Lake 2:1
    Latest results of Portland Timbers
    Latest results of Real Salt Lake
    MLS Table
    2026

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC22007:076
    2San Jose Earthquakes22005:056
    3Los Angeles FC22005:056
    4Vancouver Whitecaps22004:046
    5Los Angeles Galaxy21104:134
    6FC Dallas21103:214
    7Minnesota United21103:214
    8Austin FC21103:214
    9Seattle Sounders21013:213
    10Real Salt Lake21012:203
    11Colorado Rapids21012:203
    12Portland Timbers21013:4-13
    13Houston Dynamo21012:3-13
    14St. Louis City20111:3-21
    15Sporting Kansas City20112:5-31


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1New York Red Bulls22003:126
    2Nashville SC21104:134
    3New York City21103:214
    4Chicago Fire21014:223
    5FC Cincinnati21012:113
    6DC United21011:103
    7Inter Miami21014:5-13
    8Columbus Crew20114:5-11
    9Charlotte20111:4-31
    10Philadelphia Union20021:3-20
    11Orlando City20023:6-30
    12Toronto FC20022:6-40
    13New England Revolution20021:5-40
    14Atlanta Utd20020:4-40
    15CF Montreal20020:8-80

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