Tranmere Rovers vs Accrington Stanley – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Prenton Park (Birkenhead).

League Two - Round 33
Referee: Duckworth E. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.12	2.04
Ball possession
66%	34%
Total shots
16	13
Shots on target
3	6
Big chances
0	3
Corner kicks
7	1
Passes
75% (337/451)	61% (145/239)
Yellow cards
1	3
Red cards
0	2
Expected goals (xG)
1.12	2.04
xG on target (xGOT)
1.21	1.40
Total shots
16	13
Shots on target
3	6
Shots off target
9	4
Blocked shots
4	3
Shots inside the box
10	10
Shots outside the box
6	3
Hit the woodwork
0	3
Headed goals
0	1
Big chances
0	3
Corner kicks
7	1
Touches in opposition box
38	21
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free kicks
10	7
Passes
75% (337/451)	61% (145/239)
Long passes
45% (40/88)	33% (26/80)
Passes in final third
72% (129/179)	57% (50/87)
Crosses
24% (8/33)	29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.53	0.96
Throw ins
25	23
Fouls
7	10
Tackles
63% (10/16)	50% (9/18)
Duels won
57	60
Clearances
25	72
Interceptions
3	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
5	2
xGOT faced
1.40	1.21
Goals prevented
0.40	1.21

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Love D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 0 - 1, Madden P. ⚽, Heath I. (A),
51', Warrington L. 🟨,
63', Butterfield L. 🟥,
69', Henderson A. ↓, Conneely S. ↑,
72', Negru S. ↓, Dennis K. ↑,
72', Warrington L. ↓, Norman C. ↑,
72', Smith N. ↓, Lowe J. ↑,
80', Madden P. 🟨,
90+1', Heath I. 🟨,
90+5', Woods J. 🟥,
90+6', Norman C. ↓, Dickov M. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Tranmere Rovers
40.5%

Draw
29.8%

Accrington Stanley
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

28.7%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

27.4%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tranmere Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Accrington Stanley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Tranmere Rovers - Accrington Stanley Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.25)	3.13 ↓ (3.2)	3.15 ↑ (3)	6.8% (9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Tranmere Rovers - Accrington Stanley?

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Tranmere will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Accrington will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 17 and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tranmere won 2.
Tranmere has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Accrington is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Accrington may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Tranmere might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Tranmere: McGee L. (Hip Injury) O'Connor L. (Inactive) Williams J. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Accrington: Love D. (Yellow Cards) Matthews D. (Red Card) Mooney K. (Inactive) Walton T. (Injury)
There are questionable in Tranmere: Jennings C. (Inactive) Jones D. (Inactive) Joseph J. (Inactive) Obiero Z. (Injury) Tamen W. (Inactive) Turnbull J. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Accrington: Coyle L. (Inactive)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Tranmere won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:18. (average 1.9:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Tranmere won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:4. (average 1.9:0.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Tranmere Rovers won against Accrington Stanley?

Tranmere Rovers has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Accrington Stanley won against Tranmere Rovers?

Accrington Stanley has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Tranmere Rovers - Accrington Stanley were as follows:

28.10.2025 Accrington Stanley - Tranmere Rovers 1:1

12.04.2025 Accrington Stanley - Tranmere Rovers 3:3

25.02.2025 Tranmere Rovers - Accrington Stanley 0:1

08.10.2024 Tranmere Rovers - Accrington Stanley 2:1

13.08.2024 Tranmere Rovers - Accrington Stanley 3:0

Latest results of Tranmere Rovers

14.02.2026 Tranmere Rovers - Crawley Town 2:0 ✺

07.02.2026 Gillingham - Tranmere Rovers 2:1 ✺

31.01.2026 Tranmere Rovers - Salford City 0:2 ✺

27.01.2026 Barnet - Tranmere Rovers 1:0 ✺

24.01.2026 Cambridge United - Tranmere Rovers 4:2 ✺

Latest results of Accrington Stanley

11.02.2026 Grimsby Town - Accrington Stanley 1:0 ✺

05.02.2026 Accrington Stanley - Salford City 1:0 ✺

31.01.2026 Accrington Stanley - Cheltenham Town 3:1 ✺

27.01.2026 Newport County - Accrington Stanley 1:4 ✺

24.01.2026 Walsall - Accrington Stanley 0:0 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	43	23	14	6	68:43	25	83
2	MK Dons	43	22	13	8	79:43	36	79
3	Cambridge Utd	42	21	14	7	62:31	31	77
4	Notts Co	43	23	7	13	71:49	22	76
5	Swindon	43	22	8	13	67:51	16	74
6	Salford	43	23	5	15	57:50	7	74
7	Chesterfield	42	18	15	9	64:53	11	69
8	Grimsby	41	19	11	11	62:45	17	68
9	Barnet	43	18	13	12	60:49	11	67
10	Crewe	43	19	9	15	63:53	10	66
11	Oldham	42	17	14	11	52:36	16	65
12	Walsall	43	17	11	15	52:50	2	62
13	Colchester	42	16	12	14	56:45	11	60
14	Fleetwood	43	15	13	15	53:54	-1	58
15	Bristol Rovers	43	17	4	22	49:63	-14	55
16	Accrington	42	14	9	19	41:48	-7	51
17	Gillingham	42	12	14	16	48:60	-12	50
18	Shrewsbury	43	13	8	22	40:66	-26	47
19	Cheltenham	41	12	10	19	48:67	-19	46
20	Tranmere	42	9	10	23	49:72	-23	37
21	Crawley	43	8	13	22	41:65	-24	37
22	Newport	43	10	7	26	43:73	-30	37
23	Barrow	42	8	9	25	40:68	-28	33
24	Harrogate	43	8	9	26	35:66	-31	33

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League