Result
1:2
07/04/2026 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Campionato Sammarinese - Round 27
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 47', 0 - 1, Pintore M. ⚽, Santi F. (A),
- 51', 0 - 2, Gregori E. ⚽, Pintore M. (A),
- 88', 1 - 2, Bua A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Cailungo 27.2% | Draw 27% | Pennarossa 45.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cailungo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cailungo's form might have worsened.Pennarossa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pennarossa's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cailungo than the current prediction. (+10.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cailungo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pennarossa than the current prediction. (-8.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pennarossa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cailungo - Pennarossa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.31 ↑ (2.6) |
3.34 ↓ (3.7) |
1.97 ↓ (2.31) |
11% (8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cailungo won 3.
- Cailungo has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Pennarossa is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Cailungo won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cailungo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:1. (average 3:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Cailungo won against Pennarossa?
Cailungo has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pennarossa won against Cailungo?
Pennarossa has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cailungo - Pennarossa were as follows:
07.12.2025
Pennarossa
-
Cailungo
2:0
18.04.2025
Cailungo
-
Pennarossa
7:0
22.12.2024
Pennarossa
-
Cailungo
0:4
09.03.2024
Pennarossa
-
Cailungo
0:2
26.11.2023
Cailungo
-
Pennarossa
0:0
Latest results of Cailungo
Latest results of Pennarossa
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Virtus (2) | Bye | |
| 2 | Juvenes/Dogana (9) | Libertas (10) | 1 : 1 |
| 3 | Folgore (5) | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | Domagnano (6) | |
| 5 | Tre Penne (3) | Bye | |
| 6 | Cosmos (8) | Pennarossa (11) | 3 : 0 |
| 7 | La Fiorita (4) | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Fiorentino (7) | |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Virtus (2) | Juvenes/Dogana (9) | 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Folgore (5) | Domagnano (6) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Tre Penne (3) | Cosmos (8) | 0 : 0 |
| 4 | La Fiorita (4) | Fiorentino (7) | 1 : 0 |
Semi-finalsFinal3rd place