Result
 
                    2:1
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        05/03/2023 at  09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 28
 
                                                - Referee: Paterna D. (Ita)
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
                    
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
								 
				 
				 				 
				                 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Südtirol-Alto Adige  31.3% | Draw  33.4% | Perugia  35.3% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Südtirol-Alto Adige - Perugia Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   3.01 ↑ (2.75) | 
			   2.81 ↓ (2.93) | 
			   2.68 ↓ (2.72) | 
			   6.2% (7.3%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Südtirol-Alto Adige - Perugia?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            23 users predict this event. Südtirol will win (votes: 8 - 34.8%). Perugia will win (votes: 4 - 17.4%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 47.8%). 
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 27.4% – 68.2%.                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                              - During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 15).
 - Südtirol has the most likely position - 4 (17.48%),  has project points - 58,  has currently - 44,  has a very small chance of relegated (<1%),  has a good chance of prom. playoffs (80%),  has a chance of promoted (17%),  has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
 - Perugia has the most likely position - 15 (13.13%),  has project points - 45,  has currently - 30,  has a chance of relegated (20%),  has a small chance of prom. playoffs (6%),  has a very small chance of promoted (<1%),  has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
 - This event has quality 33, small importance 29, match rating 31. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com) 
 - Südtirol is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2). 
 - Recent matches Perugia is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2). 
 - In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
 - Last 4 head-to-head matches Südtirol won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4. 
 - Including matches at home between the teams Südtirol won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Südtirol-Alto Adige won against Perugia?
                    
                    
                        
                            Südtirol-Alto Adige has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Perugia won against Südtirol-Alto Adige?
                    
                    
                        
                             Perugia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Südtirol-Alto Adige - Perugia were as follows:
                                                        
                                16.10.2022 
                                Perugia 
                                - 
                                Südtirol-Alto Adige 
                                1:2
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Südtirol-Alto Adige                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Perugia                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Modena | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 19:6 | 13 | 24 | 
| 2 | Monza | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 15:7 | 8 | 23 | 
| 3 | Frosinone | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20:9 | 11 | 21 | 
| 4 | Cesena | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 16:13 | 3 | 20 | 
| 5 | Palermo | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 19 | 
| 6 | Venezia | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 17:11 | 6 | 16 | 
| 7 | Avellino | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16:19 | -3 | 16 | 
| 8 | Catanzaro | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 13:11 | 2 | 15 | 
| 9 | Reggiana | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18:18 | 0 | 15 | 
| 10 | Carrarese | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 17:15 | 2 | 14 | 
| 11 | Padova | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 14 | 
| 12 | Juve Stabia | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 12:13 | -1 | 14 | 
| 13 | Entella | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11:16 | -5 | 13 | 
| 14 | Bari | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:15 | -5 | 12 | 
| 15 | Sudtirol | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 11 | 
| 16 | Empoli | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13:18 | -5 | 11 | 
| 17 | Pescara | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 15:23 | -8 | 8 | 
| 18 | Mantova | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8:18 | -10 | 8 | 
| 19 | Spezia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 | 
| 20 | Sampdoria | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 7 | 
      Promotion ~ Serie A
      Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
      Serie B (Play Out: )
      Relegation