Académica Coimbra vs Covilhã – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 3 Académica Coimbra - Covilhã
05/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 3 - Round 7
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Chances of winning


Académica Coimbra
57.3%
Draw
24.3%
Covilhã
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52% 26.4% 21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4% 25.7% 21%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Académica Coimbra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Académica Coimbra's performance.
  • Covilhã has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Académica Coimbra than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • Académica Coimbra - Covilhã Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.76)
    3.71
    (3.45)
    4.93
    (4.23)
    10.6%
    (9.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Académica Coimbra - Covilhã?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Académica (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: ) and 10 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Académica won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Recently, Académica has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Académica is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Académica won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:19. (average 1.4:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Académica won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:7. (average 1.5:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Académica Coimbra - Covilhã were as follows:
    06.04.2025 Covilhã - Académica Coimbra 1:1
    01.03.2025 Académica Coimbra - Covilhã 2:1
    10.11.2024 Covilhã - Académica Coimbra 3:4
    11.08.2024 Académica Coimbra - Covilhã 1:1
    07.04.2024 Covilhã - Académica Coimbra 1:1
    Latest results of Académica Coimbra
    Latest results of Covilhã
    28.09.2025 Covilhã - Lusitano GC 1:1
    20.09.2025 Ovarense - Covilhã 2:3
    14.09.2025 Covilhã - Mafra 0:0
    16.08.2025 Covilhã - 1 Dezembro 0:1
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    2025/26

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sanjoanense725010:7311
    2Trofense632110:4611
    3Braga B62316:609
    4Varzim62319:549
    5AD Marco 0961503:218
    6Vitoria Guimaraes B71427:707
    7Amarante51225:6-15
    8Paredes60516:7-15
    9Sao Joao Ver60424:10-64
    10AD Fafe50323:9-63


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Caldas74219:6314
    2Os Belenenses63126:7-110
    31u00ba Dezembro52305:329
    4Academica53028:449
    5Santarem72234:7-38
    6Lusitano GC62138:627
    7Amora62135:6-17
    8Atletico CP62044:6-26
    9Mafra51314:6-26
    10Covilha50323:5-23

          Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
          Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )