Result
0:2
04/04/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.22 | 1.48 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (445/499) | 79% (219/277) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.22 | 1.48 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.07 | 1.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (445/499) | 79% (219/277) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (18/30) | 43% (20/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (111/141) | 65% (44/68) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (2/25) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.96 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 36% (4/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.40 | 2.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.60 | 2.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 30', Richard 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Melk ↓, Joao Gabriel ↑,
- 57', Matheusinho ↓, Wendel Silva ↑,
- 58', Giulio ↓, Fernandinho ↑,
- 58', Pepe ↓, Mateus Santos ↑,
- 61', Rodrigo Rodrigues (Penalty Awarded),
- 69', Richardson 🟨,
- 70', Rodrigo Rodrigues ↓, Vinicius Peixoto ↑,
- 70', Kauan Cristtyan ↓, Gabriel Mineiro ↑,
- 71', 0 - 1, Juan Alano ⚽, Wendel Silva (A),
- 77', Richardson ↓, Luiz Otavio ↑,
- 79', 0 - 2, Juan Alano ⚽, Joao Gabriel (A),
- 80', Joao Basso ↓, Weverson ↑,
- 80', Raylan ↓, Nino Paraiba ↑,
- 84', Juan Alano ↓, Matheus Araujo ↑,
- 86', Matheus Araujo 🟨,
- 90', Mateus Santos (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+7', Joao Gabriel 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cuiabá
40.1% | Draw
31.7% | Ceará
28.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cuiabá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Ceará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
Cuiabá - Ceará Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.37 ↓
(2.51) |
2.93 ↓
(2.97) |
3.31 ↑
(2.87) |
6.6%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Cuiabá - Ceará?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Ceará will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Cuiabá is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Ceará's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Ceará may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Cuiabá: Alan Empereur
(Inactive)
Eliel
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Ceará: Diego
(Inactive)
Lucas Lima
(Red Card)
Pedro Henrique
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Ronald Carvalho
(Inactive)
Vina
(Inactive)
Vinicius Zanocelo
(Inactive)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cuiabá won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cuiabá won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Cuiabá won against Ceará?
Cuiabá has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ceará won against Cuiabá?
Ceará has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cuiabá - Ceará were as follows:
16.10.2022
Ceará
-
Cuiabá
1:1
Brazilian Serie B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Fortaleza | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 14 |
| 2 | Sao Bernardo | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Sport Recife | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | Operario-PR | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 12 |
| 5 | Vila Nova FC | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11:8 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 | Criciuma | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 11 |
| 7 | Juventude | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 11 |
| 8 | Nautico | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 10 |
| 9 | Ceara | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Botafogo SP | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 9 |
| 11 | Avai | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 12 | Novorizontino | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 | Atletico GO | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 8 |
| 15 | Cuiaba | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 8 |
| 16 | Ponte Preta | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 7 |
| 17 | Goias | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | CRB | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 5 |
| 19 | Londrina | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 5 |
| 20 | America MG | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4:12 | -8 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
