Hoffenheim vs Hertha Berlin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
18/03/2023 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • GERMANY: BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 25
  • Referee: Willenborg F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkSee, Viaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFrancebeIN Sports Max
germanyGermanySky Bundesliga, Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event
greeceGreeceNova Sports
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
polandPolandViaplay
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV
swedenSwedenViaplay

Chances of winning


Hoffenheim
46.6%
Draw
27.6%
Hertha Berlin
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.6% 26% 25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3% 25.6% 25%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hoffenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • Hertha Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hertha Berlin than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Hoffenheim - Hertha Berlin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.06
    (1.95)
    3.48
    (3.64)
    3.7
    (3.73)
    4.4%
    (5.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Hoffenheim - Hertha Berlin?
  • Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Hoffenheim will win (votes: 20 - 74.1%). Hertha will win (votes: 2 - 7.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 18.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hoffenheim: 57.6%90.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 15).
    • Hoffenheim has the most likely position - 18 (21.78%), project points - 31, currently - 19, a chance of relegated (44%), a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), not chance of win league.
    • Hertha has the most likely position - 18 (20.38%), project points - 31, currently - 21, a chance of relegated (44%), a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), not chance of win league.
    • This event has quality 62, big importance 70, match rating 66. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Hoffenheim won 3.
    • Hoffenheim has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Hertha is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Hoffenheim will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Hoffenheim: Bebou I. (Hip Injury) Bruun Larsen J. (Groin Injury) Che J. (Knee Injury) Dolberg K. (Head Injury) Kabak O. (Red Card) Nsoki S. (Hip Injury) Promel G. (Ankle Injury) Rudy S. (Hip Injury) Vogt K. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Hertha: Boateng K. (Illness) Boetius J-P. (Shoulder Injury) Ejuke C. (Knee Injury) Jarstein R. (Injury) Nsona K. (Knee Injury)
    • Our prediction for today's Hertha to win the game is with odds 3.47.
    • Last 21 head-to-head matches Hoffenheim won 10 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 35-26.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Hoffenheim won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-10.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hoffenheim - Hertha Berlin were as follows:
    02.10.2022 Hertha Berlin - Hoffenheim 1:1
    Latest results of Hoffenheim
    12.03.2023 Freiburg - Hoffenheim 2:1
    04.03.2023 Mainz - Hoffenheim 1:0
    17.02.2023 Augsburg - Hoffenheim 1:0
    Latest results of Hertha Berlin
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich ✔ 322651116:358183
    2Dortmund32207565:323367
    3RB Leipzig32195863:422162
    4Bayer Leverkusen32177866:432358
    5Stuttgart32177866:462058
    6Hoffenheim32177864:481658
    7Freiburg321281245:53-844
    8Eintracht Frankfurt3211101157:60-343
    9Augsburg321171442:56-1440
    10Mainz329101341:50-937
    11B. Monchengladbach328111337:50-1335
    12Hamburger SV328101436:51-1534
    13Union Berlin32891537:57-2033
    14FC Koln327111447:55-832
    15Werder Bremen32881637:57-2032
    16Wolfsburg32681842:67-2526
    17St. Pauli32681827:55-2826
    18Heidenheim32581938:69-3123

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Bayern Munich is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )