Covilhã vs Académica Coimbra – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 3 Covilhã - Académica Coimbra
Result
1:1
06/04/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 3 - Relegation Group - Round 7
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
24
Corner Kicks
59
Yellow Cards
11
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
87
Corner Kicks
59
Goalkeeper Saves
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 28', 1 - 0, Paula G. ,
  • 42', Silva L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 49', Salgado L. M. 🟨,
  • 58', Ferreira G. , Pereira F. ,
  • 58', Carvalho D. , Saint-Louis J. ,
  • 63', 1 - 1, Hachadi K. ,
  • 64', Salgado L. M. , Cornelio D. ,
  • 76', Paula G. , Paulinho ,
  • 76', Filipe L. , Fuller T. ,
  • 76', Xico , Elvis ,
  • 88', Ba-Sy A. , Gomes V. ,
  • 88', Silva L. , Morais G. ,
  • 88', Ramalho D. , Mica ,

Chances of winning


Covilhã
36.3%
Draw
28.6%
Académica Coimbra
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.2% 29.7% 40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5% 29% 41.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Covilhã has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Covilhã's performance.
  • Académica Coimbra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Covilhã that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Académica Coimbra than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Académica Coimbra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Covilhã - Académica Coimbra Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.51
    (3.02)
    3.18
    (3.07)
    2.59
    (2.27)
    9.9%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Covilhã won 0.
    • Covilhã is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Académica is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Covilhã could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Covilhã won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 19:27 (average 1:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Covilhã won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12:12 (average 1.2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Covilhã - Académica Coimbra were as follows:
    01.03.2025 Académica Coimbra - Covilhã 2:1
    10.11.2024 Covilhã - Académica Coimbra 3:4
    11.08.2024 Académica Coimbra - Covilhã 1:1
    07.04.2024 Covilhã - Académica Coimbra 1:1
    10.02.2024 Académica Coimbra - Covilhã 0:0
    Latest results of Covilhã
    Latest results of Académica Coimbra
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    2025/26

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Varzim22005:056
    2Trofense21102:024
    3Sanjoanense21102:024
    4Amarante21013:303
    5Braga B21011:2-13
    6AD Marco 0920200:002
    7Vitoria Guimaraes B20112:3-11
    8Paredes20111:2-11
    9AD Fafe20111:3-21
    10Sao Joao Ver20110:4-41


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    11u00ba Dezembro32103:127
    2Caldas22003:126
    3Os Belenenses21102:114
    4Amora31111:104
    5Academica21012:203
    6Santarem21011:103
    7Lusitano GC21014:223
    8Mafra20112:5-31
    9Covilha20021:3-20
    10Atletico CP20020:2-20

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