Result
27/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 17
- Referee: Abatti R. (Bra)
Chances of winning
Flamengo
64.7% | Draw
23.1% | Atlético Mineiro
12.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Flamengo's performance.Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Mineiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-7.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Flamengo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Mineiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Flamengo - Atlético Mineiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.46 ↓
(1.69) |
4.12 ↑
(3.62) |
7.66 ↑
(5.24) |
5.7%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Flamengo - Atlético Mineiro?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Flamengo (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Flamengo will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Atlético MG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Flamengo is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Flamengo: Alex Sandro
(Thigh Injury)
Allan
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Ayrton Lucas
(Leg Injury)
Danilo
(Thigh Injury)
Michael
(Ankle Injury)
Niguez S.
(Leg Injury)
Plata G.
(Thigh Injury)
Pulgar E.
(Foot Injury)
de la Cruz N.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
- There will not play in Atlético MG: Cadu
(Knee Injury)
Caio Maia
(Knee Injury)
Dudu
(Suspended)
Patrick Silva
(Broken tailbone)
Rubens
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Atlético MG: Guilherme Arana
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:27. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Flamengo won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Flamengo won against Atlético Mineiro?
Flamengo has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against Flamengo?
Atlético Mineiro has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Flamengo - Atlético Mineiro were as follows:
13.11.2024
Flamengo
-
Atlético Mineiro
0:0
10.11.2024
Atlético Mineiro
-
Flamengo
0:1
03.11.2024
Flamengo
-
Atlético Mineiro
3:1
03.07.2024
Atlético Mineiro
-
Flamengo
2:4
29.11.2023
Flamengo
-
Atlético Mineiro
0:3
Latest results of Flamengo
Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cruzeiro | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 27:9 | 18 | 34 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 29:6 | 23 | 33 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 32 |
| 4 | Bragantino | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 27 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 18:8 | 10 | 26 |
| 6 | Bahia | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 25 |
| 7 | Mirassol | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 24:14 | 10 | 25 |
| 8 | Corinthians | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 21 |
| 9 | Fluminense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 16:17 | -1 | 20 |
| 10 | Atletico-MG | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 20 |
| 11 | Internacional | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 20 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 15:18 | -3 | 19 |
| 13 | Ceara | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 14:15 | -1 | 18 |
| 14 | Gremio | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14:21 | -7 | 17 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
| 16 | Santos | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 15 |
| 17 | Vasco | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:19 | -4 | 14 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 16:21 | -5 | 14 |
| 19 | Juventude | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 10:29 | -19 | 11 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 15 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 9:25 | -16 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
