Result
2:0
04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 7
- Referee: Walsh N. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Kilmarnock TV, St Mirren TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 0.38 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (154/245) | 71% (298/420) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 0.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.64 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (154/245) | 71% (298/420) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (22/63) | 46% (47/103) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 41% (38/92) | 52% (68/130) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (2/14) | 20% (5/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.56 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 45 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 2.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.64 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 28', 1 - 0, Watson D. ⚽,
- 36', 2 - 0, Dackers M. ⚽, Brown J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Gogic A. 🟨,
- 46', Mandron M. ↓, N'Lundulu D. ↑,
- 46', Idowu R. ↓, McMenamin C. ↑,
- 46', King R. ↓, Baccus K. ↑,
- 64', Ayunga J. ↓, Mooney E. ↑,
- 64', Donnelly L. ↓, Dijksteel M. ↑,
- 65', Polworth L. ↓, Daniels D. ↑,
- 66', Anderson B. ↓, Lyons B. ↑,
- 73', Baccus K. 🟨,
- 82', Kiltie G. ↓, McKenzie R. ↑,
- 88', Daniels D. 🟨,
- 90+2', Brown J. ↓, Brannan B. ↑,
- 90+2', Watson D. ↓, Magennis K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Kilmarnock
34.2% | Draw
28.7% | St. Mirren
37.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kilmarnock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)St. Mirren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kilmarnock than the current prediction. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Mirren than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Kilmarnock - St. Mirren Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.75 ↑
(2.61) |
3.28 ↓
(3.3) |
2.54 ↓
(2.78) |
6.3%
(4.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Kilmarnock - St. Mirren?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Kilmarnock will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). St. Mirren will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for St. Mirren: 19.1% – 73.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. St. Mirren (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kilmarnock won 2.
- In recent matches, Kilmarnock has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- St. Mirren is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Kilmarnock: Brandon J.
(Injury)
Kennedy M.
(Hip Injury)
Lowery T.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Kilmarnock: Tiffoney S.
(Calf Injury)
- There are questionable in St. Mirren: Fraser M.
(Ankle Injury)
Idowu R.
(Injury)
O'Hara M.
(Foot Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kilmarnock won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:24. (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kilmarnock won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 1.8:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Kilmarnock won against St. Mirren?
Kilmarnock has won 5 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has St. Mirren won against Kilmarnock?
St. Mirren has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kilmarnock - St. Mirren were as follows:
19.09.2025
Kilmarnock
-
St. Mirren
2:3
29.03.2025
St. Mirren
-
Kilmarnock
5:1
02.01.2025
Kilmarnock
-
St. Mirren
2:0
14.09.2024
St. Mirren
-
Kilmarnock
2:2
11.05.2024
St. Mirren
-
Kilmarnock
0:1
Latest results of Kilmarnock
Latest results of St. Mirren
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hearts | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 19:6 | 13 | 22 |
| 2 | Celtic | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 17 |
| 3 | Hibernian | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 14:10 | 4 | 11 |
| 4 | Dundee Utd | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14:13 | 1 | 10 |
| 5 | Kilmarnock | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 10 |
| 6 | Rangers | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 8:9 | -1 | 9 |
| 7 | St. Mirren | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 9 |
| 8 | Falkirk | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:14 | -4 | 9 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 9 |
| 10 | Motherwell | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 | Aberdeen | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5:9 | -4 | 7 |
| 12 | Livingston | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | -8 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
