Result
0:1
21/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 39
- Referee: Wager H. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 2.31 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (246/352) | 72% (275/382) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 2.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 1.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (246/352) | 72% (275/382) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (33/87) | 38% (30/79) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (80/133) | 60% (84/140) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 30% (6/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 1.58 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 33 | 36 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.49 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.13 | 1.49 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 5', Braybrooke S. 🟨,
- 28', Whalley S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 58', Martin D. 🟨,
- 63', 0 - 1, Dickson W. ⚽, Naylor T. (A),
- 66', Sinclair I. ↓, Abimbola D. ↑,
- 71', Dickson W. ↓, Bonis L. ↑,
- 77', Conneely S. ↓, Walton T. ↑,
- 85', Berry-McNally J. ↓, Dobra A. ↑,
- 86', Martin D. ↓, Sass F. ↑,
- 90+2', Naylor T. ↓, Mandeville L. ↑,
- 90+2', Owolabi-Belewu M. ↓, Donacien J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Accrington Stanley
23.2% | Draw
26.4% | Chesterfield
50.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Accrington Stanley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Accrington Stanley's form might have worsened.Chesterfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chesterfield's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Accrington Stanley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chesterfield, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Accrington Stanley - Chesterfield Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4 ↑
(3.22) |
3.53 ↑
(3.45) |
1.86 ↓
(2.1) |
7%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Accrington Stanley - Chesterfield?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Accrington will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Chesterfield will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chesterfield: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Chesterfield will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 15 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 2.
- Accrington is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Chesterfield has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Chesterfield is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Accrington: Coyle L.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Chesterfield: Fleck J.
(Inactive)
Gordon L.
(Injury)
Hobson B.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Accrington: Heath I.
(Inactive)
Mooney K.
(Inactive)
Walton T.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Chesterfield: Ladapo F.
(Inactive)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:15. (average 2.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Accrington won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Accrington Stanley won against Chesterfield?
Accrington Stanley has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chesterfield won against Accrington Stanley?
Chesterfield has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Accrington Stanley - Chesterfield were as follows:
08.11.2025
Chesterfield
-
Accrington Stanley
3:3
03.05.2025
Accrington Stanley
-
Chesterfield
0:1
09.11.2024
Chesterfield
-
Accrington Stanley
0:3
22.07.2023
Accrington Stanley
-
Chesterfield
2:3
Latest results of Accrington Stanley
Latest results of Chesterfield
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 39 | 22 | 13 | 4 | 62:36 | 26 | 79 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 39 | 21 | 11 | 7 | 76:40 | 36 | 74 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 56:28 | 28 | 72 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 38 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 65:39 | 26 | 70 |
| 5 | Swindon | 39 | 21 | 6 | 12 | 63:45 | 18 | 69 |
| 6 | Salford | 39 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 54:48 | 6 | 67 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 56:40 | 16 | 62 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 39 | 16 | 14 | 9 | 61:52 | 9 | 62 |
| 9 | Crewe | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 58:47 | 11 | 60 |
| 10 | Walsall | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 48:41 | 7 | 60 |
| 11 | Oldham | 37 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 44:31 | 13 | 58 |
| 12 | Barnet | 39 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 49:43 | 6 | 57 |
| 13 | Fleetwood | 39 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 48:46 | 2 | 54 |
| 14 | Colchester | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 50:41 | 9 | 53 |
| 15 | Accrington | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 38:42 | -4 | 48 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 44:56 | -12 | 45 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 39 | 13 | 4 | 22 | 40:60 | -20 | 43 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 43:65 | -22 | 42 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 39 | 11 | 8 | 20 | 37:63 | -26 | 41 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 39 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 48:69 | -21 | 36 |
| 21 | Crawley | 39 | 6 | 13 | 20 | 36:60 | -24 | 31 |
| 22 | Newport | 39 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 39:67 | -28 | 31 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 39 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 29:58 | -29 | 30 |
| 24 | Barrow | 38 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 36:63 | -27 | 29 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
