Result
2:1
26/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 22
- Referee: Duckworth E. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 2.15 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (294/416) | 56% (159/285) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 2.15 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.82 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (294/416) | 56% (159/285) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (35/91) | 36% (26/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (91/145) | 48% (50/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (10/28) | 32% (6/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 2.05 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 40% (10/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 78 | 86 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 51 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.82 | 0.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.82 | -1.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 30', 1 - 0, Ward B. ⚽, Sinclair I. (A),
- 34', Hemmings K. ↓, Fletcher I. ↑,
- 36', Gordon J. 🟨,
- 41', 1 - 1, McCann C. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 57', McCann C. 🟨,
- 69', Barkhuizen T. ↓, Jackson B. ↑,
- 69', Whitfield B. ↓, Newby E. ↑,
- 69', Caton C. ↓, Woods J. ↑,
- 76', McCann C. ↓, Earing J. ↑,
- 76', Smith S. ↓, Mahoney C. ↑,
- 86', O'Brien C. ↓, Sass F. ↑,
- 90', 2 - 1, Woods J. ⚽, Whalley S. (A),
Chances of winning
Accrington Stanley
43.8% | Draw
28.8% | Barrow
27.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Accrington Stanley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Barrow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Accrington Stanley that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Accrington Stanley - Barrow Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.13 ↑
(2.1) |
3.23 ↓
(3.26) |
3.4 ↓
(3.41) |
7.2%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Accrington Stanley - Barrow?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Accrington will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Barrow will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Accrington: 35% – 88%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Accrington (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 17 and 19)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 2.
- Accrington has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Barrow has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Accrington might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Accrington: Hall C.
(Inactive)
Mooney K.
(Inactive)
Sass F.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Barrow: Canavan N.
(Red Card)
Foley S.
(Surgery)
Healey R.
(Knee Injury)
Smith K.
(Ankle Injury)
Walker T.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Accrington: Coyle L.
(Injury)
Madden P.
(Inactive)
Walton T.
(Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Accrington won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Accrington Stanley won against Barrow?
Accrington Stanley has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barrow won against Accrington Stanley?
Barrow has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Accrington Stanley - Barrow were as follows:
08.03.2025
Barrow
-
Accrington Stanley
2:0
19.10.2024
Accrington Stanley
-
Barrow
1:0
29.12.2023
Barrow
-
Accrington Stanley
1:1
15.08.2023
Accrington Stanley
-
Barrow
1:1
Latest results of Accrington Stanley
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:35 | 23 | 68 |
| 2 | Cambridge Utd | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 64 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 63:34 | 29 | 62 |
| 4 | Swindon | 35 | 19 | 5 | 11 | 57:41 | 16 | 62 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:33 | 19 | 61 |
| 6 | Crewe | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 52:41 | 11 | 56 |
| 7 | Salford | 33 | 17 | 4 | 12 | 46:43 | 3 | 55 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 52:44 | 8 | 53 |
| 9 | Barnet | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 44:37 | 7 | 53 |
| 10 | Walsall | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 42:36 | 6 | 53 |
| 11 | Grimsby | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 46:37 | 9 | 52 |
| 12 | Colchester | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 48:35 | 13 | 49 |
| 13 | Accrington | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 37:36 | 1 | 46 |
| 14 | Oldham | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 36:30 | 6 | 45 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 43:42 | 1 | 45 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 41:41 | 0 | 44 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 34:54 | -20 | 38 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 34:55 | -21 | 36 |
| 19 | Tranmere | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 46:59 | -13 | 35 |
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 33:57 | -24 | 31 |
| 21 | Crawley | 35 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33:56 | -23 | 28 |
| 22 | Barrow | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 33:51 | -18 | 27 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25:52 | -27 | 27 |
| 24 | Newport | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 32:60 | -28 | 25 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
