Portland Timbers vs Real Salt Lake: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Portland Timbers - Real Salt Lake
Result
0:1
16/07/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Da Silva A. (Usa)
Portland Timbers - Real Salt Lake - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.050.96
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
14
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
92
Passes
78% (316/404)86% (475/551)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
1.050.96
xG on target (xGOT)
0.350.60
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
14
Shots off target
76
Blocked Shots
40
Shots inside the Box
104
Shots outside the Box
26
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
92
Touches in opposition box
2721
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
109
Passes
78% (316/404)86% (475/551)
Long passes
57% (26/46)44% (20/45)
Passes in final third
71% (88/124)63% (70/111)
Crosses
31% (9/29)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.190.88
Throw-ins
239
Fouls
910
Tackles
57% (12/21)52% (11/21)
Duels won
5943
Clearances
2544
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
0.600.35
Goals prevented
-0.400.35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45', Vera B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 52', Ruiz P. 🟨,
  • 55', Fernandez O. , Lassiter A. ,
  • 67', Hidalgo B. 🟨,
  • 69', Mora F. 🟨,
  • 71', Mora F. , Guerra G. ,
  • 71', Mosquera J. , Miller E. ,
  • 73', Junqua S. , Katranis A. ,
  • 73', Agada W. , Piol A. ,
  • 73', Ruiz P. , Eneli E. ,
  • 80', Glad J. , Quinton P. ,
  • 83', 0 - 1, Goncalves D. , Piol A. (A),
  • 86', Ayala D. , Paredes C. ,
  • 90', Luna D. , Marczuk D. ,
  • 90+2', Goncalves D. , Barea J. ,
  • 90+8', Rafael Cabral 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Portland Timbers
41.4%
Draw
25.8%
Real Salt Lake
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.5% 26.5% 28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5% 25.9% 27.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portland Timbers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Real Salt Lake has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Portland Timbers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Salt Lake than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Salt Lake, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Portland Timbers - Real Salt Lake Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.28
    (2.1)
    3.68
    (3.6)
    2.94
    (3.41)
    5.1%
    (4.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Portland Timbers - Real Salt Lake?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Portland will win (votes: 14 - 70%). Salt Lake will win (votes: 4 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Portland: 49.9%90.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Portland (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portland won 2.
    • Portland has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Salt Lake is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Salt Lake may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Portland: Antony (Hamstring Injury) Lassiter A. (Hand Injury) McGraw Z. (Back Injury) Rodriguez J. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in Salt Lake: Bell M. (Hamstring Injury) Brown J. (Knee Injury) MacMath Z. (Back Injury) Ojeda B. (Yellow Cards) Wolff T. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Portland won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 44:24. (average 2.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Portland won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 33:12. (average 2.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portland Timbers - Real Salt Lake were as follows:
    14.05.2025 Real Salt Lake - Portland Timbers 0:0
    21.09.2024 Real Salt Lake - Portland Timbers 3:3
    13.07.2024 Portland Timbers - Real Salt Lake 3:0
    30.08.2023 Portland Timbers - Real Salt Lake 2:1
    17.05.2023 Real Salt Lake - Portland Timbers 0:0
    Latest results of Real Salt Lake
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC23133746:311542
    2Vancouver Whitecaps22125538:251341
    3Minnesota United23117539:261340
    4Los Angeles FC20105536:241235
    5Seattle Sounders2297634:31334
    6Portland Timbers2296731:31033
    7Colorado Rapids24861030:36-630
    8Austin FC2286817:24-730
    9San Jose Earthquakes2378844:39529
    10Real Salt Lake22841024:28-428
    11Houston Dynamo23751129:38-926
    12Sporting Kansas City22651135:41-623
    13FC Dallas22571029:41-1222
    14St. Louis City22461223:35-1218
    15Los Angeles Galaxy23361425:45-2015


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union23144539:221746
    2FC Cincinnati23143638:31745
    3Nashville SC23135541:251644
    4Columbus Crew23118438:32641
    5Inter Miami20115444:331138
    6Orlando City2398641:311035
    7New York City22104829:25434
    8New York Red Bulls2396838:30833
    9Charlotte231021138:37132
    10Chicago Fire2285942:40229
    11New England Revolution2267929:30-125
    12Toronto FC22561125:29-421
    13Atlanta Utd22481025:40-1520
    14DC United23471219:43-2419
    15CF Montreal23361420:43-2315

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Portland Timbers - Real Salt Lake?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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