Accrington Stanley vs Leeds United U21 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
11/11/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EFL Trophy
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.651.15
Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
376
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
81
Passes
87% (463/530)69% (207/299)
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.651.15
xG on target (xGOT)
0.971.70
Total shots
376
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
221
Blocked Shots
81
Shots inside the Box
234
Shots outside the Box
141
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
81
Touches in opposition box
3610
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
710
Passes
87% (463/530)69% (207/299)
Long passes
59% (34/58)26% (20/77)
Passes in final third
84% (203/242)52% (28/54)
Crosses
25% (13/51)0% (0/1)
Expected assists (xA)
1.520.44
Throw-ins
3123
Fouls
107
Tackles
60% (6/10)77% (10/13)
Duels won
4541
Clearances
1232
Interceptions
74
Errors leading to shot
12
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
1.700.97
Goals prevented
-0.30-1.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Gray H. ,
  • 40', Lopata-White R. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 60', Brown C. , Madden P. ,
  • 69', 1 - 1, Woods J. ,
  • 78', 2 - 1, Pickles O. (Own goal),
  • 78', Render J. , Bird C. ,
  • 81', 3 - 1, Bauress J. ,
  • 82', Chadwick-Chaplin R. , Brockie D. ,
  • 83', McDonald J. , Wilson M. ,
  • 85', Bauress J. , Sinclair I. ,
  • 86', O'Brien C. , Love D. ,
  • 90', 3 - 2, Gray H. , Pickles O. (A),
  • 90+3', Pickles O. , Mills C. ,

Chances of winning


Accrington Stanley
57.4%
Draw
23%
Leeds United U21
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.5% 21.4% 19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9% 20.9% 18.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Accrington Stanley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • Leeds United U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leeds United U21 than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Accrington Stanley - Leeds United U21 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (1.56)
    4.13
    (4.33)
    4.62
    (4.83)
    3.3%
    (8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Accrington Stanley - Leeds United U21?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Accrington will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Leeds U21 will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Accrington (1.87) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • DC - Leeds U21 (2.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Leeds U21 (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Accrington (votes: 1 - 25%). Leeds U21 (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent performances by Accrington have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Leeds U21 has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Accrington may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Accrington is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Accrington won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:0.
    • Including home match between the teams, Accrington won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:0.
    Latest results of Accrington Stanley
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LincolnHuddersfield0 : 2
    2SalfordRotherham2 : 7
    3DoncasterChesterfield5 : 1
    4TranmereFleetwood0 : 3
    5BoltonBradford City3 : 0
    6Port ValeBarnsley5 : 0
    7CreweStockport County1 : 2
    8HarrogateBlackpool4 : 2
    9LutonExeter4 : 0
    10SwindonPeterborough1 : 0
    11Bristol RoversCambridge Utd3 : 2
    12Leyton OrientPlymouth0 : 1
    13CardiffAFC Wimbledon1 : 5
    14ColchesterWest Ham U210 : 1
    15NorthamptonWycombe2 : 0
    16StevenageWalsall1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1HuddersfieldRotherham3 : 0
    2DoncasterFleetwood3 : 1
    3BoltonPort Vale0 : 1
    4Stockport CountyHarrogate2 : 1
    5LutonSwindon1 : 2
    6Bristol RoversPlymouth3 : 4
    7AFC WimbledonWest Ham U214 : 2
    8NorthamptonWalsall4 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1HuddersfieldDoncaster1 : 2
    2Port ValeStockport County0 : 4
    3LutonPlymouth2 : 1
    4AFC WimbledonNorthampton1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1DoncasterStockport County
    2LutonNorthampton

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2