Result
2:0
09/04/2023 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- GERMANY: BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 27
- Referee: Jollenbeck M. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | SportKlub |
 Croatia | SportKlub |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay, V Sport Urheilu |
 France | beIN Sports Max |
 Greece | Nova Sports |
 Hungary | Arena 4 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay, V Sport |
 Poland | Viaplay |
 Portugal | Eleven Sports |
 Serbia | SportKlub |
 Slovenia | SportKlub |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Turkey | beIN Sports 4 |
 Ukraine | Setanta Sports |
Chances of winning
Hoffenheim
49% | Draw
26.5% | Schalke 04
24.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Schalke 04 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Hoffenheim - Schalke 04 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↓
(1.98) |
3.61 ↓
(3.71) |
3.91 ↑
(3.52) |
4.7%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Hoffenheim - Schalke 04?
Users Predictions:
49 users predict this event. Hoffenheim will win (votes: 33 - 67.3%). Schalke will win (votes: 7 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 18.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hoffenheim: 54.2% – 80.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).
- Hoffenheim has the most likely position - 14 (19.71%), project points - 34, currently - 25, a small chance of relegated (15%), a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), not chance of win league.
- Schalke has the most likely position - 18 (39.23%), project points - 29, currently - 21, a good chance of relegated (69%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
- This event has quality 63, importance 63, match rating 63. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Hoffenheim won 3.
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- Schalke could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Hoffenheim is a favorite.
- Last 22 head-to-head matches Hoffenheim won 10 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 41-38.
- Including matches at home between the teams Hoffenheim won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 26-16.
How many head-to-head matches has Hoffenheim won against Schalke 04?
Hoffenheim has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Schalke 04 won against Hoffenheim?
Schalke 04 has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hoffenheim - Schalke 04 were as follows:
18.10.2022
Hoffenheim
-
Schalke 04
5:1
14.10.2022
Schalke 04
-
Hoffenheim
0:3
Latest results of Hoffenheim
Latest results of Schalke 04
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 24 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 88:23 | 65 | 63 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 24 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 51:25 | 26 | 52 |
| 3 | Hoffenheim | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 49:31 | 18 | 46 |
| 4 | Stuttgart | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 48:32 | 16 | 46 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 46:33 | 13 | 44 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 45:29 | 16 | 43 |
| 7 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 48:49 | -1 | 34 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 34:39 | -5 | 33 |
| 9 | Augsburg | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 30:41 | -11 | 31 |
| 10 | Union Berlin | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 29:38 | -9 | 28 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 26:35 | -9 | 26 |
| 12 | B. Monchengladbach | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 27:39 | -12 | 25 |
| 13 | FC Koln | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 33:41 | -8 | 24 |
| 14 | Mainz | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 27:39 | -12 | 23 |
| 15 | St. Pauli | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 23:40 | -17 | 23 |
| 16 | Werder Bremen | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25:44 | -19 | 22 |
| 17 | Wolfsburg | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 33:53 | -20 | 20 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 22:53 | -31 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
