Result
2:3
01/06/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Play Offs - Final
- Referee: Pairetto L. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Israel | 5 PLUS Israel |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1, Blue Zoom |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.62 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (282/366) | 81% (322/397) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.11 | 2.52 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (282/366) | 81% (322/397) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (28/62) | 46% (31/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (71/114) | 57% (55/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.71 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 80% (16/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 66 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.52 | 2.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.48 | 0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 21', Esposito F. 🟨,
- 25', 0 - 1, De Luca M. ⚽, Vazquez F. (A),
- 36', Vazquez F. 🟨,
- 41', Barbieri T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 63', 0 - 2, Collocolo M. ⚽, Vandeputte J. (A),
- 64', Nagy A. ↓, Cassata F. ↑,
- 64', Bandinelli F. ↓, Kouda R. ↑,
- 66', Vandeputte J. 🟨,
- 68', Di Serio G. ↓, Lapadula G. ↑,
- 73', Castagnetti M. ↓, Pickel C. ↑,
- 73', Vandeputte J. ↓, Gelli F. ↑,
- 77', Elia S. ↓, Reca A. ↑,
- 78', Mateju A. ↓, Vignali L. ↑,
- 79', 0 - 3, De Luca M. ⚽, Azzi P. (A),
- 80', Vazquez F. ↓, Valoti M. ↑,
- 84', 1 - 3, Esposito F. ⚽, Esposito Sa. (A),
- 85', 2 - 3, Vignali L. ⚽, Kouda R. (A),
- 90+3', De Luca M. ↓, Nasti M. ↑,
- 90+3', Barbieri T. ↓, Bianchetti M. ↑,
- 90+5', Vignali L. 🟥,
- 90+6', Johnsen D. 🟨,
- 90+9', Nasti M. 🟥,
- 90+9', Reca A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Spezia
37.3% | Draw
29.6% | Cremonese
33.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Cremonese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Spezia - Cremonese Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.52 ↑
(2.32) |
3.18 ↓
(3.25) |
2.88 ↓
(3.04) |
5.8%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Spezia - Cremonese?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Spezia will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Cremonese will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Spezia: 45% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spezia won 0.
- Spezia is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Cremonese has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Spezia might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Spezia: Degli Innocenti D.
(Injury)
Sarr M.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There will not play in Cremonese: Saro G.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Spezia: Soleri E.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Cremonese: Castagnetti M.
(Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Spezia won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 0.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Spezia won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Spezia won against Cremonese?
Spezia has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cremonese won against Spezia?
Cremonese has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Spezia - Cremonese were as follows:
29.05.2025
Cremonese
-
Spezia
0:0
09.05.2025
Spezia
-
Cremonese
2:3
14.09.2024
Cremonese
-
Spezia
1:1
20.01.2024
Spezia
-
Cremonese
0:1
05.11.2023
Cremonese
-
Spezia
3:0
Latest results of Cremonese
Draw
Play OutFinal| 1 | Salernitana (16) | Sampdoria (17) | 0 : 3, 0 : 2 |
