Adelaide Crows vs Brisbane Lions: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

06/06/2025 at 05:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Adelaide Oval (Adelaide).

: AFL - Round 13

Match Stats


Goals
10	8
Behinds
8	15
Kicks
206	235
Handballs
94	140
Disposals
300	375
Frees For
25	20
Frees Against
20	25
Clearances Completed
36	55
Marks
62	73
Tackles
88	62
Hitouts
57	49

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Quarter (6 - 15)
03:35, Thiltorpe R. (Behind),
03:51, Curtin D. (Behind),
07:37, (Behind Rushed),
08:20, (Behind Rushed),
12:57, Rayner C. (Behind),
16:21, Ashcroft L. (Behind),
18:02, Rachele J. (Behind),
20:43, Rayner C. (G),
22:04, Ah Chee C. (G),
26:45, Rankine I. (Behind),
29:07, Walker T. (Behind),
2nd Quarter (19 - 18)
01:12, Keays B. (G),
06:13, Rayner C. (G),
11:38, Bailey Z. (G),
15:35, McCluggage H. (G),
19:13, (Behind Rushed),
21:19, Rachele J. (G),
27:46, Walker T. (G),
3rd Quarter (13 - 22)
00:17, (Behind Rushed),
02:06, Rachele J. (G),
08:08, O'Brien R. (Behind),
09:26, Cameron C. (G),
14:52, Fort D. (Behind),
22:21, (Behind Rushed),
25:58, Pedlar L. (G),
27:08, Cameron C. (G),
30:42, McCluggage H. (Behind),
32:00, Lohmann K. (G),
4th Quarter (30 - 8)
00:43, Thiltorpe R. (G),
02:52, Keays B. (G),
06:03, Dawson J. (G),
08:46, Ah Chee C. (Behind),
11:14, Rayner C. (Behind),
11:49, Rachele J. (G),
17:52, Keays B. (G),
20:14, (Behind Rushed),
21:33, (Behind Rushed),
23:40, (Behind Rushed),
27:29, Ah Chee C. (Behind),
30:15, Neale L. (Behind),
31:16, (Behind Rushed),

Chances of winning

Adelaide Crows
60.6%

Brisbane Lions
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adelaide Crows has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Adelaide Crows's performance.

Brisbane Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brisbane Lions might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide Crows than the current prediction. (-16%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Adelaide Crows that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Lions than the current prediction. (+16%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brisbane Lions could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Adelaide Crows - Brisbane Lions Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.76)		2.36 ↑ (2.08)	6.5% (5.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 154.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)

Preview Facts

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 2.
Now, both teams are in good form.
Adelaide may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Adelaide might have a minor edge in this game.
We predict that Adelaide will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 1753:1390. (average 97.4:77.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 760:567. (average 108.6:81).

How many head-to-head matches has Adelaide Crows won against Brisbane Lions?

Adelaide Crows has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Brisbane Lions won against Adelaide Crows?

Brisbane Lions has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Adelaide Crows - Brisbane Lions were as follows:

27.02.2025 Brisbane Lions - Adelaide Crows 94:97

07.07.2024 Brisbane Lions - Adelaide Crows 97:86

12.05.2024 Adelaide Crows - Brisbane Lions 90:90

12.08.2023 Brisbane Lions - Adelaide Crows 99:93

28.05.2023 Adelaide Crows - Brisbane Lions 95:78

Latest results of Adelaide Crows

31.05.2025 Sydney Swans - Adelaide Crows 41:131 ✺

24.05.2025 Adelaide Crows - West Coast Eagles 128:62 ✺

16.05.2025 Collingwood Magpies - Adelaide Crows 78:68 ✺

10.05.2025 Port Adelaide Power - Adelaide Crows 84:89 ✺

03.05.2025 Adelaide Crows - Carlton Blues 110:50 ✺

Latest results of Brisbane Lions

29.05.2025 Brisbane Lions - Essendon Bombers 90:72 ✺

24.05.2025 Hawthorn Hawks - Brisbane Lions 60:93 ✺

18.05.2025 Brisbane Lions - Melbourne Demons 88:99 ✺

11.05.2025 North Melbourne Kangaroos - Brisbane Lions 71:71 ✺

04.05.2025 Brisbane Lions - Gold Coast Suns 66:49 ✺

AFL Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		%%	Pts
1	Collingwood Magpies	15	13	0	2	1393:1026	135.77	52
2	Brisbane Lions	15	10	1	4	1316:1160	113.45	42
3	Adelaide Crows	15	10	0	5	1479:1058	139.79	40
4	Geelong Cats	15	10	0	5	1477:1158	127.55	40
5	Hawthorn Hawks	15	10	0	5	1347:1138	118.37	40
6	Fremantle Dockers	15	10	0	5	1271:1151	110.43	40
7	Western Bulldogs	15	9	0	6	1582:1203	131.50	36
8	Gold Coast Suns	14	9	0	5	1317:1095	120.27	36
9	GWS Giants	15	9	0	6	1294:1203	107.56	36
10	Port Adelaide Power	15	7	0	8	1156:1305	88.58	28
11	Carlton Blues	15	6	0	9	1186:1181	100.42	24
12	Sydney Swans	15	6	0	9	1171:1271	92.13	24
13	Essendon Bombers	14	6	0	8	1010:1304	77.45	24
14	Melbourne Demons	15	5	0	10	1176:1356	86.73	20
15	St Kilda Saints	15	5	0	10	1196:1388	86.17	20
16	North Melbourne	15	4	1	10	1152:1467	78.53	18
17	Richmond Tigers	15	3	0	12	963:1486	64.80	12
18	West Coast Eagles	15	1	0	14	1003:1539	65.17	4

Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Adelaide Crows - Brisbane Lions?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	SupeSport ESPN 1
Australia	AFL, Fox Footy, Seven Network
Germany	Sportdigital+
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 1