Saint-Gilloise vs Gent – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
06/12/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Jupiler Pro League - Round 17
  • Referee: Bourdeaud'hui S. (Bel)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDAZN
austriaAustriaDAZN
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza
boliviaBoliviaDAZN
brazilBrazilDAZN Brasil
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
ecuadorEcuadorDAZN
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
paraguayParaguayDAZN
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
spainSpainDAZN Espana
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
taiwanTaiwanDAZN
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDAZN
usaUsaDAZN USA
venezuelaVenezuelaDAZN

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.100.61
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
206
Shots on target
104
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
80
Passes
88% (510/578)73% (245/335)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
2.100.61
xG on target (xGOT)
2.271.69
Total shots
206
Shots on target
104
Shots off target
71
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
132
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
80
Touches in opposition box
319
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
613
Passes
88% (510/578)73% (245/335)
Long passes
57% (31/54)33% (24/73)
Passes in final third
83% (185/224)56% (35/62)
Crosses
7% (3/44)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.240.28
Throw-ins
2315
Fouls
136
Tackles
70% (7/10)67% (8/12)
Duels won
3543
Clearances
1754
Interceptions
58
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
39
xGOT faced
1.692.27
Goals prevented
0.691.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Samoise M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 66', Florucz R. , David P. ,
  • 70', Mac Allister K. 🟨,
  • 74', Ait El Hadj A. , Boufal S. ,
  • 74', Rodriguez K. , Giger M. ,
  • 74', Skoras M. , Surdez F. ,
  • 76', Goore H. , Ito A. ,
  • 77', Samoise M. , Duverne J. ,
  • 77', 1 - 1, Mac Allister K. ,
  • 86', Kanga W. 🟨,
  • 86', Kadri A. , Dean M. ,
  • 90', Khalaili A. , Patris L. ,

Chances of winning


Saint-Gilloise
70.5%
Draw
18.3%
Gent
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67% 20.1% 12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.9% 19.3% 12.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Saint-Gilloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Gent has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gent than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Saint-Gilloise - Gent Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.34
    (1.38)
    5.23
    (4.6)
    8.44
    (7.2)
    5.5%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Saint-Gilloise - Gent?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Union SG will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Gent will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Union SG: 50.9%95.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Union SG (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Union SG won 5.
    • Union SG is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Gent has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Gent may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Union SG is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Union SG: Fuseini M. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Union SG won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 26:9. (average 2:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Union SG won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:4. (average 1.9:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Saint-Gilloise - Gent were as follows:
    09.08.2025 Gent - Saint-Gilloise 2:3
    25.05.2025 Saint-Gilloise - Gent 3:1
    05.04.2025 Gent - Saint-Gilloise 0:3
    26.12.2024 Gent - Saint-Gilloise 1:3
    04.12.2024 Saint-Gilloise - Gent 3:2
    Latest results of Saint-Gilloise
    Latest results of Gent
    03.12.2025 Cercle Brugge - Gent 1:3
    30.11.2025 Gent - Sint-Truidense 1:2
    22.11.2025 Westerlo - Gent 0:0
    09.11.2025 Gent - Genk 1:1
    02.11.2025 Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Gent 4:0
    Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Royale Union SG ✔ 26168243:152856
    2St. Truiden ✔ 26173644:291554
    3Club Brugge KV ✔ 26172749:311853
    4Anderlecht26117834:32240
    5KV Mechelen26109734:29539
    6Gent261061041:38336
    7Genk2698936:40-435
    8St. Liege261041224:33-934
    9Westerlo26971034:38-434
    10Charleroi26961135:35033
    11Antwerp26861229:30-130
    12Waregem26781136:42-629
    13Leuven26771228:37-928
    14Cercle Brugge KSV26691134:40-627
    15RAAL La Louviere265101121:30-925
    16Dender26381521:44-2317

          Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
          Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Royale Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
    St. Truiden is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
    Club Brugge KV is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )