Result
1:1
23/05/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Challenge League - Round 36
- Referee: Grundbacher D. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 0.92 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (434/510) | 76% (250/331) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 0.92 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.32 | 0.92 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (434/510) | 76% (250/331) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (26/50) | 51% (34/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (115/161) | 63% (40/63) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (5/23) | 33% (3/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.20 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 85% (11/13) | 50% (12/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.92 | 2.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.08 | 1.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Pasche E. ⚽, Weber P. (A),
- 43', Ghia J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Bobadilla R. ↓, Toure Y. ↑,
- 46', Ghia J. ↓, Ferreso T. ↑,
- 47', 1 - 1, Toure Y. (Pen),
- 48', Senyurt B. 🟨,
- 59', Pasche E. ↓, Ben Yedder M. ↑,
- 59', Keita B. ↓, Londja C. ↑,
- 73', Jaiteh M. 🟨,
- 75', Kessler R. ↓, Vogt G. ↑,
- 75', Jackle O. ↓, Milot S. ↑,
- 82', Jaiteh M. ↓, Dominik M. ↑,
- 82', Senyurt B. ↓, Dzelili S. ↑,
- 82', Odutayo C. ↓, Koide H. ↑,
- 89', Gebreyesus E. 🟨,
- 90+2', Weber P. ↓, Gaillard Q. ↑,
Chances of winning
Aarau
67.2% | Draw
18.4% | Stade Nyonnais
14.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aarau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)Stade Nyonnais has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aarau than the current prediction. (-8.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aarau that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stade Nyonnais than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Aarau - Stade Nyonnais Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.39 ↓
(1.48) |
5.06 ↑
(4.64) |
6.49 ↑
(5.36) |
7.2%
(7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
What is the prediction for Aarau - Stade Nyonnais?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Aarau will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Stade Nyonnais will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aarau: 29.6% – 90.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Aarau (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Aarau is Qualified for Super League (Promotion )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aarau won 4.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, Aarau is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Aarau: Aliu I.
(Knee Injury)
Derbaci D.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Stade Nyonnais: Correia R.
(Inactive)
De P. A.
(Injury)
Diomande B.
(Injury)
Keita B.
(Inactive)
Kore F.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Aarau: Obexer L.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Stade Nyonnais: Bega L.
(Inactive)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Aarau won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.9:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aarau won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Aarau won against Stade Nyonnais?
Aarau has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stade Nyonnais won against Aarau?
Stade Nyonnais has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aarau - Stade Nyonnais were as follows:
24.01.2025
Stade Nyonnais
-
Aarau
1:2
25.10.2024
Aarau
-
Stade Nyonnais
1:0
27.09.2024
Stade Nyonnais
-
Aarau
1:2
20.05.2024
Stade Nyonnais
-
Aarau
4:3
10.02.2024
Aarau
-
Stade Nyonnais
5:2
Latest results of Stade Nyonnais
Swiss Challenge League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bellinzona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Xamax | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Etoile-Carouge | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Stade Nyonnais | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Aarau | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Vaduz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Wil | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Yverdon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Rapperswil-Jona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Lausanne Ouchy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ Promotion League
