ACR Messina vs Igea Virtus Barcellona – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
14/12/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group I - Round 16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 64', 1 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


ACR Messina
36.6%
Draw
33.2%
Igea Virtus Barcellona
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.2% 26.4% 36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1% 27.1% 35.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • ACR Messina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Igea Virtus Barcellona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Igea Virtus Barcellona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for ACR Messina than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Igea Virtus Barcellona than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Igea Virtus Barcellona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • ACR Messina - Igea Virtus Barcellona Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.49
    (2.43)
    2.75
    (3.43)
    3.02
    (2.49)
    9.6%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).
    • In recent matches, ACR Messina has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Igea Virtus is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, ACR Messina won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, ACR Messina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
    Latest results of ACR Messina
    30.11.2025 Ragusa - ACR Messina 0:0
    23.11.2025 ACR Messina - Savoia 0:1
    09.11.2025 ACR Messina - Vibonese 1:1
    Latest results of Igea Virtus Barcellona
    Italian Serie D - Group I Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Savoia31179554:282660
    2Nissa31179543:251860
    3Reggina30166834:191554
    4Athletic Palermo31166953:411254
    5Gelbison31149840:31951
    6Igea Virtus301412445:271849
    7Sambiase311310834:25949
    8Milazzo301271130:32-243
    9Gela311341439:39042
    10Vigor Lamezia301061437:32536
    11Enna308111147:45235
    12USD Ragusa317111322:32-1032
    13AS Acireale317111336:47-1131
    14Castrumfavara31871630:43-1331
    15Vibonese307101327:41-1431
    16ACR Messina3110111025:31-627
    17Sancataldese31761830:45-1527
    18Paterno31472020:63-4319

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )
          Relegation