Loudoun United vs Tampa Bay Rowdies – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship
Football USL Championship Loudoun United - Tampa Bay Rowdies
Result
2:2
28/09/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Snyder T. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+, SiriusXM FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.411.90
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
2216
Shots on target
65
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
141
Passes
84% (371/441)75% (215/286)
Yellow Cards
45
Expected Goals (xG)
2.411.90
xG on target (xGOT)
1.531.09
Total shots
2216
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
89
Blocked Shots
82
Shots inside the Box
1810
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
141
Touches in opposition box
4318
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1910
Passes
84% (371/441)75% (215/286)
Long passes
53% (31/58)35% (15/43)
Passes in final third
72% (99/138)61% (43/71)
Crosses
17% (5/30)43% (3/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.161.07
Throw-ins
1917
Fouls
1019
Tackles
64% (7/11)65% (11/17)
Duels won
4642
Clearances
1133
Interceptions
103
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.091.53
Goals prevented
-0.91-0.47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 3', Guillen A. 🟨,
  • 14', Marie P. 🟨,
  • 37', Bodily B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 55', Awuah K. 🟨,
  • 56', 0 - 1, Arteaga M. (Pen),
  • 58', Santos P. ↓, Glasgow O. ↑,
  • 58', Mines B. ↓, Aboukoura A. ↑,
  • 63', Glasgow O. 🟨,
  • 66', Ordonez A. 🟨,
  • 67', Ordonez A. ↓, Bidois R. ↑,
  • 76', Wyke L. 🟨,
  • 80', Lasso F. 🟨,
  • 89', Dambrot R. ↓, Ryan Z. ↑,
  • 90+1', 1 - 1, Aboukoura A. (Pen),
  • 90+6', 2 - 1, Tubbs G. ⚽, Aboukoura A. (A),
  • 90+7', Tubbs G. 🟨,
  • 90+8', 2 - 2, Skinner J. ⚽, Mendez A. (A),

Chances of winning


Loudoun United
45.8%		Draw
24.3%		Tampa Bay Rowdies
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.5% 22.9% 35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9% 23.1% 35.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Loudoun United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • Tampa Bay Rowdies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tampa Bay Rowdies might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Loudoun United than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tampa Bay Rowdies could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Loudoun United - Tampa Bay Rowdies Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.05 ↓
    (2.25)    		 3.86 ↓
    (4.07)    		 3.15 ↑
    (2.62)    		 6.4%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Loudoun won 3.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Tampa Bay may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of home games.
    • Loudoun might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Loudoun won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 13:26. (average 1:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Loudoun won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1.2:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Loudoun United - Tampa Bay Rowdies were as follows:
    12.04.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Loudoun United 1:2
    17.08.2024 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Loudoun United 0:2
    29.06.2024 Loudoun United - Tampa Bay Rowdies 2:0
    30.09.2023 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Loudoun United 1:0
    24.06.2023 Loudoun United - Tampa Bay Rowdies 2:4
    Latest results of Loudoun United
    20.09.2025 Phoenix Rising - Loudoun United 2:2
    13.09.2025 Loudoun United - San Antonio 2:5
    06.09.2025 El Paso Locomotive - Loudoun United 1:2
    30.08.2025 Loudoun United - Miami 3:1
    24.08.2025 Charleston Battery - Loudoun United 4:1 ✺
    Latest results of Tampa Bay Rowdies
    20.09.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - North Carolina 2:2
    17.09.2025 Birmingham Legion - Tampa Bay Rowdies 1:4
    13.09.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Colorado Springs Switchbacks 3:3
    06.09.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Sacramento Republic 0:2
    30.08.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2:1
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City ✔ 27206154:193566
    2Charleston ✔ 26174554:292555
    3North Carolina271251039:37241
    4Loudoun271161043:45-239
    5Hartford Athletic261151040:291138
    6Pittsburgh271071027:27037
    7Detroit27981031:32-135
    8Indy Eleven27951340:47-732
    9Rhode Island26871120:26-631
    10Tampa Bay27861339:42-330
    11Birmingham285121133:45-1227
    12Miami FC27661525:41-1624


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa ✔ 27148544:291550
    2Sacramento Republic26128639:211844
    3New Mexico271341037:34343
    4San Antonio26107934:32237
    5El Paso27910842:38437
    6Lexington27981028:35-735
    7Colorado Springs27971134:39-534
    8Phoenix Rising27712845:48-333
    9Orange County SC26871138:41-331
    10Monterey Bay28771426:41-1528
    11Oakland Roots26761333:44-1127
    12Las Vegas Lights26671319:43-2425

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
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