Watford vs Luton Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
23/02/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: Championship - Round 34
  • Referee: Kitchen A. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hungaryHungaryNet4+
israelIsraelSport 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+
usaUsaCBS, Paramount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.480.73
Ball Possession
54%46%
Goal Attempts
1010
Shots on Goal
52
Shots off Goal
54
Blocked Shots
04
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
46
Shots inside the Box
67
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
Free Kicks
1713
Offsides
21
Fouls
1317
Yellow Cards
22
Throw-ins
1011
Touches in the Opposition Box
1422
Passes
85% (323/382)81% (255/313)
Passes in the final third
74% (50/68)69% (75/109)
Crosses
22% (2/9)11% (3/27)
Tackles
63% (12/19)41% (9/22)
Clearances Total
369
Interceptions
66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 5', Ngakia J. 🟨,
  • 11', 1 - 0, Dele-Bashiru T. (Pen),
  • 23', 2 - 0, Kayembe E. , Chakvetadze G. (A),
  • 42', Andersen M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Larouci Y. , Andrews R. ,
  • 46', Nordas L. , Brown J. ,
  • 46', Andersen M. , Makosso C. ,
  • 46', Nakamba M. , Baptiste S. ,
  • 53', Keben K. , Pollock M. ,
  • 58', Pollock M. 🟨,
  • 70', Baptiste S. , Bowler J. ,
  • 73', Morris C. 🟨,
  • 78', Doumbia M. , Bayo V. ,
  • 78', Abankwah J. , Sierralta F. ,
  • 84', Morris C. , Adebayo E. ,
  • 90+6', Chakvetadze G. , Morris J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Watford
40.7%
Draw
29.8%
Luton Town
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.1% 27.1% 32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8% 25.5% 34.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Watford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Watford than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luton Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Watford - Luton Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.35
    (2.35)
    3.18
    (3.48)
    3.25
    (2.88)
    4.8%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Watford - Luton Town?
  • Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Watford will win (votes: 21 - 75%). Luton will win (votes: 2 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 17.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Watford: 59%91%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
    • Two teams are in a poor body shape now.
    • Watford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Watford: Baah K. (Injury) Bachmann D. (Ankle Injury) Dwomoh P. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Luton: Chong T. (Muscle Injury) Mengi T. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Watford: Wiley C. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There are questionable in Luton: Burke R. (Hip Injury) Lockyer T. (Ankle Injury)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Watford won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:6 (average 1:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Watford won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:0 (average 2.5:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Watford - Luton Town were as follows:
    19.10.2024 Luton Town - Watford 3:0
    01.04.2023 Luton Town - Watford 2:0
    23.10.2022 Watford - Luton Town 4:0
    Latest results of Watford
    15.02.2025 Middlesbrough - Watford 0:1
    11.02.2025 Watford - Leeds United 0:4
    08.02.2025 Sunderland - Watford 2:2
    01.02.2025 Watford - Norwich City 0:1
    25.01.2025 Coventry City - Watford 2:1
    Latest results of Luton Town
    English League Championship Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry462811797:455295
    2Ipswich462315880:473384
    3Millwall4624111164:491583
    4Southampton4622141082:562680
    5Middlesbrough4622141072:472580
    6Hull4621101570:66473
    7Wrexham4619141369:65471
    8Derby462091767:59869
    9Norwich461981963:56765
    10Birmingham4617131657:56164
    11Swansea4618101857:59-264
    12Bristol City4617111859:59062
    13Sheffield Utd461862266:66060
    14Preston4615151655:62-760
    15QPR4616102061:73-1258
    16Watford4614151753:65-1257
    17Stoke4615102151:56-555
    18Portsmouth4614131949:64-1555
    19Charlton4613141944:58-1453
    20Blackburn4613132042:56-1452
    21West Brom4613141948:58-1051
    22Oxford Utd4611142145:59-1447
    23Leicester4612161858:68-1046
    24Sheffield Wed462123229:89-600

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One