Result
0:2
20/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 33
- Referee: Sturm R. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.66 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (537/622) | 75% (248/329) |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.35 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (537/622) | 75% (248/329) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (35/77) | 52% (28/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (79/111) | 66% (63/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 10% (1/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.41 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 65% (13/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.35 | 0.60 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.65 | 0.60 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, van de Blaak E. ⚽, de Haan M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', van der Lans M. ↓, Frankel L. ↑,
- 46', Peters T. ↓, van der Vaart D. ↑,
- 58', Ouazane A. ↓, Acheampong L. ↑,
- 58', Butera E. ↓, Nash P. ↑,
- 74', Providence R. ↓, de Nijs O. ↑,
- 77', 0 - 2, de Haan M. ⚽,
- 78', Druijf F. ↓, Huisman B. ↑,
- 79', Vink S. ↓, Ibrahimovic M. ↑,
- 88', Rijkhoff J. ↓, Cornelisse E. ↑,
- 88', Poku E. ↓, Sam A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Jong Ajax
20.6% | Draw
22% | Almere City
57.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Almere City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong Ajax than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Almere City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Jong Ajax - Almere City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.71 ↑
(4.33) |
4.31 ↓
(4.51) |
1.67 ↑
(1.62) |
4.2%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Jong Ajax - Almere City?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Jong Ajax will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Almere City will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Almere City: 40% – 93.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong Ajax won 2.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- In this match, Almere City is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Jong Ajax: Appiah A.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Jong Ajax: Ibrahimovic M.
(Injury)
Regeer Y.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jong Ajax won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 50:34. (average 2.5:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jong Ajax won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 27:17. (average 3:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Jong Ajax won against Almere City?
Jong Ajax has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Almere City won against Jong Ajax?
Almere City has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jong Ajax - Almere City were as follows:
05.12.2025
Almere City
-
Jong Ajax
3:2
17.03.2023
Jong Ajax
-
Almere City
0:2
14.10.2022
Almere City
-
Jong Ajax
2:3
Latest results of Jong Ajax
Latest results of Almere City
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag ✔ | 36 | 27 | 2 | 7 | 82:35 | 47 | 83 |
| 2 | Cambuur ✔ | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 72:44 | 28 | 75 |
| 3 | Willem II | 36 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 54:41 | 13 | 62 |
| 4 | De Graafschap | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 71:56 | 15 | 60 |
| 5 | Almere City | 36 | 17 | 4 | 15 | 73:59 | 14 | 55 |
| 6 | Waalwijk | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 66:53 | 13 | 55 |
| 7 | Roda | 36 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 57:50 | 7 | 54 |
| 8 | Jong PSV | 35 | 16 | 5 | 14 | 63:59 | 4 | 53 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 61:61 | 0 | 50 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 47 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 36 | 13 | 5 | 18 | 50:66 | -16 | 44 |
| 12 | Venlo | 36 | 12 | 6 | 18 | 47:55 | -8 | 42 |
| 13 | FC Emmen | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 55:70 | -15 | 41 |
| 14 | Vitesse | 35 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 60:53 | 7 | 40 |
| 15 | Jong Utrecht | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 52:58 | -6 | 39 |
| 16 | Jong AZ | 35 | 11 | 4 | 20 | 59:71 | -12 | 37 |
| 17 | Maastricht | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 41:71 | -30 | 37 |
| 18 | Helmond | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 40:61 | -21 | 36 |
| 19 | Oss | 35 | 8 | 11 | 16 | 46:61 | -15 | 35 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 48:69 | -21 | 32 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie
Cambuur is Qualified for Eredivisie
