Result
4:2
13/02/2026 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Challenge League - Round 22
- Referee: Sanli H. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Switzerland | Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1, Blue Zoom |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.50 | 0.90 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (345/409) | 68% (192/284) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.50 | 0.90 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.29 | 1.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (345/409) | 68% (192/284) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (28/60) | 51% (36/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (83/106) | 49% (51/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 0.46 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (4/6) | 83% (20/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.00 | 2.29 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.00 | -1.71 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 2)
- 13', 0 - 1, Fazliu V. ⚽, Guzzo R. (A),
- 22', Malula B. 🟨,
- 24', 1 - 1, Bah K. ⚽, Kaloga I. (A),
- 25', 1 - 2, Vladi S. ⚽, Afriyie D. (A),
- 28', 2 - 2, Sutter N. ⚽,
- 29', Afriyie D. 🟨,
- 39', 3 - 2, Conus B. ⚽, Sartoretti M. (A),
- 44', Nomel L. 🟨,
- 45', Zoukit N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 48', 4 - 2, Sartoretti M. ⚽,
- 51', Thaler M. 🟨,
- 60', Afriyie D. ↓, Filet E. ↑,
- 61', Petit V. 🟨,
- 64', Nomel L. ↓, Garcia N. ↑,
- 64', Malula B. ↓, de Oliveira L. ↑,
- 72', Petit V. 🟥,
- 75', Zoukit N. ↓, Jackle O. ↑,
- 75', Frokaj L. ↓, Chacon T. ↑,
- 78', de Oliveira L. 🟨,
- 81', Bah K. ↓, Nkama J. ↑,
- 81', Sartoretti M. ↓, Socka Bongue L. ↑,
- 81', Guzzo R. ↓, Obexer L. ↑,
- 81', Vladi S. ↓, Koide H. ↑,
- 89', Akichi E. ↓, Fargues H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lausanne Ouchy
43.2% | Draw
25% | Aarau
31.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lausanne Ouchy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Aarau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lausanne Ouchy than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aarau than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Lausanne Ouchy - Aarau Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.14 ↑
(2.11) |
3.7 ↑
(3.58) |
2.92 ↓
(2.98) |
8%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Lausanne Ouchy - Aarau?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Lausanne Ouchy will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Aarau will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aarau: 16.1% – 74.9%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lausanne Ouchy won 0.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Lausanne Ouchy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Lausanne Ouchy is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Lausanne Ouchy: Kadima R.
(Injury)
Noverraz N.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Aarau: Aliu I.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Lausanne Ouchy: Sutter P.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Aarau: Cisse I.
(Inactive)
Derbaci D.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lausanne Ouchy won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 33:45. (average 1.7:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lausanne Ouchy won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:23. (average 1.3:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Lausanne Ouchy won against Aarau?
Lausanne Ouchy has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aarau won against Lausanne Ouchy?
Aarau has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lausanne Ouchy - Aarau were as follows:
17.10.2025
Lausanne Ouchy
-
Aarau
1:2
25.08.2025
Aarau
-
Lausanne Ouchy
3:0
04.04.2025
Aarau
-
Lausanne Ouchy
2:2
07.02.2025
Lausanne Ouchy
-
Aarau
2:4
08.12.2024
Aarau
-
Lausanne Ouchy
1:0
Latest results of Lausanne Ouchy
Swiss Challenge League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vaduz | 23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 52:25 | 27 | 55 |
| 2 | Aarau | 23 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 43:30 | 13 | 50 |
| 3 | Yverdon | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 45:30 | 15 | 43 |
| 4 | Lausanne Ouchy | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 41:32 | 9 | 35 |
| 5 | Xamax | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 33:34 | -1 | 31 |
| 6 | Rapperswil-Jona | 23 | 9 | 1 | 13 | 26:34 | -8 | 28 |
| 7 | Wil | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 20:35 | -15 | 24 |
| 8 | Stade Nyonnais | 23 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 24:31 | -7 | 22 |
| 9 | Etoile-Carouge | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 24:36 | -12 | 19 |
| 10 | Bellinzona | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20:41 | -21 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ Promotion League
