Result
1:0
12/03/2023 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 29
- Referee: Chiffi D. (Ita)
Chances of winning
Nuova Cosenza
37.8% | Draw
30.4% | SPAL
31.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nuova Cosenza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)SPAL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Nuova Cosenza - SPAL Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.49 ↓
(2.58) |
3.08 ↓
(3.13) |
2.96 ↑
(2.65) |
6.4%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Nuova Cosenza - SPAL?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Cosenza will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). SPAL will win (votes: 1 - 5.3%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 63.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 41.5% – 84.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Cosenza has the most likely position - 20 (59.06%), has project points - 34, has currently - 26, has a good chance of relegated (93%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.
- SPAL has the most likely position - 19 (17.05%), has project points - 40, has currently - 28, has a good chance of relegated (56%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.
- This event has small quality 21, importance 45, match rating 33. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Cosenza won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-10.
- Including matches at home between the teams Cosenza won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
How many head-to-head matches has Nuova Cosenza won against SPAL?
Nuova Cosenza has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SPAL won against Nuova Cosenza?
SPAL has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nuova Cosenza - SPAL were as follows:
22.10.2022
SPAL
-
Nuova Cosenza
5:0
Latest results of Nuova Cosenza
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 68:29 | 39 | 72 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 65:33 | 32 | 69 |
| 3 | Monza | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 53:27 | 26 | 69 |
| 4 | Palermo | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 55:28 | 27 | 65 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 53:42 | 11 | 55 |
| 6 | Modena | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 46:31 | 15 | 52 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 41:41 | 0 | 48 |
| 8 | Cesena | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 42:50 | -8 | 44 |
| 9 | Carrarese | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 44:45 | -1 | 42 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 34 | 8 | 16 | 10 | 36:37 | -1 | 40 |
| 11 | Mantova | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 39:48 | -9 | 40 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 34:44 | -10 | 40 |
| 13 | Avellino | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 38:54 | -16 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 33:45 | -12 | 37 |
| 15 | Empoli | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 43:49 | -6 | 36 |
| 16 | Entella | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 32:47 | -15 | 35 |
| 17 | Bari | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 33:53 | -20 | 34 |
| 18 | Reggiana | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33:52 | -19 | 33 |
| 19 | Pescara | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 47:61 | -14 | 32 |
| 20 | Spezia | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 32:51 | -19 | 30 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
