Result
2:1
21/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 39
- Referee: Brook C. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.26 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (161/273) | 68% (292/429) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.70 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (161/273) | 68% (292/429) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 27% (23/86) | 38% (40/104) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (69/129) | 58% (97/167) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (6/14) | 24% (6/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.76 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 29 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.80 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.30 | -1.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', Pointon B. 🟨,
- 35', Sarcevic A. ↓, Humphrys S. ↑,
- 41', Baldwin A. 🟨,
- 41', 1 - 0, Hartridge A. ⚽, Evans G. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Swan W. ↓, Wheatley E. ↑,
- 46', Neufville J. ↓, Evans L. ↑,
- 58', 2 - 0, Shade T. ⚽, Sibbick T. (A),
- 66', Pointon B. ↓, Mullin P. ↑,
- 74', Krubally S. ↓, Williams D. ↑,
- 75', Cannon A. ↓, McKiernan J. J. ↑,
- 76', Wheatley E. 🟨,
- 77', Metcalfe J. 🟨,
- 83', Shade T. ↓, Adom K. ↑,
- 90+2', 2 - 1, Wright T. ⚽, Evans L. (A),
- 90+4', Metcalfe J. ↓, Wright J. ↑,
- 90+7', Pennington M. 🟨,
- 90+9', Collins B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Burton Albion
32.6% | Draw
29.4% | Bradford City
38% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burton Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Bradford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bradford City than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Burton Albion - Bradford City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.89 ↑
(2.83) |
3.16 ↓
(3.23) |
2.48 ↑
(2.45) |
6.6%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Burton Albion - Bradford City?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Burton will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Bradford will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Bradford (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Bradford (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Bradford (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 18 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burton won 2.
- Recent form of Burton has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Bradford has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Burton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Burton: Delap F.
(Inactive)
Gilligan C.
(Inactive)
Jones J.
(Foot Injury)
Revan S.
(Injury)
Webster C.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Bradford: Baldwin A.
(Red Card)
Jackson K.
(Inactive)
Powell N.
(Inactive)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Burton won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:15. (average 1.4:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Burton won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Burton Albion won against Bradford City?
Burton Albion has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bradford City won against Burton Albion?
Bradford City has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Burton Albion - Bradford City were as follows:
08.11.2025
Bradford City
-
Burton Albion
1:2
18.10.2022
Burton Albion
-
Bradford City
4:0
Latest results of Burton Albion
Latest results of Bradford City
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 39 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 74:34 | 40 | 84 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 73:41 | 32 | 77 |
| 3 | Bolton | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 55:39 | 16 | 66 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 49:44 | 5 | 65 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 51:48 | 3 | 60 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 41:38 | 3 | 60 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 39 | 18 | 5 | 16 | 60:54 | 6 | 59 |
| 8 | Reading | 39 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 57:51 | 6 | 58 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 59:51 | 8 | 57 |
| 10 | Wycombe | 39 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 55:43 | 12 | 56 |
| 11 | Luton | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 52:49 | 3 | 55 |
| 12 | Peterborough | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 57:52 | 5 | 50 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 59:60 | -1 | 50 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 50 |
| 15 | Mansfield | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 47:41 | 6 | 49 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 55:62 | -7 | 48 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 41:59 | -18 | 47 |
| 18 | Burton | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 44:54 | -10 | 46 |
| 19 | Wigan | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
| 20 | Exeter | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 42:52 | -10 | 42 |
| 21 | Blackpool | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46:63 | -17 | 42 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 35:58 | -23 | 36 |
| 23 | Northampton | 39 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 33:56 | -23 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29:49 | -20 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
