Result
1:4
27/01/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 29
- Referee: Durkin J. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.04 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (297/425) | 56% (177/316) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.04 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 1.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (297/425) | 56% (177/316) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (30/98) | 17% (14/81) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 47% (57/122) | 53% (61/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (6/16) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.67 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 39 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (4/5) | 62% (16/26) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 77 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.83 | 1.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -2.17 | 0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', 0 - 1, Henderson A. ⚽, Whalley S. (A),
- 28', Matthews D. 🟨,
- 32', Grant C. 🟨,
- 35', 1 - 1, Opoku N. ⚽, Biggins H. (A),
- 40', O'Brien C. 🟨,
- 45', Smith M. ↓, Lloyd B. ↑,
- 45+1', Spellman M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 51', 1 - 2, Sinclair I. ⚽, Whalley S. (A),
- 56', Grant C. ↓, Conneely S. ↑,
- 56', O'Brien C. ↓, Sass F. ↑,
- 58', Lloyd B. 🟨,
- 65', Opoku N. 🟨,
- 65', Spellman M. ↓, Crole J. ↑,
- 69', Opoku N. 🟨,
- 71', Henderson A. ↓, Butterfield L. ↑,
- 80', Thomas J. ↓, Jenkins L. ↑,
- 80', Kamwa B. ↓, Nyakuhwa T. ↑,
- 80', Driscoll-Glennon A. ↓, Davies T. ↑,
- 82', 1 - 3, Madden P. ⚽, Sinclair I. (A),
- 84', Madden P. ↓, Woods J. ↑,
- 90+2', 1 - 4, Heath I. ⚽, Butterfield L. (A),
- 90+6', Rawson F. 🟨,
- 90+8', Conneely S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Newport County
30.5% | Draw
29% | Accrington Stanley
40.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Accrington Stanley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Newport County - Accrington Stanley Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.05 ↑
(2.82) |
3.22 ↑
(3.1) |
2.3 ↓
(2.42) |
7.2%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Newport County - Accrington Stanley?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Newport will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Accrington will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Accrington: 30.4% – 86.2%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Newport (votes: 2 - 40%). Accrington (votes: 3 - 60%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DNB - Accrington (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Newport (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Accrington (votes: 4 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newport won 2.
- Newport has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Accrington is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Accrington might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Newport: Garner G.
(Inactive)
Patten K.
(Broken Leg)
- There will not play in Accrington: Hall C.
(Inactive)
Mooney K.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Accrington: Bauress J.
(Inactive)
Walton T.
(Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Newport won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:24. (average 1.6:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Newport won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Newport County won against Accrington Stanley?
Newport County has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Accrington Stanley won against Newport County?
Accrington Stanley has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Newport County - Accrington Stanley were as follows:
11.10.2025
Accrington Stanley
-
Newport County
0:1
11.03.2025
Accrington Stanley
-
Newport County
5:0
24.08.2024
Newport County
-
Accrington Stanley
3:1
09.04.2024
Newport County
-
Accrington Stanley
1:3
05.08.2023
Accrington Stanley
-
Newport County
3:0
Latest results of Newport County
Latest results of Accrington Stanley
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 43 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 68:43 | 25 | 83 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 43 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 79:43 | 36 | 79 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 42 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 62:31 | 31 | 77 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 43 | 23 | 7 | 13 | 71:49 | 22 | 76 |
| 5 | Swindon | 43 | 22 | 8 | 13 | 67:51 | 16 | 74 |
| 6 | Salford | 43 | 23 | 5 | 15 | 57:50 | 7 | 74 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 42 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 64:53 | 11 | 69 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 41 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 62:45 | 17 | 68 |
| 9 | Barnet | 43 | 18 | 13 | 12 | 60:49 | 11 | 67 |
| 10 | Crewe | 43 | 19 | 9 | 15 | 63:53 | 10 | 66 |
| 11 | Oldham | 42 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 52:36 | 16 | 65 |
| 12 | Walsall | 43 | 17 | 11 | 15 | 52:50 | 2 | 62 |
| 13 | Colchester | 42 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 56:45 | 11 | 60 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 53:54 | -1 | 58 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 43 | 17 | 4 | 22 | 49:63 | -14 | 55 |
| 16 | Accrington | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 41:48 | -7 | 51 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 48:60 | -12 | 50 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 43 | 13 | 8 | 22 | 40:66 | -26 | 47 |
| 19 | Cheltenham | 41 | 12 | 10 | 19 | 48:67 | -19 | 46 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 49:72 | -23 | 37 |
| 21 | Crawley | 43 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 41:65 | -24 | 37 |
| 22 | Newport | 43 | 10 | 7 | 26 | 43:73 | -30 | 37 |
| 23 | Barrow | 42 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 40:68 | -28 | 33 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 43 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 35:66 | -31 | 33 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
