Académica Coimbra vs Covilhã – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 3 Académica Coimbra - Covilhã
Result
0:1
05/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 3 - Round 7
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
133
Shots on target
33
Corner Kicks
63
Yellow Cards
34
Red Cards
10
Total shots
133
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
100
Corner Kicks
63

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 32', Coelho R. 🟨,
  • 32', Marcos Paulo 🟨,
  • 37', Barbosa A. 🟨,
  • 41', Marcos Paulo 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 51', Liberal A. 🟨,
  • 56', 🟨,
  • 59', Barbosa A. , Mica ,
  • 60', Cruz F. , Garcia F. ,
  • 63', Barbosa N. , Pereira F. ,
  • 63', Cascavel , Triana C. ,
  • 73', Cuba , Pereira N. ,
  • 82', Silva M. , Jailson ,
  • 86', Silva L. 🟨,
  • 90', Silva L. , Tiago Andre ,
  • 90+6', 0 - 1, Liberal A. ,

Chances of winning


Académica Coimbra
56.8%
Draw
24.7%
Covilhã
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52% 26.4% 21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4% 25.7% 21%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Académica Coimbra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • Covilhã has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Académica Coimbra than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • Académica Coimbra - Covilhã Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.76)
    3.73
    (3.45)
    4.97
    (4.23)
    8.6%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Académica Coimbra - Covilhã?
  • Users Predictions: Académica Coimbra will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Académica Coimbra will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: ) and 10 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Académica won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Recently, Académica has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Académica is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Académica won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:19. (average 1.4:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Académica won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:7. (average 1.5:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Académica Coimbra - Covilhã were as follows:
    06.04.2025 Covilhã - Académica Coimbra 1:1
    01.03.2025 Académica Coimbra - Covilhã 2:1
    10.11.2024 Covilhã - Académica Coimbra 3:4
    11.08.2024 Académica Coimbra - Covilhã 1:1
    07.04.2024 Covilhã - Académica Coimbra 1:1
    Latest results of Académica Coimbra
    Latest results of Covilhã
    28.09.2025 Covilhã - Lusitano GC 1:1
    20.09.2025 Ovarense - Covilhã 2:3
    14.09.2025 Covilhã - Mafra 0:0
    16.08.2025 Covilhã - 1 Dezembro 0:1
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    2025/26

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Trofense843113:6715
    2AD Fafe83329:9012
    3Braga B83327:7012
    4Sanjoanense725010:7311
    5Varzim723210:739
    6AD Marco 0981614:5-19
    7Paredes71518:718
    8Vitoria Guimaraes B81437:8-17
    9Sao Joao Ver81435:12-77
    10Amarante71245:10-55


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Caldas74219:6314
    2Os Belenenses74129:7213
    3Mafra73319:7212
    4Academica740310:5512
    5Atletico CP73048:629
    61u00ba Dezembro72326:10-49
    7Santarem72234:7-38
    8Lusitano GC72148:807
    9Amora72145:8-37
    10Covilha71334:8-46

          Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
          Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )