Tranmere Rovers vs Accrington Stanley – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Prenton Park (Birkenhead).

League Two - Round 33
Referee: Duckworth E. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.12	2.04
Ball possession
66%	34%
Total shots
16	13
Shots on target
3	6
Big chances
0	3
Corner kicks
7	1
Passes
75% (337/451)	61% (145/239)
Yellow cards
1	3
Red cards
0	2
Expected goals (xG)
1.12	2.04
xG on target (xGOT)
1.21	1.40
Total shots
16	13
Shots on target
3	6
Shots off target
9	4
Blocked shots
4	3
Shots inside the box
10	10
Shots outside the box
6	3
Hit the woodwork
0	3
Headed goals
0	1
Big chances
0	3
Corner kicks
7	1
Touches in opposition box
38	21
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free kicks
10	7
Passes
75% (337/451)	61% (145/239)
Long passes
45% (40/88)	33% (26/80)
Passes in final third
72% (129/179)	57% (50/87)
Crosses
24% (8/33)	29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.53	0.96
Throw ins
25	23
Fouls
7	10
Tackles
63% (10/16)	50% (9/18)
Duels won
57	60
Clearances
25	72
Interceptions
3	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
5	2
xGOT faced
1.40	1.21
Goals prevented
0.40	1.21

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Love D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 0 - 1, Madden P. ⚽, Heath I. (A),
51', Warrington L. 🟨,
63', Butterfield L. 🟥,
69', Henderson A. ↓, Conneely S. ↑,
72', Negru S. ↓, Dennis K. ↑,
72', Warrington L. ↓, Norman C. ↑,
72', Smith N. ↓, Lowe J. ↑,
80', Madden P. 🟨,
90+1', Heath I. 🟨,
90+5', Woods J. 🟥,
90+6', Norman C. ↓, Dickov M. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Tranmere Rovers
40.5%

Draw
29.8%

Accrington Stanley
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

28.7%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

27.4%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tranmere Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Accrington Stanley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Tranmere Rovers - Accrington Stanley Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.25)	3.13 ↓ (3.2)	3.15 ↑ (3)	6.8% (9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Tranmere Rovers - Accrington Stanley?

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Tranmere will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Accrington will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 17 and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tranmere won 2.
Tranmere has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Accrington is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Accrington may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Tranmere might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Tranmere: McGee L. (Hip Injury) O'Connor L. (Inactive) Williams J. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Accrington: Love D. (Yellow Cards) Matthews D. (Red Card) Mooney K. (Inactive) Walton T. (Injury)
There are questionable in Tranmere: Jennings C. (Inactive) Jones D. (Inactive) Joseph J. (Inactive) Obiero Z. (Injury) Tamen W. (Inactive) Turnbull J. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Accrington: Coyle L. (Inactive)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Tranmere won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:18. (average 1.9:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Tranmere won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:4. (average 1.9:0.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Tranmere Rovers won against Accrington Stanley?

Tranmere Rovers has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Accrington Stanley won against Tranmere Rovers?

Accrington Stanley has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Tranmere Rovers - Accrington Stanley were as follows:

28.10.2025 Accrington Stanley - Tranmere Rovers 1:1

12.04.2025 Accrington Stanley - Tranmere Rovers 3:3

25.02.2025 Tranmere Rovers - Accrington Stanley 0:1

08.10.2024 Tranmere Rovers - Accrington Stanley 2:1

13.08.2024 Tranmere Rovers - Accrington Stanley 3:0

Latest results of Tranmere Rovers

14.02.2026 Tranmere Rovers - Crawley Town 2:0 ✺

07.02.2026 Gillingham - Tranmere Rovers 2:1 ✺

31.01.2026 Tranmere Rovers - Salford City 0:2 ✺

27.01.2026 Barnet - Tranmere Rovers 1:0 ✺

24.01.2026 Cambridge United - Tranmere Rovers 4:2 ✺

Latest results of Accrington Stanley

11.02.2026 Grimsby Town - Accrington Stanley 1:0 ✺

05.02.2026 Accrington Stanley - Salford City 1:0 ✺

31.01.2026 Accrington Stanley - Cheltenham Town 3:1 ✺

27.01.2026 Newport County - Accrington Stanley 1:4 ✺

24.01.2026 Walsall - Accrington Stanley 0:0 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	34	19	11	4	58:35	23	68
2	Cambridge Utd	34	18	10	6	49:27	22	64
3	MK Dons	34	17	11	6	63:34	29	62
4	Swindon	35	19	5	11	57:41	16	62
5	Notts Co	34	18	7	9	52:33	19	61
6	Crewe	35	16	8	11	52:41	11	56
7	Salford	33	17	4	12	46:43	3	55
8	Chesterfield	34	13	14	7	52:44	8	53
9	Barnet	35	14	11	10	44:37	7	53
10	Walsall	33	15	8	10	42:36	6	53
11	Grimsby	33	14	10	9	46:37	9	52
12	Colchester	33	13	10	10	48:35	13	49
13	Accrington	34	13	7	14	37:36	1	46
14	Oldham	32	11	12	9	36:30	6	45
15	Fleetwood	33	12	9	12	43:42	1	45
16	Gillingham	33	11	11	11	41:41	0	44
17	Shrewsbury	35	10	8	17	34:54	-20	38
18	Cheltenham	33	10	6	17	34:55	-21	36
19	Tranmere	34	9	8	17	46:59	-13	35
20	Bristol Rovers	34	9	4	21	33:57	-24	31
21	Crawley	35	6	10	19	33:56	-23	28
22	Barrow	33	7	6	20	33:51	-18	27
23	Harrogate	35	6	9	20	25:52	-27	27
24	Newport	34	6	7	21	32:60	-28	25

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League