Result
2:2
21/09/2025 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 9
- Referee: Karski L. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 Poland | CANAL+ 360, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Premium, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 0.78 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (210/274) | 87% (323/371) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 0.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 1.98 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (210/274) | 87% (323/371) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (20/49) | 41% (12/29) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (59/95) | 78% (95/122) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/23) | 8% (1/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.77 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (14/23) | 60% (6/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.98 | 1.75 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.02 | -0.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', Rodrigues I. 🟨,
- 6', 1 - 0, Rocha L. ⚽, Regula M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', van Hoeven B. ↓, Fabio Ronaldo ↑,
- 46', Krol M. ↓, Ndiaye M. ↑,
- 51', 1 - 1, Labojko J. ⚽,
- 52', 1 - 2, Fabio Ronaldo ⚽, Ndiaye M. (A),
- 58', Regula M. 🟨,
- 63', Radwanski A. ↓, Wdowiak M. ↑,
- 63', Regula M. ↓, Sypek J. ↑,
- 63', Rocha L. ↓, Kosidis M. ↑,
- 65', Nalepa M. 🟨,
- 67', Labojko J. 🟨,
- 69', Stolarski P. ↓, Wojcik F. ↑,
- 69', Labojko J. ↓, Samper S. ↑,
- 71', Meyer P. 🟨,
- 77', Wolski B. 🟨,
- 81', Wolski B. ↓, Scalet M. ↑,
- 81', Corluka J. ↓, Yakuba R. ↑,
- 82', Lucic L. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
- 85', 2 - 2, Kosidis M. (Pen),
- 90+3', Kocaba F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Zagłębie Lubin
49.8% | Draw
25.2% | Motor Lublin
24.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zagłębie Lubin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)Motor Lublin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zagłębie Lubin than the current prediction. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Zagłębie Lubin - Motor Lublin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.93 ↓
(2.05) |
3.85 ↑
(3.7) |
3.94 ↑
(3.31) |
3%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Zagłębie Lubin - Motor Lublin?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Zagłębie Lubin will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Motor will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Zagłębie Lubin (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Motor (1.68) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0, 1st Half - Motor (2.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Zagłębie Lubin (votes: 1 - 25%). Motor (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 13).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Motor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Zagłębie Lubin is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Zagłębie Lubin: Grzybek M.
(Broken Leg)
Mroz M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Motor: Najemski A.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Zagłębie Lubin: Corluka J.
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Lubin won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Zagłębie Lubin won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Zagłębie Lubin won against Motor Lublin?
Zagłębie Lubin has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Motor Lublin won against Zagłębie Lubin?
Motor Lublin has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zagłębie Lubin - Motor Lublin were as follows:
18.05.2025
Motor Lublin
-
Zagłębie Lubin
1:0
22.11.2024
Zagłębie Lubin
-
Motor Lublin
1:2
19.10.2022
Motor Lublin
-
Zagłębie Lubin
1:0
Latest results of Zagłębie Lubin
Latest results of Motor Lublin
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jagiellonia | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 39:26 | 13 | 38 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 37:27 | 10 | 38 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 40:34 | 6 | 38 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 33:31 | 2 | 34 |
| 5 | Rakow | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 31:29 | 2 | 34 |
| 6 | Cracovia | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 29:25 | 4 | 33 |
| 7 | Wisla Plock | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 24:20 | 4 | 33 |
| 8 | Pogon Szczecin | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 33:35 | -2 | 31 |
| 9 | Korona Kielce | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 27:26 | 1 | 30 |
| 10 | GKS Katowice | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 30 |
| 11 | Motor Lublin | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 32:37 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 | Radomiak Radom | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 37:34 | 3 | 29 |
| 13 | Piast Gliwice | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 26:28 | -2 | 29 |
| 14 | Lechia Gdansk | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 46:45 | 1 | 28 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 21:38 | -17 | 26 |
| 16 | Legia | 23 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 27:29 | -2 | 25 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 29:33 | -4 | 24 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 27:40 | -13 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
