Result
0:2
01/04/2023 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 39
- Referee: Backhouse A. (Eng)
Chances of winning
Derby County
27.7% | Draw
29% | Ipswich Town
43.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Ipswich Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Derby County - Ipswich Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.39 ↑
(2.94) |
3.27 ↑
(3.16) |
2.18 ↓
(2.43) |
5.9%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Derby County - Ipswich Town?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Ipswich will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 23.1% – 88.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
- Derby has the most likely position - 6 (26.67%), project points - 77, currently - 64, not chance of relegated, a chance of prom. playoffs (50%), a small chance of promoted (11%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Ipswich has the most likely position - 3 (30.67%), project points - 92, currently - 75, not chance of relegated, a good chance of prom. playoffs (62%), a good chance of promoted (58%), a small chance of win league (15%).
- This event has quality 38, importance 57, match rating 48. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Derby won 2.
- Derby is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Ipswich is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
- Ipswich could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Ipswich will have a mini benefit in this match.
- Last 16 head-to-head matches Derby won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 18-15.
- Including matches at home between the teams Derby won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-9.
How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Ipswich Town?
Derby County has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ipswich Town won against Derby County?
Ipswich Town has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Ipswich Town were as follows:
21.10.2022
Ipswich Town
-
Derby County
1:0
Latest results of Derby County
Latest results of Ipswich Town
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 13 |
| 2 | Stevenage | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 12 |
| 3 | Barnsley | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Huddersfield | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 | 9 |
| 6 | Lincoln | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | Luton | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5:3 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | Stockport County | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 7 |
| 9 | Wigan | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 7 |
| 10 | Leyton Orient | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Doncaster | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 | Exeter | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:4 | 2 | 6 |
| 13 | Mansfield | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 6 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 15 | Bolton | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 5 |
| 16 | Burton | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 17 | Rotherham | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 18 | Blackpool | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 3 |
| 19 | Port Vale | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
| 20 | Wycombe | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
| 21 | Reading | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 1 |
| 22 | Northampton | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 1 |
| 23 | Plymouth | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 0 |
| 24 | Peterborough | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
