Adelaide Crows vs Brisbane Lions – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Aussie rules AFL Adelaide Crows - Brisbane Lions
Result
68:63
06/06/2025 at 05:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFL - Round 13
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSupeSport ESPN 1
australiaAustraliaAFL, Fox Footy, Seven Network
germanyGermanySportdigital+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports 1

Match Stats

Goals
108
Behinds
815
Kicks
206235
Handballs
94140
Disposals
300375
Frees For
2520
Frees Against
2025
Clearances Completed
3655
Marks
6273
Tackles
8862
Hitouts
5749

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (6 - 15)
  • 03:35, Thiltorpe R. (Behind),
  • 03:51, Curtin D. (Behind),
  • 07:37, (Behind Rushed),
  • 08:20, (Behind Rushed),
  • 12:57, Rayner C. (Behind),
  • 16:21, Ashcroft L. (Behind),
  • 18:02, Rachele J. (Behind),
  • 20:43, Rayner C. (G),
  • 22:04, Ah Chee C. (G),
  • 26:45, Rankine I. (Behind),
  • 29:07, Walker T. (Behind),
  • 2nd Quarter (19 - 18)
  • 01:12, Keays B. (G),
  • 06:13, Rayner C. (G),
  • 11:38, Bailey Z. (G),
  • 15:35, McCluggage H. (G),
  • 19:13, (Behind Rushed),
  • 21:19, Rachele J. (G),
  • 27:46, Walker T. (G),
  • 3rd Quarter (13 - 22)
  • 00:17, (Behind Rushed),
  • 02:06, Rachele J. (G),
  • 08:08, O'Brien R. (Behind),
  • 09:26, Cameron C. (G),
  • 14:52, Fort D. (Behind),
  • 22:21, (Behind Rushed),
  • 25:58, Pedlar L. (G),
  • 27:08, Cameron C. (G),
  • 30:42, McCluggage H. (Behind),
  • 32:00, Lohmann K. (G),
  • 4th Quarter (30 - 8)
  • 00:43, Thiltorpe R. (G),
  • 02:52, Keays B. (G),
  • 06:03, Dawson J. (G),
  • 08:46, Ah Chee C. (Behind),
  • 11:14, Rayner C. (Behind),
  • 11:49, Rachele J. (G),
  • 17:52, Keays B. (G),
  • 20:14, (Behind Rushed),
  • 21:33, (Behind Rushed),
  • 23:40, (Behind Rushed),
  • 27:29, Ah Chee C. (Behind),
  • 30:15, Neale L. (Behind),
  • 31:16, (Behind Rushed),

Chances of winning


Adelaide Crows
60.6%
Brisbane Lions
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.2% 45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6% 55.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Adelaide Crows has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Adelaide Crows's performance.
  • Brisbane Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brisbane Lions might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide Crows than the current prediction. (-16%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Adelaide Crows that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Lions than the current prediction. (+16%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brisbane Lions could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Adelaide Crows - Brisbane Lions Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (1.76)

    2.36
    (2.08)
    6.5%
    (5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 154.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 2.
    • Now, both teams are in good form.
    • Adelaide may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Adelaide might have a minor edge in this game.
    • We predict that Adelaide will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 1753:1390. (average 97.4:77.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 760:567. (average 108.6:81).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Adelaide Crows - Brisbane Lions were as follows:
    27.02.2025 Brisbane Lions - Adelaide Crows 94:97
    07.07.2024 Brisbane Lions - Adelaide Crows 97:86
    12.05.2024 Adelaide Crows - Brisbane Lions 90:90
    12.08.2023 Brisbane Lions - Adelaide Crows 99:93
    28.05.2023 Adelaide Crows - Brisbane Lions 95:78
    Latest results of Adelaide Crows
    Latest results of Brisbane Lions
    AFL Table
    2025
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Adelaide Crows2318052278:1635139.3372
    2Geelong Cats2317062425:1714141.4868
    3Collingwood Magpies2316071991:1627122.3764
    4Brisbane Lions2215161972:1725114.3262
    5Hawthorn Hawks2215071966:1602122.7260
    6GWS Giants2215072010:1741115.4560
    7Fremantle Dockers2215071866:1718108.6160
    8Western Bulldogs2214082396:1708140.2856
    9Gold Coast Suns2214082020:1682120.1056
    10Sydney Swans23120111845:190297.0048
    11Carlton Blues2390141799:186196.6736
    12St Kilda Saints2290131746:197388.4936
    13Port Adelaide Power2390141705:213679.8236
    14Melbourne Demons2370161902:203893.3328
    15Essendon Bombers2260161477:205671.8424
    16North Melbourne2351171805:236576.3222
    17Richmond Tigers2350181449:219765.9520
    18West Coast Eagles2310221466:243860.134

          Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )