Cailungo vs Pennarossa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
07/04/2026 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Campionato Sammarinese - Round 27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 47', 0 - 1, Pintore M. , Santi F. (A),
  • 51', 0 - 2, Gregori E. , Pintore M. (A),
  • 88', 1 - 2, Bua A. ,

Chances of winning


Cailungo
27.2%
Draw
27%
Pennarossa
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.4% 24.8% 39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5% 23.4% 37.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cailungo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cailungo's form might have worsened.
  • Pennarossa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pennarossa's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cailungo than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cailungo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pennarossa than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pennarossa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Cailungo - Pennarossa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.31
    (2.6)
    3.34
    (3.7)
    1.97
    (2.31)
    11%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cailungo won 3.
    • Cailungo has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Pennarossa is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Cailungo won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 2:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cailungo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:1. (average 3:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cailungo - Pennarossa were as follows:
    07.12.2025 Pennarossa - Cailungo 2:0
    18.04.2025 Cailungo - Pennarossa 7:0
    22.12.2024 Pennarossa - Cailungo 0:4
    09.03.2024 Pennarossa - Cailungo 0:2
    26.11.2023 Cailungo - Pennarossa 0:0
    Latest results of Cailungo
    21.03.2026 Cosmos - Cailungo 2:1
    15.03.2026 Cailungo - Fiorentino 1:3
    08.03.2026 Tre Fiori - Cailungo 3:2
    01.03.2026 Cailungo - Domagnano 1:2
    22.02.2026 San Giovanni - Cailungo 2:1
    Latest results of Pennarossa
    21.03.2026 Pennarossa - Murata 2:0
    14.03.2026 La Fiorita - Pennarossa 5:0
    07.03.2026 Pennarossa - AC Libertas 0:1
    21.02.2026 Pennarossa - Folgore 2:3
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Virtus (2)Bye
    2Juvenes/Dogana (9)Libertas (10)1 : 1
    3Folgore (5)Bye
    4ByeDomagnano (6)
    5Tre Penne (3)Bye
    6Cosmos (8)Pennarossa (11)3 : 0
    7La Fiorita (4)Bye
    8ByeFiorentino (7)

    Quarter-finals
    1Virtus (2)Juvenes/Dogana (9)0 : 0
    2Folgore (5)Domagnano (6)1 : 0
    3Tre Penne (3)Cosmos (8)0 : 0
    4La Fiorita (4)Fiorentino (7)1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2

    3rd place