Newport County vs Accrington Stanley – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

27/01/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Rodney Parade (Newport).

League Two - Round 29
Referee: Durkin J. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.11	1.04
Ball possession
57%	43%
Total shots
12	13
Shots on target
5	6
Big chances
3	1
Corner kicks
3	2
Passes
70% (297/425)	56% (177/316)
Yellow cards
4	5
Red cards
1	0
Expected goals (xG)
1.11	1.04
xG on target (xGOT)
1.24	1.83
Total shots
12	13
Shots on target
5	6
Shots off target
6	4
Blocked shots
1	3
Shots inside the box
8	10
Shots outside the box
3	3
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
1	0
Big chances
3	1
Corner kicks
3	2
Touches in opposition box
20	17
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
2	2
Free kicks
12	7
Passes
70% (297/425)	56% (177/316)
Long passes
31% (30/98)	17% (14/81)
Passes in final third
47% (57/122)	53% (61/116)
Crosses
38% (6/16)	20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.24	0.67
Throw ins
39	25
Fouls
7	12
Tackles
80% (4/5)	62% (16/26)
Duels won
64	77
Clearances
20	35
Interceptions
4	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	3
xGOT faced
1.83	1.24
Goals prevented
-2.17	0.24

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Henderson A. ⚽, Whalley S. (A),
28', Matthews D. 🟨,
32', Grant C. 🟨,
35', 1 - 1, Opoku N. ⚽, Biggins H. (A),
40', O'Brien C. 🟨,
45', Smith M. ↓, Lloyd B. ↑,
45+1', Spellman M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
51', 1 - 2, Sinclair I. ⚽, Whalley S. (A),
56', Grant C. ↓, Conneely S. ↑,
56', O'Brien C. ↓, Sass F. ↑,
58', Lloyd B. 🟨,
65', Opoku N. 🟨,
65', Spellman M. ↓, Crole J. ↑,
69', Opoku N. 🟨,
71', Henderson A. ↓, Butterfield L. ↑,
80', Thomas J. ↓, Jenkins L. ↑,
80', Kamwa B. ↓, Nyakuhwa T. ↑,
80', Driscoll-Glennon A. ↓, Davies T. ↑,
82', 1 - 3, Madden P. ⚽, Sinclair I. (A),
84', Madden P. ↓, Woods J. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 4, Heath I. ⚽, Butterfield L. (A),
90+6', Rawson F. 🟨,
90+8', Conneely S. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Newport County
30.5%

Draw
29%

Accrington Stanley
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

29.6%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

29.4%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Accrington Stanley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Newport County - Accrington Stanley Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (2.82)	3.22 ↑ (3.1)	2.3 ↓ (2.42)	7.2% (9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Newport County - Accrington Stanley?

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Newport will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Accrington will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Accrington: 30.4% – 86.2%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Newport (votes: 2 - 40%). Accrington (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DNB - Accrington (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Newport (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Accrington (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newport won 2.
Newport has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Accrington is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Accrington might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Newport: Garner G. (Inactive) Patten K. (Broken Leg)
There will not play in Accrington: Hall C. (Inactive) Mooney K. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Accrington: Bauress J. (Inactive) Walton T. (Injury)
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Newport won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:24. (average 1.6:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Newport won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.7:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Newport County won against Accrington Stanley?

Newport County has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Accrington Stanley won against Newport County?

Accrington Stanley has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Newport County - Accrington Stanley were as follows:

11.10.2025 Accrington Stanley - Newport County 0:1

11.03.2025 Accrington Stanley - Newport County 5:0

24.08.2024 Newport County - Accrington Stanley 3:1

09.04.2024 Newport County - Accrington Stanley 1:3

05.08.2023 Accrington Stanley - Newport County 3:0

Latest results of Newport County

24.01.2026 Newport County - Chesterfield 2:1 ✺

17.01.2026 Gillingham - Newport County 3:2 ✺

01.01.2026 Bromley - Newport County 2:1 ✺

29.12.2025 Newport County - Crewe Alexandra 2:0 ✺

26.12.2025 Newport County - Barnet 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Accrington Stanley

24.01.2026 Walsall - Accrington Stanley 0:0 ✺

17.01.2026 Accrington Stanley - Milton Keynes Dons 0:2 ✺

04.01.2026 Colchester United - Accrington Stanley Postponed ✺

01.01.2026 Notts County - Accrington Stanley 0:1 ✺

29.12.2025 Accrington Stanley - Harrogate Town 1:0 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	39	22	13	4	62:36	26	79
2	MK Dons	39	21	11	7	76:40	36	74
3	Cambridge Utd	38	20	12	6	56:28	28	72
4	Notts Co	38	21	7	10	65:39	26	70
5	Swindon	39	21	6	12	63:45	18	69
6	Salford	39	21	4	14	54:48	6	67
7	Grimsby	38	17	11	10	56:40	16	62
8	Chesterfield	39	16	14	9	61:52	9	62
9	Crewe	39	17	9	13	58:47	11	60
10	Walsall	39	17	9	13	48:41	7	60
11	Oldham	37	15	13	9	44:31	13	58
12	Barnet	39	15	12	12	49:43	6	57
13	Fleetwood	39	14	12	13	48:46	2	54
14	Colchester	38	14	11	13	50:41	9	53
15	Accrington	38	13	9	16	38:42	-4	48
16	Gillingham	38	11	12	15	44:56	-12	45
17	Bristol Rovers	39	13	4	22	40:60	-20	43
18	Cheltenham	38	11	9	18	43:65	-22	42
19	Shrewsbury	39	11	8	20	37:63	-26	41
20	Tranmere	39	9	9	21	48:69	-21	36
21	Crawley	39	6	13	20	36:60	-24	31
22	Newport	39	8	7	24	39:67	-28	31
23	Harrogate	39	7	9	23	29:58	-29	30
24	Barrow	38	7	8	23	36:63	-27	29

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League