Real Salt Lake vs San Diego – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:2
18/04/2026 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Elfath I. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
worldWorldApple TV International

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.631.30
Ball possession
48%52%
Total shots
169
Shots on target
95
Big chances
63
Corner kicks
18
Passes
88% (494/561)88% (525/597)
Yellow cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
2.631.30
xG on target (xGOT)
4.090.99
Total shots
169
Shots on target
95
Shots off target
51
Blocked shots
23
Shots inside the box
108
Shots outside the box
61
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
20
Big chances
63
Corner kicks
18
Touches in opposition box
2723
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
22
Free kicks
1411
Passes
88% (494/561)88% (525/597)
Long passes
69% (55/80)44% (17/39)
Passes in final third
72% (117/162)76% (94/123)
Crosses
56% (5/9)41% (7/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.470.48
Throw ins
1021
Fouls
1213
Tackles
69% (9/13)100% (8/8)
Duels won
4026
Clearances
157
Interceptions
48
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
35
xGOT faced
0.994.09
Goals prevented
-1.010.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (4 - 1)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Luna D. ,
  • 6', 2 - 0, Solans S. , Luna D. (A), Guilavogui M. (A2)
  • 14', 2 - 1, Ingvartsen M. , Morgan L. (A),
  • 37', 3 - 1, Solans S. , Gozo Z. (A), Yedlin D. (A2)
  • 45', 4 - 1, Guilavogui M. , Solans S. (A), Luna D. (A2)
  • 45+5', Duke B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Godoy A. , Soma P. ,
  • 46', Duke B. , Mighten A. ,
  • 52', Guilavogui M. 🟨,
  • 65', 4 - 2, Dreyer A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 68', Valakari O. , Vazquez D. ,
  • 68', Ingvartsen M. , Zamble B. B. ,
  • 71', Luna D. , Hezarkhani A. ,
  • 71', Yedlin D. , Junqua S. ,
  • 78', Solans S. , Olatunji V. ,
  • 78', Spierings S. , Dillon G. ,
  • 82', Guilavogui M. , Booth Z. ,
  • 84', Morgan L. , Pellegrino A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Real Salt Lake
60.8%
Draw
20.2%
San Diego
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.4% 24.2% 31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46% 23.4% 30.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Salt Lake has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Salt Lake's performance.
  • San Diego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Diego might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Salt Lake than the current prediction. (-14.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Salt Lake that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego than the current prediction. (+11.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Diego could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Real Salt Lake - San Diego Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (2.07)
    4.69
    (3.8)
    4.98
    (2.93)
    5.2%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Real Salt Lake - San Diego?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1 - Salt Lake (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Real Salt Lake will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.03%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Real Salt Lake will win (2 of 3 users predict this - 66.67%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Salt Lake (votes: 3 - 75%). San Diego (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • Salt Lake has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • San Diego is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • San Diego may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Salt Lake is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Salt Lake: Eneli E. (Knee Injury) Hezarkhani A. (Groin Injury) Piol A. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Sanabria J. (Injury)
    • There will not play in San Diego: Alvarado Jr A. (Knee Injury) Eisner W. (Lower-Body Injury) McVey C. (Red Card) Pellegrino A. (Lower-Body Injury) Pilcher I. (Lower-Body Injury) Reyes A. (Lower-Body Injury) Sargeant K. (Lower-Body Injury) Sisniega P. (Back Injury)
    • There are questionable in Salt Lake: Arias J. J. (Groin Injury) Booth Z. (Knee Injury) Henry K. (Muscle Injury) Yedlin D. (Muscle Injury)
    • We predict that Salt Lake will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Salt Lake won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 2:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Salt Lake won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Salt Lake - San Diego were as follows:
    22.03.2026 San Diego - Real Salt Lake 2:2
    26.04.2025 San Diego - Real Salt Lake 1:3
    08.03.2025 Real Salt Lake - San Diego 1:3
    Latest results of Real Salt Lake
    Latest results of San Diego
    22.03.2026 San Diego - Real Salt Lake 2:2
    18.03.2026 Toluca - San Diego 4:0
    14.03.2026 FC Dallas - San Diego 3:3
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Jose Earthquakes1090125:61927
    2Vancouver Whitecaps980125:52024
    3Los Angeles FC1062217:61120
    4Seattle Sounders861112:4819
    5Minnesota United1052311:14-317
    6Real Salt Lake951317:14316
    7Colorado Rapids1041522:18413
    8FC Dallas1034318:15313
    9Houston Dynamo940512:18-612
    10Los Angeles Galaxy1033415:16-112
    11San Diego FC1032517:17011
    12Portland Timbers931513:19-610
    13Austin FC1024414:19-510
    14St. Louis City91359:16-76
    15Sporting Kansas City91177:25-184


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC971121:61522
    2Inter Miami1054119:15419
    3Chicago Fire952217:8917
    4New England Revolution951317:12516
    5Charlotte1042418:18014
    6Toronto FC1034317:19-213
    7New York City1033419:16312
    8Columbus Crew1033414:13112
    9FC Cincinnati1033419:23-412
    10DC United1033411:15-412
    11New York Red Bulls1033416:25-912
    12CF Montreal930613:20-79
    13Atlanta Utd102179:17-87
    14Orlando City1021712:29-177
    15Philadelphia Union101279:17-85

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)