Result
0:1
17/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 33
- Referee: Duckworth E. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 2.04 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (337/451) | 61% (145/239) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 2.04 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 1.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (337/451) | 61% (145/239) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (40/88) | 33% (26/80) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (129/179) | 57% (50/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (8/33) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 0.96 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 50% (9/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 72 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.40 | 1.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.40 | 1.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 29', Love D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 48', 0 - 1, Madden P. ⚽, Heath I. (A),
- 51', Warrington L. 🟨,
- 63', Butterfield L. 🟥,
- 69', Henderson A. ↓, Conneely S. ↑,
- 72', Negru S. ↓, Dennis K. ↑,
- 72', Warrington L. ↓, Norman C. ↑,
- 72', Smith N. ↓, Lowe J. ↑,
- 80', Madden P. 🟨,
- 90+1', Heath I. 🟨,
- 90+5', Woods J. 🟥,
- 90+6', Norman C. ↓, Dickov M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Tranmere Rovers
40.5% | Draw
29.8% | Accrington Stanley
29.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tranmere Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Accrington Stanley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Tranmere Rovers - Accrington Stanley Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.32 ↑
(2.25) |
3.13 ↓
(3.2) |
3.15 ↑
(3) |
6.8%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Tranmere Rovers - Accrington Stanley?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Tranmere will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Accrington will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 17 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tranmere won 2.
- Tranmere has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Accrington is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Accrington may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Tranmere might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Tranmere: McGee L.
(Hip Injury)
O'Connor L.
(Inactive)
Williams J.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Accrington: Love D.
(Yellow Cards)
Matthews D.
(Red Card)
Mooney K.
(Inactive)
Walton T.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Tranmere: Jennings C.
(Inactive)
Jones D.
(Inactive)
Joseph J.
(Inactive)
Obiero Z.
(Injury)
Tamen W.
(Inactive)
Turnbull J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Accrington: Coyle L.
(Inactive)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Tranmere won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:18. (average 1.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tranmere won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:4. (average 1.9:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Tranmere Rovers won against Accrington Stanley?
Tranmere Rovers has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Accrington Stanley won against Tranmere Rovers?
Accrington Stanley has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tranmere Rovers - Accrington Stanley were as follows:
28.10.2025
Accrington Stanley
-
Tranmere Rovers
1:1
12.04.2025
Accrington Stanley
-
Tranmere Rovers
3:3
25.02.2025
Tranmere Rovers
-
Accrington Stanley
0:1
08.10.2024
Tranmere Rovers
-
Accrington Stanley
2:1
13.08.2024
Tranmere Rovers
-
Accrington Stanley
3:0
Latest results of Tranmere Rovers
Latest results of Accrington Stanley
English League Two Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley ✔ | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 25 | 87 |
| 2 | MK Dons ✔ | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 86 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 82 |
| 4 | Salford | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 10 | 81 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 22 | 80 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 15 | 79 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 24 | 78 |
| 8 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 17 | 76 |
| 9 | Swindon | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 11 | 75 |
| 10 | Oldham | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 16 | 68 |
| 11 | Crewe | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 6 | 67 |
| 12 | Colchester | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 13 | 66 |
| 13 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 0 | 65 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | -9 | 62 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | -1 | 61 |
| 16 | Accrington | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | -11 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | -19 | 53 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | -26 | 52 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | -27 | 49 |
| 20 | Newport | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | -29 | 43 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | -25 | 41 |
| 22 | Crawley | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | -24 | 40 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | -29 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | -33 | 36 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Bromley is Qualified for League One
MK Dons is Qualified for League One
