Grêmio Novorizontino vs ABC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Grêmio Novorizontino - ABC
Result
2:1
25/09/2023 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 29
  • Referee: Gomes A. (Bra)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Grêmio Novorizontino
73.9%
Draw
18.9%
ABC
7.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.2% 23.8% 10%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2% 14.1% 16.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Grêmio Novorizontino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Grêmio Novorizontino's performance.
  • ABC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (-34.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grêmio Novorizontino that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for ABC than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that ABC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Grêmio Novorizontino - ABC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.26
    (1.44)
    4.9
    (4)
    12.93
    (9.5)
    7.6%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Grêmio Novorizontino - ABC?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Novorizontino will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). ABC will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Novorizontino: 64.6%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
    • Recent matches Novorizontino is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • ABC is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • ABC could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Novorizontino is certain favorite.
    • There will not play in Novorizontino: Denner (Injury) Raul Prata (Injury) Roberto (Injury)
    • There will not play in ABC: Walfrido (Injury) Wallyson (Injury) Wellington (Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Novorizontino won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio Novorizontino - ABC were as follows:
    03.06.2023 ABC - Grêmio Novorizontino 0:1
    Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino
    Latest results of ABC
    15.09.2023 ABC - Sport Recife 0:1
    07.09.2023 Tombense - ABC 3:0
    02.09.2023 ABC - Sampaio Corrêa 1:1
    28.08.2023 Botafogo SP - ABC 0:0
    19.08.2023 ABC - CRB Maceio 1:2
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias19114424:15937
    2Coritiba19105420:13735
    3Novorizontino1997323:16734
    4Chapecoense-SC1993725:18730
    5Remo1979322:17530
    6Criciuma1985623:17629
    7Cuiaba1984722:22028
    8Avai1977526:20628
    9Vila Nova FC1983818:18027
    10CRB1974820:18225
    11Athletico-PR1974824:26-225
    12Athletic Club19721022:26-423
    13Operario-PR1965821:20123
    14Atletico GO1958618:20-223
    15America MG19631020:26-621
    16Volta Redonda1956814:21-721
    17Paysandu PA1948718:21-320
    18Ferroviaria1948718:22-420
    19Amazonas1947818:25-719
    20Botafogo SP1946912:27-1518

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )