Result
0:1
03/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 46
- Referee: Parsons T. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.82 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (167/256) | 74% (332/448) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.82 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.43 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (167/256) | 74% (332/448) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (22/62) | 44% (43/97) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (41/77) | 52% (77/148) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (5/12) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 1.06 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (8/8) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.43 | 1.17 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.43 | 1.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 32', 0 - 1, Grigg W. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 55', Grant C. ↓, O'Brien Whitmarsh J. ↑,
- 66', Caton C. ↓, Woods J. ↑,
- 67', Brown C. ↓, Hunter A. ↑,
- 78', McFadzean K. 🟨,
- 79', Colclough R. ↓, Duffy D. ↑,
- 79', Olakigbe M. ↓, Jacobs M. ↑,
- 80', Grigg W. ↓, Pepple A. ↑,
- 82', Mooney K. ↓, Popoola A. ↑,
- 82', Henderson A. ↓, Walton T. ↑,
- 85', Pepple A. 🟨,
- 90+5', Metcalfe J. ↓, Grimes J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Accrington Stanley
15.8% | Draw
22.3% | Chesterfield
61.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Accrington Stanley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Accrington Stanley's form might have worsened.Chesterfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chesterfield's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (-8.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chesterfield, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Accrington Stanley - Chesterfield Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.94 ↑
(4.44) |
4.2 ↑
(3.55) |
1.54 ↓
(1.79) |
5.6%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Accrington Stanley - Chesterfield?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Accrington will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Chesterfield will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chesterfield: 44.9% – 88.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Chesterfield will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 19 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 4.
- Recent performances by Accrington have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Chesterfield is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Chesterfield has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Chesterfield is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Accrington: Rich-Baghuelou J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Chesterfield: Daley-Campbell V.
(Hamstring Injury)
Donacien J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Dunkley C.
(Neck Injury)
Jones M.
(Injury)
Sheckleford R.
(Calf Injury)
Williams T.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Accrington: Conneely S.
(Injury)
Rawson F.
(Injury)
Ward B.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Chesterfield: Banks O.
(Injury)
Dobra A.
(Injury)
Hobson B.
(Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:11. (average 2.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Accrington won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 2.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Accrington Stanley won against Chesterfield?
Accrington Stanley has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chesterfield won against Accrington Stanley?
Chesterfield has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Accrington Stanley - Chesterfield were as follows:
09.11.2024
Chesterfield
-
Accrington Stanley
0:3
22.07.2023
Accrington Stanley
-
Chesterfield
2:3
Latest results of Accrington Stanley
Latest results of Chesterfield
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Crewe | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | 8 | 12 |
| 2 | Grimsby | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 10 |
| 3 | Chesterfield | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Salford | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
| 5 | MK Dons | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 | 8 |
| 6 | Gillingham | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 8 |
| 7 | Bromley | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 8 |
| 8 | Harrogate | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
| 9 | Cambridge Utd | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
| 10 | Fleetwood | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Walsall | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 12 | Swindon | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 13 | Tranmere | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 5 |
| 14 | Colchester | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
| 15 | Notts Co | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 4 |
| 16 | Newport | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
| 17 | Oldham | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 18 | Barnet | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 19 | Barrow | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 20 | Accrington | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
| 21 | Bristol Rovers | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
| 22 | Crawley | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 1 |
| 23 | Shrewsbury | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:10 | -9 | 1 |
| 24 | Cheltenham | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:10 | -9 | 0 |
Promotion ~ League Two
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
