Result
1:0
14/12/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group I - Round 16
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 64', 1 - 0, ⚽,
Chances of winning
ACR Messina
36.6% | Draw
33.2% | Igea Virtus Barcellona
30.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ACR Messina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Igea Virtus Barcellona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Igea Virtus Barcellona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a higher probability for ACR Messina than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Igea Virtus Barcellona than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Igea Virtus Barcellona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
ACR Messina - Igea Virtus Barcellona Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.49 ↑
(2.43) |
2.75 ↓
(3.43) |
3.02 ↑
(2.49) |
9.6%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).
- In recent matches, ACR Messina has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Igea Virtus is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, ACR Messina won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
- Including home match between the teams, ACR Messina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
How many head-to-head matches has ACR Messina won against Igea Virtus Barcellona?
ACR Messina has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Igea Virtus Barcellona won against ACR Messina?
Igea Virtus Barcellona has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between ACR Messina - Igea Virtus Barcellona were as follows:
Latest results of ACR Messina
Latest results of Igea Virtus Barcellona
Italian Serie D - Group I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Athletic Palermo | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 52:35 | 17 | 54 |
| 2 | Nissa | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 37:24 | 13 | 53 |
| 3 | Savoia | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 48:27 | 21 | 51 |
| 4 | Reggina | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 31:19 | 12 | 47 |
| 5 | Igea Virtus | 27 | 13 | 12 | 2 | 42:22 | 20 | 46 |
| 6 | Gelbison | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 35:29 | 6 | 42 |
| 7 | Sambiase | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 28:22 | 6 | 42 |
| 8 | Milazzo | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 29:29 | 0 | 42 |
| 9 | Gela | 28 | 12 | 3 | 13 | 37:37 | 0 | 38 |
| 10 | Vigor Lamezia | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 36:28 | 8 | 36 |
| 11 | Enna | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 43:42 | 1 | 31 |
| 12 | USD Ragusa | 28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 21:29 | -8 | 29 |
| 13 | Vibonese | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 25:39 | -14 | 28 |
| 14 | Castrumfavara | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 24:39 | -15 | 27 |
| 15 | AS Acireale | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 33:44 | -11 | 26 |
| 16 | ACR Messina | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 23:27 | -4 | 24 |
| 17 | Sancataldese | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 27:39 | -12 | 24 |
| 18 | Paterno | 28 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18:58 | -40 | 18 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )
Relegation
