Result
0:0
23/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 24
- Referee: Ruperti C. (Ned)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.86 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (307/381) | 81% (318/393) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.86 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.16 | 1.52 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (307/381) | 81% (318/393) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (21/45) | 49% (30/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (121/153) | 71% (83/117) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (9/38) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.73 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 41% (9/22) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.16 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 47', Staring C. 🟨,
- 52', Bakir A. 🟨,
- 57', Johnson J. 🟨,
- 59', Bakir A. ↓, Nunumete D. ↑,
- 59', Hojabrpour A. ↓, Kongolo R. ↑,
- 61', Konadu D. ↓, Vink S. ↑,
- 61', Jetten L. ↓, Nash P. ↑,
- 61', Johnson J. ↓, Abdalla M. ↑,
- 66', Sondergaard P. 🟨,
- 66', O'Niel D. ↓, Ouazane A. ↑,
- 68', Mukeh J. ↓, Bolk G. ↑,
- 68', Amadin N. ↓, Gerezgiher F. ↑,
- 85', van de Pavert R. ↓, Ouazane Z. ↑,
- 87', Gerezgiher F. 🟨,
- 87', Staring C. ↓, Geypens T. ↑,
- 88', Geypens T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Emmen
59.6% | Draw
20.8% | Jong Ajax
19.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Emmen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Jong Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emmen than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong Ajax than the current prediction. (-1%)
Emmen - Jong Ajax Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.55 ↑
(1.52) |
4.48 ↑
(4.33) |
4.71 ↓
(4.75) |
7.9%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Emmen - Jong Ajax?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Emmen will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Jong Ajax will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Emmen: 39.2% – 89.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Emmen (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -0.25 - Jong Ajax (2.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Emmen (votes: 1 - 50%). Jong Ajax (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 19).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Emmen won 4.
- In recent matches, Emmen has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Jong Ajax's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Jong Ajax may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Emmen is the team to beat.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Emmen won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 34:22. (average 2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Emmen won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 22:11. (average 2.8:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Emmen won against Jong Ajax?
Emmen has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jong Ajax won against Emmen?
Jong Ajax has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Emmen - Jong Ajax were as follows:
24.10.2025
Jong Ajax
-
Emmen
0:1
11.03.2025
Jong Ajax
-
Emmen
0:2
08.11.2024
Emmen
-
Jong Ajax
4:2
29.03.2024
Emmen
-
Jong Ajax
4:2
15.09.2023
Jong Ajax
-
Emmen
3:3
Latest results of Jong Ajax
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 38 | 29 | 2 | 7 | 90:37 | 53 | 89 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 75:48 | 27 | 78 |
| 3 | Willem II | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 59:42 | 17 | 68 |
| 4 | De Graafschap | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 74:58 | 16 | 63 |
| 5 | Almere City | 38 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 78:63 | 15 | 58 |
| 6 | Waalwijk | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 71:59 | 12 | 58 |
| 7 | Jong PSV | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 66:64 | 2 | 56 |
| 8 | Roda | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 59:54 | 5 | 55 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 65:69 | -4 | 51 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 48:56 | -8 | 47 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 38 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 51:69 | -18 | 47 |
| 12 | Jong Utrecht | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 58:62 | -4 | 46 |
| 13 | Venlo | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 50:58 | -8 | 45 |
| 14 | FC Emmen | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 58:72 | -14 | 45 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 64:55 | 9 | 44 |
| 16 | Oss | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 54:64 | -10 | 44 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 38 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 61:76 | -15 | 40 |
| 18 | Helmond | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:62 | -20 | 39 |
| 19 | Maastricht | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 41:73 | -32 | 38 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 50:73 | -23 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
