Result
23:34
24/01/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- United Rugby Championship - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | FloSports app, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player, URC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Conversion goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Conversion goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres run with ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (13 - 13)
- 2nd Half (10 - 21)
Chances of winning
Connacht
27.4% | Draw
4.4% | Leinster
68.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Connacht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Leinster has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Connacht than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leinster than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Connacht - Leinster Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.39 ↓
(3.41) |
20.33 ↓
(22.41) |
1.35 ↓
(1.36) |
8.4%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 43.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-9)
What is the prediction for Connacht - Leinster?
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. Leinster will win (votes: 2 - 100%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Leinster (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 18:27.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Connacht won 0.
- Recent form of Connacht has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Leinster is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In this match, Leinster is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Connacht won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 18 matches, and goals 345:678. (average 17.3:33.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Connacht won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 169:297. (average 16.9:29.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Connacht won against Leinster?
Connacht has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leinster won against Connacht?
Leinster has won 7 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Connacht - Leinster were as follows:
03.01.2026
Leinster
-
Connacht
52:17
21.12.2024
Leinster
-
Connacht
20:12
19.10.2024
Connacht
-
Leinster
12:33
31.05.2024
Leinster
-
Connacht
33:7
02.12.2023
Connacht
-
Leinster
22:24
Latest results of Connacht
Latest results of Leinster
United Rugby Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Glasgow Warriors | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 320:170 | 45 |
| 2 | Leinster | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 308:242 | 41 |
| 3 | Cardiff Rugby | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 240:210 | 40 |
| 4 | Munster | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 248:225 | 39 |
| 5 | Stormers | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 284:185 | 36 |
| 6 | Ulster | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 312:229 | 36 |
| 7 | Lions | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 325:342 | 33 |
| 8 | Bulls | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 304:270 | 30 |
| 9 | Ospreys | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 260:273 | 29 |
| 10 | Connacht | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 258:279 | 25 |
| 11 | Sharks | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 256:333 | 24 |
| 12 | Edinburgh | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 219:213 | 23 |
| 13 | Benetton | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 216:281 | 23 |
| 14 | Dragons | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 227:286 | 20 |
| 15 | Scarlets | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 192:263 | 16 |
| 16 | Zebre | 12 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 197:365 | 12 |
Promotion ~ United Rugby Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
