Nuova Cosenza vs Bari – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

01/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla (Cosenza).

Serie B - Round 36
Referee: Crezzini V. (Ita)
Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.57	1.06
Ball Possession
36%	64%
Total shots
14	10
Shots on target
6	3
Big Chances
4	2
Corner Kicks
2	4
Passes
80% (200/251)	83% (363/436)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57	1.06
xG on target (xGOT)
1.95	0.65
Total shots
14	10
Shots on target
6	3
Shots off target
6	3
Blocked Shots
2	4
Shots inside the Box
9	7
Shots outside the Box
5	3
Hit the Woodwork
2	1
Big Chances
4	2
Corner Kicks
2	4
Touches in opposition box
27	19
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	3
Free Kicks
14	14
Passes
80% (200/251)	83% (363/436)
Long passes
30% (13/43)	51% (25/49)
Passes in final third
65% (60/92)	61% (65/106)
Crosses
23% (3/13)	17% (4/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.37	0.43
Throw-ins
17	24
Fouls
14	14
Tackles
47% (7/15)	56% (9/16)
Duels won
51	64
Clearances
40	9
Interceptions
4	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	5
xGOT faced
0.65	1.95
Goals prevented
0.65	0.79

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', Ricci G. 🟨,
35', Maggiore G. 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, Gargiulo M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Maggiore G. ↓, Bonfanti N. ↑,
46', Maiello R. ↓, Benali A. ↑,
46', Lasagna K. ↓, Favilli A. ↑,
52', Zilli M. ↓, Artistico G. ↑,
57', Artistico G. (Pen),
59', Falletti C. ↓, Bellomo N. ↑,
67', Favasuli C. ↓, Pereiro G. ↑,
73', Florenzi A. ↓, Kourfalidis C. ↑,
73', Cimino B. ↓, Ricciardi M. ↑,
73', Rizzo Pinna A. ↓, Mazzocchi S. ↑,
74', Dalle Mura C. 🟨,
85', Dalle Mura C. ↓, Venturi M. ↑,
90+4', Favilli A. 🟨,
90+6', Ricciardi M. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/yc5ezjmb

Chances of winning

Nuova Cosenza
26.5%

Draw
28.9%

Bari
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

29.3%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

30.2%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuova Cosenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Bari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bari than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Nuova Cosenza - Bari Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.53 ↑ (3.12)	3.24 ↑ (3.2)	2.12 ↓ (2.32)	6.3% (6.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Nuova Cosenza - Bari?

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Cosenza will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). Bari will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bari: 51.5% – 92.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Bari (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bari will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Cosenza (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Bari (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Cosenza won 1.
Cosenza is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Bari is playing unpredictably (in the last 5 games, wins - 1).
Bari will have a mini benefit in this match.
There will not play in Cosenza: Cruz J. M. (Injury) Garritano L. (Calf Injury)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Cosenza won 1 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:6 (average 1:1).
Including matches at home between the teams, Cosenza won 1 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 matches, and goals 4:2 (average 2:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Nuova Cosenza won against Bari?

Nuova Cosenza has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Bari won against Nuova Cosenza?

Bari has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Nuova Cosenza - Bari were as follows:

28.09.2024 Bari - Nuova Cosenza 1:1

27.04.2024 Nuova Cosenza - Bari 4:1

23.12.2023 Bari - Nuova Cosenza 0:0

12.02.2023 Bari - Nuova Cosenza 2:1

10.09.2022 Nuova Cosenza - Bari 0:1

Latest results of Nuova Cosenza

25.04.2025 Salernitana - Nuova Cosenza 3:1 ✺

12.04.2025 Nuova Cosenza - Brescia 1:1 ✺

05.04.2025 Frosinone - Nuova Cosenza 2:2 ✺

29.03.2025 Nuova Cosenza - Pisa 0:3 ✺

07.03.2025 Nuova Cosenza - Reggiana 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Bari

25.04.2025 Bari - Modena 1:2 ✺

11.04.2025 Bari - Palermo 2:1 ✺

06.04.2025 Catanzaro - Bari 3:3 ✺

30.03.2025 Carrarese - Bari 2:1 ✺

15.03.2025 Bari - Salernitana 0:0 ✺

Italian Serie B Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Venezia ✔	37	23	10	4	75:31	44	79
2	Frosinone	37	22	12	3	71:34	37	78
3	Monza	37	22	9	6	59:30	29	75
4	Palermo	37	20	12	5	61:31	30	72
5	Catanzaro ✔	37	15	14	8	60:48	12	59
6	Modena ✔	37	15	10	12	49:35	14	55
7	Juve Stabia ✔	37	11	17	9	43:44	-1	50
8	Avellino	37	12	10	15	42:55	-13	46
9	Cesena	37	12	10	15	42:52	-10	46
10	Mantova	37	13	7	17	45:52	-7	46
11	Carrarese	37	10	14	13	46:50	-4	44
12	Sampdoria	37	11	11	15	35:47	-12	44
13	Padova	37	11	10	16	35:46	-11	43
14	Empoli	37	9	13	15	45:52	-7	40
15	Sudtirol	37	8	16	13	37:47	-10	40
16	Entella	37	9	12	16	34:50	-16	39
17	Bari	37	9	10	18	35:58	-23	37
18	Pescara	37	7	13	17	50:65	-15	34
19	Spezia	37	8	10	19	42:58	-16	34
20	Reggiana	37	8	10	19	35:56	-21	34

      Promotion ~ Serie A
      Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
      Serie B (Play Out: )
      Relegation

Clinched Spots for Teams

Venezia is Qualified for Serie A
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Juve Stabia is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)