Result
3:1
03/05/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Championship Group - Round 3
- Referee: Sozza S. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Albania | SuperSport 4 |
 Australia | SportPlus |
 Belarus | Sport TV |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Brazil | SportyNet |
 Bulgaria | Play Diema Xtra |
 Greece | Nova Sports Prime |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Poland | SportKlub |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Usa | SportPlus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 2.09 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (255/370) | 76% (327/432) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 2.09 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.14 | 1.74 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (255/370) | 76% (327/432) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (28/73) | 32% (21/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (50/94) | 72% (104/144) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 30% (8/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 1.78 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 87% (13/15) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 40 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.74 | 3.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 15', 1 - 0, Jeremejeff A. ⚽,
- 29', 1 - 1, El Kaabi A. ⚽, Chiquinho (A),
- 43', Ortega F. 🟨,
- 45', Zafeiris C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 55', 2 - 1, Zivkovic A. ⚽, Konstantelias G. (A),
- 65', 3 - 1, Jeremejeff A. ⚽, Zivkovic A. (A),
- 71', Garcia D. ↓, Mouzakitis C. ↑,
- 71', Rodinei ↓, Podence D. ↑,
- 77', Taison ↓, Pelkas D. ↑,
- 77', Meite S. ↓, Ozdoev M. ↑,
- 81', Martins G. ↓, Andre Luiz ↑,
- 87', Jeremejeff A. ↓, Mythou A. ↑,
- 87', Konstantelias G. ↓, Ivanusec L. ↑,
- 90', Chiquinho ↓, Taremi M. ↑,
- 90', Retsos P. ↓, Biancone G. ↑,
- 90+2', Zafeiris C. ↓, Bianco A. ↑,
Chances of winning
PAOK
30.7% | Draw
31% | Olympiacos Piraeus
38.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
PAOK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that PAOK's form might have worsened.Olympiacos Piraeus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for PAOK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympiacos Piraeus than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Olympiacos Piraeus, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
PAOK - Olympiacos Piraeus Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.05 ↑
(2.57) |
3.01 ↓
(3.05) |
2.48 ↓
(2.7) |
6.3%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for PAOK - Olympiacos Piraeus?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. PAOK will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Olympiacos will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 16.1% – 74.9%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Olympiacos (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Olympiacos (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Olympiacos (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, PAOK won 3.
- PAOK has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Olympiacos has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- PAOK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in PAOK: Despodov K.
(Muscle Injury)
Giakoumakis G.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, PAOK won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:29. (average 1.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, PAOK won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has PAOK won against Olympiacos Piraeus?
PAOK has won 6 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Olympiacos Piraeus won against PAOK?
Olympiacos Piraeus has won 7 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between PAOK - Olympiacos Piraeus were as follows:
08.03.2026
Olympiacos Piraeus
-
PAOK
0:0
14.01.2026
Olympiacos Piraeus
-
PAOK
0:2
05.10.2025
PAOK
-
Olympiacos Piraeus
2:1
04.05.2025
Olympiacos Piraeus
-
PAOK
4:2
06.04.2025
PAOK
-
Olympiacos Piraeus
2:1
Latest results of Olympiacos Piraeus
Greek Super League Table
Relegation Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 9 | Atromitos | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 38:38 | 0 | 40 |
| 10 | Kifisia | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 35:45 | -10 | 34 |
| 11 | Panetolikos | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 30:46 | -16 | 31 |
| 12 | Panserraikos | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 23:63 | -40 | 28 |
| 13 | Asteras Tripolis | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 32:47 | -15 | 28 |
| 14 | AEL Larissa | 32 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 28:50 | -22 | 25 |
Relegation ~ Super League 2
