Accrington Stanley vs Newport County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Accrington Stanley - Newport County
Result
5:0
11/03/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League Two - Round 26
  • Referee: Joyce R. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.411.49
Ball Possession
42%58%
Goal Attempts
198
Shots on Goal
70
Shots off Goal
95
Blocked Shots
33
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
24
Shots inside the Box
157
Shots outside the Box
41
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
02
Free Kicks
1112
Offsides
11
Fouls
1211
Yellow Cards
22
Throw-ins
2030
Touches in the Opposition Box
2314
Passes
62% (212/343)66% (305/463)
Passes in the final third
51% (65/128)33% (34/103)
Crosses
38% (5/13)26% (5/19)
Tackles
50% (8/16)69% (9/13)
Clearances Total
2330
Interceptions
125

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, O'Brien Whitmarsh J. , Woods B. (A),
  • 15', 2 - 0, Mooney K. , Walton T. (A),
  • 23', Rawson F. 🟨,
  • 26', 3 - 0, Walton T. , Woods B. (A),
  • 37', Kamwa B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Conneely S. , Coyle L. ,
  • 46', Spellman M. 🟨,
  • 54', 4 - 0, O'Brien Whitmarsh J. , Walton T. (A),
  • 55', Kamwa B. , Evans K. ,
  • 56', Warner J. , Brennan C. ,
  • 56', Whitmore K. , Ajiboye D. ,
  • 56', Baker-Richardson C. , Bony G. ,
  • 71', McLoughlin S. , Mawene N. ,
  • 76', 5 - 0, Mooney K. , Walton T. (A),
  • 89', Ward B. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Accrington Stanley
52.4%
Draw
27.1%
Newport County
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.2% 25.1% 18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7% 24.4% 19.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Accrington Stanley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Newport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Accrington Stanley - Newport County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (1.67)
    3.46
    (3.73)
    4.62
    (5.03)
    5.9%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Accrington Stanley - Newport County?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Accrington will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Newport will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Accrington: 45%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 21 and 17).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Accrington won 2.
    • Recent matches Accrington is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Newport is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Newport could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Accrington is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Accrington: Rich-Baghuelou J. (Inactive) Walton T. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Newport: Davies T. (Hamstring Injury) Hudlin K. (Calf Injury) Jameson K. (Injury) Patten K. (Knee Injury) Wildig A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Accrington: Whalley S. (Injury) Woods B. (Inactive) Woods J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Newport: Brennan C. (Shoulder Injury) Greaves O. (Inactive)
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Accrington won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 19:23 (average 1.5:1.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Accrington won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:11 (average 1.7:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Accrington Stanley - Newport County were as follows:
    24.08.2024 Newport County - Accrington Stanley 3:1
    09.04.2024 Newport County - Accrington Stanley 1:3
    05.08.2023 Accrington Stanley - Newport County 3:0
    Latest results of Accrington Stanley
    Latest results of Newport County
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Crewe440010:2812
    2Grimsby43109:4510
    3Chesterfield43017:529
    4Salford43016:519
    5MK Dons42208:178
    6Gillingham42207:348
    7Bromley42206:338
    8Harrogate42206:428
    9Cambridge Utd42116:517
    10Fleetwood42117:707
    11Walsall42024:406
    12Swindon42026:7-16
    13Tranmere31206:245
    14Colchester41215:415
    15Notts Co41127:614
    16Newport41124:5-14
    17Oldham40312:3-13
    18Barnet41033:6-33
    19Barrow41032:5-33
    20Accrington30122:5-31
    21Bristol Rovers40132:6-41
    22Crawley40132:7-51
    23Shrewsbury40131:10-91
    24Cheltenham40041:10-90

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League