Result
1:0
09/05/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.16 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (341/416) | 78% (232/299) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.16 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (341/416) | 78% (232/299) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (17/30) | 45% (26/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (98/136) | 57% (31/54) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (6/21) | 28% (5/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.12 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.94 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.94 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 63', Estupinan L. ↓, Bailone I. ↑,
- 64', Calderon R. ↓, Moreno K. ↑,
- 65', Vasquez S. ↓, Mejia M. ↑,
- 65', Herrera A. ↓, Mena A. ↑,
- 78', Molina N. ↓, Luna R. ↑,
- 80', Chacon J. 🟨,
- 80', Mancinelli L. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 80', Lopez A. ↓, Solis Jaramillo M. A. ↑,
- 80', Chacon J. ↓, Piedra M. ↑,
- 82', Solis Jaramillo M. A. 🟨,
- 82', 1 - 0, Parrales M. ⚽,
- 84', Parrales M. 🟨,
- 86', Caicedo B. ↓, Olinick A. ↑,
- 89', Luna R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Orense
53.6% | Draw
27.8% | Deportivo Cuenca
18.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Orense's performance.Deportivo Cuenca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Cuenca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orense than the current prediction. (-12.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Orense that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (+9.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Cuenca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Orense - Deportivo Cuenca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.78 ↓
(2.3) |
3.38 ↑
(3) |
4.97 ↑
(3.23) |
5.8%
(7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Orense - Deportivo Cuenca?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Orense will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Orense (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orense won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Orense could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Orense won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Orense won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.2:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Orense won against Deportivo Cuenca?
Orense has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Cuenca won against Orense?
Deportivo Cuenca has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Orense - Deportivo Cuenca were as follows:
09.08.2024
Deportivo Cuenca
-
Orense
1:2
10.03.2024
Orense
-
Deportivo Cuenca
1:1
03.09.2023
Deportivo Cuenca
-
Orense
1:0
07.04.2023
Orense
-
Deportivo Cuenca
2:0
15.10.2022
Orense
-
Deportivo Cuenca
1:0
Latest results of Deportivo Cuenca
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 39:19 | 20 | 43 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 33:25 | 8 | 38 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 37:21 | 16 | 37 |
| 4 | Dep. Cuenca | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 34 |
| 5 | Orense | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 24:24 | 0 | 34 |
| 6 | Libertad | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 31:26 | 5 | 33 |
| 7 | Aucas | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 28:26 | 2 | 32 |
| 8 | U. Catolica | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 34:28 | 6 | 28 |
| 9 | Delfin | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 20:29 | -9 | 26 |
| 10 | Emelec | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 16:24 | -8 | 25 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 24 |
| 12 | Vinotinto | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26:29 | -3 | 23 |
| 13 | Manta | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 27:34 | -7 | 23 |
| 14 | Macara | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 19:21 | -2 | 22 |
| 15 | Mushuc Runa | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 24:38 | -14 | 17 |
| 16 | Tecnico U | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19:33 | -14 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
