Grêmio Novorizontino vs CRB Maceio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
05/04/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.251.47
Ball possession
43%57%
Total shots
1911
Shots on target
34
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
51
Passes
86% (305/354)88% (434/495)
Yellow cards
45
Expected goals (xG)
1.251.47
xG on target (xGOT)
0.981.25
Total shots
1911
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
113
Blocked shots
54
Shots inside the box
85
Shots outside the box
116
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
10
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
51
Touches in opposition box
209
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free kicks
1219
Passes
86% (305/354)88% (434/495)
Long passes
60% (25/42)57% (32/56)
Passes in final third
79% (116/147)73% (63/86)
Crosses
25% (9/36)0% (0/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.950.24
Throw ins
2024
Fouls
1912
Tackles
71% (12/17)75% (6/8)
Duels won
4947
Clearances
2024
Interceptions
810
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
32
xGOT faced
1.250.98
Goals prevented
0.25-0.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 20', Crystopher Ribeiro 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Leo Naldi , Lora J. ,
  • 46', Ortiz C. , Luis Oyama ,
  • 48', Lucas Lovat 🟨,
  • 54', Luis Oyama 🟨,
  • 63', Patrick 🟨,
  • 65', Robson , Carlao ,
  • 68', Mikael , Joao Neto ,
  • 71', Douglas Baggio , Guilherme Pato ,
  • 71', Crystopher Ribeiro , De Lucca ,
  • 71', Vinicius Paiva , Nicolas Careca ,
  • 72', Fabio Alemao 🟨,
  • 74', 1 - 0, Carlao , Romulo (A),
  • 77', Lucas Lovat , Leo Campos ,
  • 77', Luizao , Guilherme Estrella ,
  • 80', Nicolas Careca , Matheus Bianqui ,
  • 86', Castrillon N. 🟨,
  • 86', Danielzinho 🟨,
  • 87', Dada Belmonte 🟨,
  • 87', Lora J. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 1 - 1, Dada Belmonte , Hereda (A),
  • 90+6', Enderson Moreira 🟨,

Chances of winning


Grêmio Novorizontino
49%
Draw
28.6%
CRB Maceio
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.4% 28% 23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49% 27.7% 23.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Grêmio Novorizontino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • CRB Maceio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Grêmio Novorizontino aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for CRB Maceio than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Grêmio Novorizontino - CRB Maceio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (1.93)
    3.29
    (3.33)
    4.14
    (3.93)
    6.6%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Grêmio Novorizontino - CRB Maceio?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Grêmio Novorizontino will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Grêmio Novorizontino will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Novorizontino won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Novorizontino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Novorizontino is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Novorizontino: Jordi (Inactive) Marlon (Inactive) Maykon Jesus (Inactive)
    • There will not play in CRB: De Lucca (Inactive) Geovane (Inactive) Hereda (Inactive) Luiz Phellype (Inactive) Thiaguinho (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Novorizontino: Carlao (Inactive) Helio Borges (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in CRB: Pedro Castro (Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Novorizontino won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Novorizontino won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:3. (average 2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio Novorizontino - CRB Maceio were as follows:
    22.11.2025 Grêmio Novorizontino - CRB Maceio 3:0
    26.07.2025 CRB Maceio - Grêmio Novorizontino 4:0
    11.08.2024 CRB Maceio - Grêmio Novorizontino 0:1
    19.04.2024 Grêmio Novorizontino - CRB Maceio 2:1
    26.08.2023 CRB Maceio - Grêmio Novorizontino 1:0
    Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino
    Latest results of CRB Maceio
    01.04.2026 CRB Maceio - Avaí 0:1
    25.03.2026 Itabaiana - CRB Maceio 0:0
    21.03.2026 Vila Nova - CRB Maceio 2:2
    18.03.2026 CRB Maceio - Figueirense 1:0
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fortaleza742110:8214
    2Sao Bernardo741211:5613
    3Sport Recife73408:4413
    4Operario-PR73317:3412
    5Vila Nova FC633011:8312
    6Criciuma73229:7211
    7Juventude73225:4111
    8Nautico73135:7-210
    9Ceara72418:7110
    10Botafogo SP723210:739
    11Avai62227:618
    12Novorizontino62227:618
    13Athletic Club62228:808
    14Atletico GO72237:8-18
    15Cuiaba71514:408
    16Ponte Preta72145:9-47
    17Goias72147:12-57
    18Londrina71247:11-45
    19CRB60246:11-52
    20America MG60243:10-72

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
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          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )