Result
1:0
14/12/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group I - Round 16
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 64', 1 - 0, ⚽,
Chances of winning
ACR Messina 36.6% | Draw 33.2% | Igea Virtus Barcellona 30.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ACR Messina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Igea Virtus Barcellona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Igea Virtus Barcellona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a higher probability for ACR Messina than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Igea Virtus Barcellona than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Igea Virtus Barcellona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
ACR Messina - Igea Virtus Barcellona Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.49 ↑ (2.43) |
2.75 ↓ (3.43) |
3.02 ↑ (2.49) |
9.6% (10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).
- In recent matches, ACR Messina has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Igea Virtus is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, ACR Messina won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
- Including home match between the teams, ACR Messina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
How many head-to-head matches has ACR Messina won against Igea Virtus Barcellona?
ACR Messina has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Igea Virtus Barcellona won against ACR Messina?
Igea Virtus Barcellona has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between ACR Messina - Igea Virtus Barcellona were as follows:
Latest results of ACR Messina
Latest results of Igea Virtus Barcellona
Italian Serie D - Group I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Savoia | 31 | 17 | 9 | 5 | 54:28 | 26 | 60 |
| 2 | Nissa | 31 | 17 | 9 | 5 | 43:25 | 18 | 60 |
| 3 | Reggina | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 34:19 | 15 | 54 |
| 4 | Athletic Palermo | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 53:41 | 12 | 54 |
| 5 | Gelbison | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 40:31 | 9 | 51 |
| 6 | Igea Virtus | 30 | 14 | 12 | 4 | 45:27 | 18 | 49 |
| 7 | Sambiase | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 49 |
| 8 | Milazzo | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 30:32 | -2 | 43 |
| 9 | Gela | 31 | 13 | 4 | 14 | 39:39 | 0 | 42 |
| 10 | Vigor Lamezia | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 37:32 | 5 | 36 |
| 11 | Enna | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 47:45 | 2 | 35 |
| 12 | USD Ragusa | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 22:32 | -10 | 32 |
| 13 | AS Acireale | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 36:47 | -11 | 31 |
| 14 | Castrumfavara | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 30:43 | -13 | 31 |
| 15 | Vibonese | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 27:41 | -14 | 31 |
| 16 | ACR Messina | 31 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 25:31 | -6 | 27 |
| 17 | Sancataldese | 31 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 30:45 | -15 | 27 |
| 18 | Paterno | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 20:63 | -43 | 19 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )
Relegation