Hadiya Hossana vs Arba Minch – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
27/11/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 7

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
96
Shots on target
24
Corner Kicks
63
Total shots
96
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
72
Corner Kicks
63

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Iyassu T. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 84', 1 - 1, Alemayehu E. ,

Chances of winning


Hadiya Hossana
37.1%
Draw
34.2%
Arba Minch
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.7% 32.3% 23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45% 32.1% 22.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hadiya Hossana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hadiya Hossana's form might have worsened.
  • Arba Minch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arba Minch's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hadiya Hossana than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hadiya Hossana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arba Minch than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arba Minch, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Hadiya Hossana - Arba Minch Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.47
    (2.02)
    2.68
    (2.8)
    3.2
    (3.92)
    8.9%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hadiya Hossana won 1.
    • Hadiya Hossana has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Arba Minch has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Hadiya Hossana won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:9. (average 1.7:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hadiya Hossana won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hadiya Hossana - Arba Minch were as follows:
    23.06.2025 Hadiya Hossana - Arba Minch 0:1
    04.02.2025 Arba Minch - Hadiya Hossana 3:3
    14.04.2023 Hadiya Hossana - Arba Minch 2:0
    19.10.2022 Arba Minch - Hadiya Hossana 0:0
    Latest results of Hadiya Hossana
    Latest results of Arba Minch
    Ethiopian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sidama Bunna22119227:111642
    2Hawassa22107525:141137
    3Negele Arsi Ketema22107522:14837
    4Mechal2297629:191034
    5Fasil Kenema2289516:14233
    6Adama City21711319:17232
    7Ethio Electric22710515:12331
    8Ethiopia Bunna2185819:20-129
    9Bahir Dar Kenema22512515:17-227
    10Hadiya Hossana2176818:21-327
    11Shire Endaselassie2268815:16-126
    12St. George2167816:17-125
    13Dire Dawa21510614:21-725
    14Ethiopian Insurance2259816:17-124
    15Ethiopia Nigd Bank2259826:29-324
    16Sheger Ketema22412618:21-324
    17Welwalo Adigrat2259816:23-724
    18Welayta Dicha22411723:25-223
    19Mekelle 70 Enderta21410714:22-822
    20Arba Menche222101014:27-1316

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