Result
2:0
08/04/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Simon N. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Brazil | Disney+ |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 0.81 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (224/286) | 86% (440/511) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 0.81 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 0.53 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (224/286) | 86% (440/511) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (15/46) | 62% (39/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (40/66) | 67% (91/135) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 34% (10/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 1.00 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 100% (13/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 41 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.84 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.53 | -0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, MacKinnon L. ⚽, Palomino M. (A),
- 24', Crognale A. 🟨,
- 34', 2 - 0, Bazini Y. ⚽,
- 40', Hernandez J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Erofeev D. ↓, Calov C. ↑,
- 46', Hernandez J. ↓, Johnson E. ↑,
- 49', Ward A. 🟨,
- 69', MacKinnon L. ↓, Zubak E. ↑,
- 69', Palomino M. ↓, Sylla O. ↑,
- 76', Hegardt C. 🟨,
- 78', Cuello E. ↓, Blanco N. ↑,
- 80', Ward A. ↓, Sorto C. ↑,
- 83', Brewitt T. 🟨,
- 83', Patino S. ↓, Tiago ↑,
- 84', Hegardt C. ↓, Doody G. ↑,
- 84', Bazini Y. ↓, Espy T. ↑,
- 86', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Orange County SC 35.1% | Draw 31% | San Antonio 33.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orange County SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)San Antonio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Antonio than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Orange County SC - San Antonio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.65 ↑ (2.58) |
2.99 ↑ (2.77) |
2.74 ↓ (3.04) |
7.8% (7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 3.
- Recent performances by Orange County SC have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- San Antonio is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:16. (average 1.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Orange County SC won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 1.1:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Orange County SC won against San Antonio?
Orange County SC has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Antonio won against Orange County SC?
San Antonio has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Orange County SC - San Antonio were as follows:
15.10.2025
Orange County SC
-
San Antonio
1:0
20.09.2025
San Antonio
-
Orange County SC
3:1
20.07.2024
Orange County SC
-
San Antonio
2:0
13.04.2024
San Antonio
-
Orange County SC
0:0
07.10.2023
Orange County SC
-
San Antonio
1:0
Latest results of Orange County SC
Latest results of San Antonio
USL Championship Table
2026Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 13 |
| 2 | Louisville City | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:9 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Detroit | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Charleston | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
| 5 | Miami FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
| 6 | Hartford Athletic | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 | Indy Eleven | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 8 |
| 8 | Pittsburgh | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 7 |
| 9 | Brooklyn | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
| 10 | Rhode Island | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Loudoun | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 3 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | 1 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Orange County SC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 14 |
| 2 | El Paso | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14:5 | 9 | 13 |
| 3 | San Antonio | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 12 |
| 4 | Sacramento Republic | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Oakland Roots | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 6 | New Mexico | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 6 |
| 7 | Phoenix Rising | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Colorado Springs | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 5 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 5 |
| 10 | Lexington | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
| 11 | FC Tulsa | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:9 | -7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)