Result
1:2
24/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Campionato Sammarinese - Round 18
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 16', 1 - 0, Bua A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 33', 1 - 1, Cozzino E. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 90+2', 1 - 2, Morelli G. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Cailungo
37.2% | Draw
28.6% | AC Libertas
34.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cailungo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)AC Libertas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cailungo than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for AC Libertas than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Cailungo - AC Libertas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.42 ↑
(2.42) |
3.14 ↓
(3.17) |
2.63 ↑
(2.6) |
11.2%
(11.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 14 and 12)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cailungo won 1.
- Cailungo has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- AC Libertas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Cailungo won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 0.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cailungo won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Cailungo won against AC Libertas?
Cailungo has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AC Libertas won against Cailungo?
AC Libertas has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cailungo - AC Libertas were as follows:
21.10.2025
AC Libertas
-
Cailungo
2:1
23.09.2025
Cailungo
-
AC Libertas
1:1
19.09.2025
AC Libertas
-
Cailungo
0:1
26.04.2025
AC Libertas
-
Cailungo
0:0
11.01.2025
Cailungo
-
AC Libertas
2:2
Latest results of Cailungo
Latest results of AC Libertas
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tre Fiori | 28 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 61:12 | 49 | 69 |
| 2 | Virtus | 28 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 61:19 | 42 | 66 |
| 3 | Tre Penne | 28 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 64:17 | 47 | 64 |
| 4 | La Fiorita ✔ | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 59:23 | 36 | 51 |
| 5 | Folgore ✔ | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 57:30 | 27 | 51 |
| 6 | Domagnano ✔ | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 54:29 | 25 | 46 |
| 7 | Fiorentino | 28 | 13 | 4 | 11 | 32:39 | -7 | 43 |
| 8 | Cosmos | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 27:20 | 7 | 39 |
| 9 | Libertas | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 31:51 | -20 | 35 |
| 10 | Juvenes/Dogana | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
| 11 | San Giovanni | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 24:37 | -13 | 31 |
| 12 | Pennarossa | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 28:52 | -24 | 30 |
| 13 | Faetano | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 22:52 | -30 | 22 |
| 14 | San Marino Academy U22 | 28 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 22:56 | -34 | 15 |
| 15 | Cailungo | 28 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 21:64 | -43 | 10 |
| 16 | Murata | 28 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 17:74 | -57 | -2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
La Fiorita is Qualified for Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Folgore is Qualified for Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Domagnano is Qualified for Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
