Result
0:1
23/04/2024 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SWITZERLAND: Challenge League - Round 31
- Referee: Scharli D. (Sui)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 32% | 68% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Total Passes |
|---|
| 186 | 399 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 112 | 152 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 52 | 67 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 32', Romano D. 🟨,
- 37', Spielmann M. 🟨,
- 37', Zumberi L. ↓, Kujovic A. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 66', Avdyli M. 🟨,
- 66', Franek C. 🟨,
- 66', Hasani B. 🟨,
- 69', 0 - 1, Gjorgjev N. ⚽, Fazliu V. (A),
- 71', Hanke M. ↓, Fontana J. ↑,
- 71', Romano D. ↓, Dzonlagic O. ↑,
- 82', Pachonik T. ↓, Furrer G. ↑,
- 82', Giampa D. ↓, Wiskemann M. ↑,
- 85', Avdyli M. ↓, Koide H. ↑,
- 88', Fazliu V. 🟨,
- 90', Pappoe I. 🟨,
- 90+1', Pappoe I. ↓, Schwegler S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Baden 29% | Draw 24.7% | Aarau 46.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Baden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Aarau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baden than the current prediction. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aarau than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Baden - Aarau Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.19 ↓ (3.57) |
3.74 ↓ (3.91) |
1.99 ↑ (1.88) |
8.3% (6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Baden - Aarau?
Users Predictions:
Aarau will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Baden won 0.
- Baden is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Aarau is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Aarau will have a poor advantage in this game.
- Last 6 head-to-head matches Baden won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 5-19.
- Including matches at home between the teams Baden won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.
How many head-to-head matches has Baden won against Aarau?
Baden has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aarau won against Baden?
Aarau has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Baden - Aarau were as follows:
16.03.2024
Aarau
-
Baden
2:0
30.01.2024
Baden
-
Aarau
1:2
21.07.2023
Aarau
-
Baden
1:0
Swiss Challenge League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Aarau | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 24:9 | 15 | 30 |
| 2 | Vaduz | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 24:9 | 15 | 24 |
| 3 | Yverdon | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22:10 | 12 | 23 |
| 4 | Xamax | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 20:14 | 6 | 20 |
| 5 | Lausanne Ouchy | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18:14 | 4 | 18 |
| 6 | Stade Nyonnais | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15:18 | -3 | 12 |
| 7 | Rapperswil-Jona | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11:17 | -6 | 10 |
| 8 | Etoile-Carouge | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10:17 | -7 | 8 |
| 9 | Wil | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7:22 | -15 | 5 |
| 10 | Bellinzona | 11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 5:26 | -21 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ Promotion League