Surkhon Termez vs Pakhtakor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uzbek League Surkhon Termez - Pakhtakor
Result
2:1
03/05/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 8
  • Where to Watch on TV:
tajikistanTajikistanFutbol TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
147
Shots on target
63
Corner Kicks
23
Yellow Cards
24
Red Cards
11
Total shots
147
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
84
Corner Kicks
23
Goalkeeper Saves
24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 15', Khamraliev M. 🟨,
  • 25', Jumaev A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 56', Khamraliev M. 🟨,
  • 57', Khodzhaniyazov D. (Pen),
  • 58', 1 - 0, Abdurakhmonov M. ,
  • 62', 2 - 0, Tursunov D. ,
  • 64', Jumaev A. , Karimov A. ,
  • 74', Khamidzhonov S. , Ramazonov D. ,
  • 75', Poyonov S. , Kolesnichenko K. ,
  • 76', Kolesnichenko K. 🟥,
  • 77', 🟨,
  • 79', Adkhamzoda U. , Abdullaev A. ,
  • 80', Abdurakhmonov M. , Khaydarov A. ,
  • 80', Komilov S. , Kratkov D. ,
  • 87', Jonatan Lucca , Khoshimov U. ,
  • 87', Riascos B. , Ortikboev D. ,
  • 90', Karimov A. 🟨,
  • 90+6', 2 - 1, Sergeev I. ,
  • 90+8', Urinboev M. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Surkhon Termez
18.3%
Draw
26.3%
Pakhtakor
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.1% 26.6% 55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.4% 25.5% 57.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Surkhon Termez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Pakhtakor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Surkhon Termez than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pakhtakor than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • Surkhon Termez - Pakhtakor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.01
    (5.06)
    3.49
    (3.44)
    1.66
    (1.66)
    8.8%
    (9.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Surkhon won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, Pakhtakor is the team to beat.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Surkhon won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 7:32. (average 0.5:2.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Surkhon won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:16. (average 0.3:2.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Surkhon Termez - Pakhtakor were as follows:
    22.08.2024 Pakhtakor - Surkhon Termez 0:1
    04.03.2024 Surkhon Termez - Pakhtakor 0:3
    24.11.2023 Surkhon Termez - Pakhtakor 1:2
    29.05.2023 Pakhtakor - Surkhon Termez 1:0
    09.10.2022 Surkhon Termez - Pakhtakor 1:1
    Latest results of Surkhon Termez
    Latest results of Pakhtakor
    27.04.2025 Pakhtakor - Shurtan Guzar 1:0
    13.04.2025 Pakhtakor - Andijan 2:3
    02.04.2025 Pakhtakor - Mashal Mubarek 5:0
    Uzbek League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nasaf Qarshi21137141:162546
    2Neftchi Fargona20126233:161742
    3Din. Samarkand20108230:23738
    4OKMK20114529:20937
    5Pakhtakor20113642:192336
    6Bunyodkor2098332:211135
    7Navbahor Namangan2095637:231432
    8Qizilqum2068618:26-826
    9Termez Surkhon2065918:23-523
    10Sogdiana2056922:25-321
    11Andijan2056925:32-721
    12Mashal Muborak21631218:39-2121
    13Xorazm Urganch20541123:26-319
    14Kokand 191220531215:32-1718
    15Buxoro21451219:37-1817
    16Shortan Guzor21251415:39-2411

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Super League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Pro Liga