ACR Messina vs Igea Virtus Barcellona – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
14/12/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group I - Round 16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 64', 1 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


ACR Messina
36.6%
Draw
33.2%
Igea Virtus Barcellona
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.2% 26.4% 36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1% 27.1% 35.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • ACR Messina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Igea Virtus Barcellona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Igea Virtus Barcellona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for ACR Messina than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Igea Virtus Barcellona than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Igea Virtus Barcellona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • ACR Messina - Igea Virtus Barcellona Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.49
    (2.43)
    2.75
    (3.43)
    3.02
    (2.49)
    9.6%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).
    • In recent matches, ACR Messina has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Igea Virtus is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, ACR Messina won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, ACR Messina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
    Latest results of ACR Messina
    30.11.2025 Ragusa - ACR Messina 0:0
    23.11.2025 ACR Messina - Savoia 0:1
    09.11.2025 ACR Messina - Vibonese 1:1
    Latest results of Igea Virtus Barcellona
    Italian Serie D - Group I Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Savoia26148447:252250
    2Igea Virtus261311241:212050
    3Athletic Palermo25146546:291748
    4Reggina26145731:181347
    5Nissa26138533:24947
    6Gelbison26117833:27640
    7Milazzo261151027:28-138
    8Gela261221235:34137
    9Sambiase2699825:21436
    10Vigor Lamezia261051134:25935
    11Enna2579941:39230
    12USD Ragusa26691120:28-827
    13Vibonese26681225:39-1426
    14Sancataldese26661427:37-1024
    15ACR Messina26910723:26-323
    16AS Acireale26591232:44-1223
    17Castrumfavara26561521:38-1721
    18Paterno26451715:53-3817

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )
          Relegation