Result
3:1
19/04/2026 at 01:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 25
- Referee: Kersey A. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | SPOTV 2 Asia |
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, myTV SUPER |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | SPOTV 2, Vidio |
 Malaysia | Astro Go |
 Mongolia | SPOTV 2 |
 New-zealand | SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 5 |
 Philippines | SPOTV 2 |
 Singapore | SPOTV 2 |
 Thailand | SPOTV 2 |
 United-arab-emirates | Dubai Sports 1 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, HBO Max, TNT Sports 2, TNT Sports 5 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Vietnam | SPOTV 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 0.55 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (442/508) | 78% (245/315) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 0.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.77 | 0.47 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 47 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (442/508) | 78% (245/315) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 69% (25/36) | 54% (27/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 83% (156/187) | 72% (99/137) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (5/27) | 33% (5/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 0.42 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 57% (12/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 68 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.47 | 3.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.53 | 0.77 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 7', 0 - 1, Duke M. ⚽, Talbot C. (A),
- 14', Ikonomidis C. ↓, Randazzo O. ↑,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Kitto R. ↓, Burkitt B. ↑,
- 46', Jovanovic L. ↓, Anselmo ↑,
- 47', Bosnjak D. 🟨,
- 62', White R. ↓, Riak A. ↑,
- 62', Duke M. 🟨,
- 63', 1 - 1, Anselmo ⚽, Barnett J. (A),
- 66', Bosnjak D. ↓, Oliveira B. ↑,
- 66', Vickery L. ↓, Oliveira H. ↑,
- 70', Duke M. ↓, Sawyer H. ↑,
- 71', Talbot C. ↓, Scott W. ↑,
- 75', 2 - 1, Kikianis P. ⚽,
- 78', Muniz J. ↓, Duzel L. ↑,
- 83', Caceres A. 🟨,
- 86', Riak A. ↓, Ayoubi A. ↑,
- 89', 3 - 1, Anselmo ⚽, Dukuly Y. (A),
Chances of winning
Adelaide United
51.9% | Draw
22.2% | Macarthur FC
25.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Adelaide United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Adelaide United's performance.Macarthur FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Macarthur FC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide United than the current prediction. (-10.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Adelaide United that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Macarthur FC than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Macarthur FC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Adelaide United - Macarthur FC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.85 ↓
(2.28) |
4.24 ↑
(3.87) |
3.66 ↑
(2.78) |
5%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Adelaide United - Macarthur FC?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Adelaide United will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Macarthur may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Adelaide might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:27. (average 1.5:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.7:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Adelaide United won against Macarthur FC?
Adelaide United has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Macarthur FC won against Adelaide United?
Macarthur FC has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Adelaide United - Macarthur FC were as follows:
30.01.2026
Adelaide United
-
Macarthur FC
1:1
27.10.2025
Macarthur FC
-
Adelaide United
2:1
14.03.2025
Adelaide United
-
Macarthur FC
4:5
06.01.2025
Macarthur FC
-
Adelaide United
1:2
12.04.2024
Adelaide United
-
Macarthur FC
1:2
Latest results of Adelaide United
Latest results of Macarthur FC
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Newcastle Jets (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Melbourne Victory (4) | Sydney FC (5) | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Adelaide United (2) | Bye | |
| 4 | Auckland FC (3) | Melbourne City (6) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Newcastle Jets (1) | Sydney FC (5) | |
| 2 | Adelaide United (2) | Auckland FC (3) | |
