Result
2:1
10/04/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 26
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 17', 1 - 0, Semu B. ⚽,
- 26', 1 - 1, Aitken B. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 63', 2 - 1, Tefera A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Bahir Dar Kenema 42.2% | Draw 31.6% | Adama City 26.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bahir Dar Kenema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Adama City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahir Dar Kenema than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bahir Dar Kenema that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adama City than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Bahir Dar Kenema - Adama City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.15 ↓ (2.16) |
2.87 ↓ (2.97) |
3.46 ↓ (3.48) |
10.2% (8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bahir Dar won 1.
- In recent matches, Bahir Dar has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Adama City is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Bahir Dar might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Bahir Dar won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 0.9:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bahir Dar won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Bahir Dar Kenema won against Adama City?
Bahir Dar Kenema has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Adama City won against Bahir Dar Kenema?
Adama City has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bahir Dar Kenema - Adama City were as follows:
25.11.2025
Adama City
-
Bahir Dar Kenema
1:0
02.06.2025
Adama City
-
Bahir Dar Kenema
2:0
27.09.2024
Bahir Dar Kenema
-
Adama City
0:1
21.06.2024
Adama City
-
Bahir Dar Kenema
2:3
03.02.2024
Bahir Dar Kenema
-
Adama City
1:2
Latest results of Bahir Dar Kenema
Latest results of Adama City
Ethiopian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 35:17 | 18 | 55 |
| 2 | Mechal | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 36:22 | 14 | 47 |
| 3 | Negele Arsi Ketema | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 27:20 | 7 | 45 |
| 4 | Hawassa | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 31:23 | 8 | 43 |
| 5 | Fasil Kenema | 29 | 10 | 13 | 6 | 19:18 | 1 | 43 |
| 6 | Ethio Electric | 29 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 22:17 | 5 | 42 |
| 7 | Ethiopia Bunna | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 33:33 | 0 | 41 |
| 8 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 29 | 7 | 16 | 6 | 21:22 | -1 | 37 |
| 9 | Sheger Ketema | 29 | 7 | 15 | 7 | 26:25 | 1 | 36 |
| 10 | St. George | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 24:27 | -3 | 36 |
| 11 | Welayta Dicha | 29 | 7 | 14 | 8 | 28:27 | 1 | 35 |
| 12 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 35:35 | 0 | 35 |
| 13 | Welwalo Adigrat | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 26:30 | -4 | 35 |
| 14 | Hadiya Hossana | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 26:31 | -5 | 35 |
| 15 | Ethiopian Insurance | 29 | 7 | 13 | 9 | 24:23 | 1 | 34 |
| 16 | Adama City | 29 | 7 | 13 | 9 | 25:30 | -5 | 34 |
| 17 | Dire Dawa | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 20:30 | -10 | 33 |
| 18 | Shire Endaselassie | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 18:23 | -5 | 30 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 21:31 | -10 | 30 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 29 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 21:34 | -13 | 25 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation