Spezia vs Cremonese – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

01/06/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadio Alberto Picco (La Spezia).

Serie B - Play Offs - Final
Referee: Pairetto L. (Ita)
Where to Watch on TV:


China	ZhiBo8
Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	DAZN Italia
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Switzerland	Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1, Blue Zoom

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.99	1.62
Ball Possession
48%	52%
Total shots
6	10
Shots on target
4	6
Big Chances
3	3
Corner Kicks
2	4
Passes
77% (282/366)	81% (322/397)
Yellow Cards
2	4
Red Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99	1.62
xG on target (xGOT)
2.11	2.52
Total shots
6	10
Shots on target
4	6
Shots off target
2	2
Blocked Shots
0	2
Shots inside the Box
6	6
Shots outside the Box
0	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
3	3
Corner Kicks
2	4
Touches in opposition box
15	16
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
21	20
Passes
77% (282/366)	81% (322/397)
Long passes
45% (28/62)	46% (31/68)
Passes in final third
62% (71/114)	57% (55/96)
Crosses
29% (5/17)	18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.12	0.71
Throw-ins
23	20
Fouls
20	21
Tackles
58% (7/12)	80% (16/20)
Duels won
56	66
Clearances
26	34
Interceptions
7	4
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	2
xGOT faced
2.52	2.11
Goals prevented
-0.48	0.11

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', Esposito F. 🟨,
25', 0 - 1, De Luca M. ⚽, Vazquez F. (A),
36', Vazquez F. 🟨,
41', Barbieri T. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
63', 0 - 2, Collocolo M. ⚽, Vandeputte J. (A),
64', Nagy A. ↓, Cassata F. ↑,
64', Bandinelli F. ↓, Kouda R. ↑,
66', Vandeputte J. 🟨,
68', Di Serio G. ↓, Lapadula G. ↑,
73', Castagnetti M. ↓, Pickel C. ↑,
73', Vandeputte J. ↓, Gelli F. ↑,
77', Elia S. ↓, Reca A. ↑,
78', Mateju A. ↓, Vignali L. ↑,
79', 0 - 3, De Luca M. ⚽, Azzi P. (A),
80', Vazquez F. ↓, Valoti M. ↑,
84', 1 - 3, Esposito F. ⚽, Esposito Sa. (A),
85', 2 - 3, Vignali L. ⚽, Kouda R. (A),
90+3', De Luca M. ↓, Nasti M. ↑,
90+3', Barbieri T. ↓, Bianchetti M. ↑,
90+5', Vignali L. 🟥,
90+6', Johnsen D. 🟨,
90+9', Nasti M. 🟥,
90+9', Reca A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Spezia
37.3%

Draw
29.6%

Cremonese
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

28.9%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

27.6%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Cremonese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Spezia - Cremonese Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.32)	3.18 ↓ (3.25)	2.88 ↓ (3.04)	5.8% (6.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Spezia - Cremonese?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Spezia will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Cremonese will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Spezia: 45% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Spezia will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spezia won 0.
Spezia is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Cremonese has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Spezia might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Spezia: Degli Innocenti D. (Injury) Sarr M. (Shoulder Injury)
There will not play in Cremonese: Saro G. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Spezia: Soleri E. (Injury)
There are questionable in Cremonese: Castagnetti M. (Injury)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Spezia won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 0.8:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Spezia won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.7:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Spezia won against Cremonese?

Spezia has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Cremonese won against Spezia?

Cremonese has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Spezia - Cremonese were as follows:

29.05.2025 Cremonese - Spezia 0:0

09.05.2025 Spezia - Cremonese 2:3

14.09.2024 Cremonese - Spezia 1:1

20.01.2024 Spezia - Cremonese 0:1

05.11.2023 Cremonese - Spezia 3:0

Latest results of Spezia

29.05.2025 Cremonese - Spezia 0:0 ✺

25.05.2025 Spezia - Catanzaro 2:1 ✺

21.05.2025 Catanzaro - Spezia 0:2 ✺

13.05.2025 Spezia - Nuova Cosenza 3:1 ✺

09.05.2025 Spezia - Cremonese 2:3 ✺

Latest results of Cremonese

29.05.2025 Cremonese - Spezia 0:0 ✺

25.05.2025 Cremonese - Juve Stabia 3:0 ✺

21.05.2025 Juve Stabia - Cremonese 2:1 ✺

13.05.2025 Pisa - Cremonese 2:1 ✺

09.05.2025 Spezia - Cremonese 2:3 ✺

Italian Serie B Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Venezia	34	21	9	4	68:29	39	72
2	Frosinone	34	19	12	3	65:33	32	69
3	Monza	34	20	9	5	53:27	26	69
4	Palermo	34	18	11	5	55:28	27	65
5	Catanzaro	33	14	12	7	51:40	11	54
6	Modena	33	14	9	10	44:29	15	51
7	Juve Stabia	34	11	15	8	41:41	0	48
8	Cesena	34	12	8	14	42:50	-8	44
9	Carrarese	34	10	12	12	44:45	-1	42
10	Sudtirol	34	8	16	10	36:37	-1	40
11	Mantova	34	11	7	16	39:48	-9	40
12	Sampdoria	34	10	10	14	34:44	-10	40
13	Avellino	34	10	10	14	38:54	-16	40
14	Padova	34	9	10	15	33:45	-12	37
15	Empoli	34	8	12	14	43:49	-6	36
16	Entella	34	8	11	15	32:47	-15	35
17	Bari	34	8	10	16	33:53	-20	34
18	Reggiana	34	8	9	17	33:52	-19	33
19	Pescara	34	7	11	16	47:61	-14	32
20	Spezia	34	7	9	18	32:51	-19	30

      Promotion ~ Serie A
      Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
      Serie B (Play Out: )
      Relegation