De Graafschap vs Jong Utrecht – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

20/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

De Vijverberg (Doetinchem).

Eerste Divisie - Round 28
Referee: Kuipers J. (Ned)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.83	0.47
Ball possession
61%	39%
Total shots
18	11
Shots on target
10	2
Big chances
4	0
Corner kicks
5	3
Passes
82% (358/435)	64% (181/281)
Yellow cards
3	1
Expected goals (xG)
1.83	0.47
xG on target (xGOT)
2.59	0.23
Total shots
18	11
Shots on target
10	2
Shots off target
6	6
Blocked shots
2	3
Shots inside the box
14	5
Shots outside the box
4	6
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Big chances
4	0
Corner kicks
5	3
Touches in opposition box
27	14
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
4	1
Free kicks
7	13
Passes
82% (358/435)	64% (181/281)
Long passes
44% (27/62)	35% (22/62)
Passes in final third
71% (69/97)	47% (55/117)
Crosses
26% (6/23)	23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.25	0.35
Throw ins
18	20
Fouls
13	7
Tackles
67% (8/12)	44% (8/18)
Duels won
36	54
Clearances
21	23
Interceptions
13	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	8
xGOT faced
0.23	2.59
Goals prevented
0.23	1.59

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Gijselhart T. 🟨,
62', El Kadiri I. ↓, El Allachi C. ↑,
62', Eggens N. ↓, Kwint K. ↑,
65', Dundas N. 🟨,
75', El Arguioui R. ↓, Ebite S. ↑,
75', Kaninda N. ↓, Simons J. ↑,
75', Martens N. ↓, de Jong F. ↑,
78', 1 - 0, de Jong F. ⚽,
88', den Boggende T. ↓, Menzo B. ↑,
88', Demircan E. ↓, Edhart L. ↑,
88', van der Wegen S. ↓, Beulens N. ↑,
90', Schoppema L. ↓, Symons K. ↑,
90+2', Meerstadt J. 🟨,
90+4', Wieggers T. 🟨,

Chances of winning

De Graafschap
58.9%

Draw
19.9%

Jong Utrecht
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

21.8%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

21.4%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

De Graafschap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in De Graafschap's performance.

Jong Utrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong Utrecht than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

De Graafschap - Jong Utrecht Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.74)	4.76 ↑ (4.2)	4.49 ↑ (3.61)	7% (9.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

What is the prediction for De Graafschap - Jong Utrecht?

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. De Graafschap will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Jong Utrecht will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for De Graafschap: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): De Graafschap will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 1.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Jong Utrecht may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, De Graafschap is a strong favorite.
There are questionable in Jong Utrecht: Eppink M. (Foot Injury) Iqbal Z. (Inactive)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 39:21. (average 2.3:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, De Graafschap won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 23:9. (average 2.9:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has De Graafschap won against Jong Utrecht?

De Graafschap has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Jong Utrecht won against De Graafschap?

Jong Utrecht has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between De Graafschap - Jong Utrecht were as follows:

08.12.2025 Jong Utrecht - De Graafschap 2:3

20.01.2025 Jong Utrecht - De Graafschap 1:1

23.08.2024 De Graafschap - Jong Utrecht 2:2

03.05.2024 De Graafschap - Jong Utrecht 2:2

24.11.2023 Jong Utrecht - De Graafschap 2:0

Latest results of De Graafschap

13.02.2026 Jong PSV - De Graafschap 1:2 ✺

06.02.2026 De Graafschap - Jong Ajax 4:0 ✺

31.01.2026 Helmond Sport - De Graafschap 0:0 ✺

26.01.2026 De Graafschap - Den Bosch 1:1 ✺

23.01.2026 De Graafschap - Waalwijk 2:4 ✺

Latest results of Jong Utrecht

16.02.2026 Jong Utrecht - Willem II 1:1 ✺

02.02.2026 Jong Utrecht - VVV-Venlo 2:2 ✺

26.01.2026 Waalwijk - Jong Utrecht 2:2 ✺

23.01.2026 MVV Maastricht - Jong Utrecht 2:2 ✺

19.01.2026 Jong Utrecht - Jong PSV 5:3 ✺

Dutch Eerste Divisie Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Den Haag ✔	35	27	2	6	82:34	48	83
2	Cambuur ✔	35	22	8	5	71:43	28	74
3	De Graafschap	35	17	8	10	68:53	15	59
4	Willem II	35	17	8	10	52:40	12	59
5	Almere City	35	17	4	14	72:57	15	55
6	Jong PSV	35	16	5	14	63:59	4	53
7	Waalwijk	35	14	10	11	61:53	8	52
8	Roda	35	13	12	10	54:49	5	51
9	Den Bosch	34	14	7	13	60:60	0	49
10	Dordrecht	35	11	11	13	45:50	-5	44
11	Eindhoven FC	35	13	5	17	49:63	-14	44
12	Venlo	35	12	5	18	44:52	-8	41
13	FC Emmen	35	11	8	16	55:65	-10	41
14	Vitesse	35	14	10	11	60:53	7	40
15	Jong Utrecht	34	10	9	15	52:58	-6	39
16	Jong AZ	35	11	4	20	59:71	-12	37
17	Maastricht	35	9	9	17	41:71	-30	36
18	Oss	35	8	11	16	46:61	-15	35
19	Helmond	35	9	8	18	40:61	-21	35
20	Jong Ajax	35	8	8	19	48:69	-21	32

Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie
Cambuur is Qualified for Eredivisie