Result
1:0
10/04/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 1.11 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (281/359) | 79% (330/418) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 1.11 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.88 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (281/359) | 79% (330/418) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (33/63) | 58% (48/83) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (40/69) | 61% (90/148) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (2/14) | 23% (5/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.69 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (15/25) | 70% (14/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.88 | 1.41 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 13', Meza Montiel D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 55', Martinez L. ↓, Gomez G. ↑,
- 61', Tanda P. ↓, Manzur A. ↑,
- 61', Jhon Sanchez ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
- 64', Barrios J. ↓, Colman C. ↑,
- 64', Duarte J. ↓, Esteche L. ↑,
- 70', Perez D. 🟨,
- 72', 1 - 0, Aguero M. ⚽, Villamayor H. (A),
- 76', Perez D. ↓, Torales R. ↑,
- 76', Fernandez D. ↓, Ferreira Gonzalez K. ↑,
- 81', Aguero M. ↓, Lopez M. ↑,
- 85', Villamayor H. ↓, Alfonso M. ↑,
- 85', Galeano A. ↓, Oviedo A. ↑,
- 90+3', Franco L. 🟨,
- 90+4', Rodriguez D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sportivo San Lorenzo
20.7% | Draw
27.3% | Guaraní Asuncion
52.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Guaraní Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Sportivo San Lorenzo - Guaraní Asuncion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.51 ↑
(4.27) |
3.42 ↓
(3.46) |
1.8 ↓
(1.83) |
7%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sportivo San Lorenzo - Guaraní Asuncion?
Users Predictions:
Guaraní Asuncion will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Guaraní Asuncion will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 and 6).
- Sportivo San Lorenzo has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Guaraní's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Guaraní has had a series of home games.
- Guaraní is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sportivo San Lorenzo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo San Lorenzo won against Guaraní Asuncion?
Sportivo San Lorenzo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guaraní Asuncion won against Sportivo San Lorenzo?
Guaraní Asuncion has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sportivo San Lorenzo - Guaraní Asuncion were as follows:
13.02.2026
Guaraní Asuncion
-
Sportivo San Lorenzo
3:1
Latest results of Sportivo San Lorenzo
Latest results of Guaraní Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 26:9 | 17 | 39 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 25:13 | 12 | 33 |
| 3 | Ameliano | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 20:13 | 7 | 27 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 22:17 | 5 | 25 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 20:15 | 5 | 23 |
| 6 | Guarani | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 21:17 | 4 | 21 |
| 7 | Libertad Asuncion | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 22:17 | 5 | 21 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 19 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 10:21 | -11 | 15 |
| 10 | Sp. Luqueno | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 18:25 | -7 | 15 |
| 11 | 2 de Mayo | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 12:26 | -14 | 14 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 11:33 | -22 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
