Collingwood Magpies vs Adelaide Crows – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

16/05/2025 at 23:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Melbourne Cricket Ground (Melbourne).

AFL - Round 10
Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	AFL, Fox Footy
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 2

Match Stats


Goals
11	10
Behinds
12	8
Kicks
194	202
Handballs
149	125
Disposals
343	327
Frees For
20	22
Frees Against
22	20
Clearances Completed
29	39
Marks
69	72
Tackles
58	53
Hitouts
26	40

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Quarter (27 - 20)
04:23, Houston D. (G),
05:56, Thiltorpe R. (Behind),
06:47, Elliott J. (Behind),
09:17, Rankine I. (G),
10:49, Curtin D. (Behind),
13:13, Hoskin-Elliott W. (G),
17:06, Rachele J. (G),
20:10, (Behind Rushed),
21:31, Walker T. (G),
22:39, McCreery B. (Behind),
25:16, Membrey T. (G),
27:43, Hill B. (G),
2nd Quarter (16 - 18)
02:28, Fogarty D. (G),
09:06, Pendlebury S. (Behind),
11:10, (Behind Rushed),
15:35, Hill B. (Behind),
16:57, Fogarty D. (G),
19:59, Sidebottom S. (G),
21:26, Crisp J. (G),
23:50, Fogarty D. (G),
27:58, (Behind Rushed),
3rd Quarter (20 - 9)
07:47, Curtin D. (Behind),
14:15, (Behind Rushed),
17:37, Soligo J. (G),
19:13, (Behind Rushed),
23:31, McCreery B. (G),
24:43, Dawson J. (Behind),
27:34, Cameron D. (G),
29:17, (Behind Rushed),
31:54, Elliott J. (G),
4th Quarter (15 - 21)
04:26, Hoskin-Elliott W. (G),
06:20, (Behind Rushed),
07:42, (Behind Rushed),
11:44, Elliott J. (Behind),
12:36, Soligo J. (G),
14:09, Rachele J. (Behind),
15:25, Mihocek B. (G),
19:29, Fogarty D. (G),
22:34, Dawson J. (G),
26:22, (Behind Rushed),
29:46, Lipinski P. (Behind),

Chances of winning

Collingwood Magpies
62.5%

Adelaide Crows
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Collingwood Magpies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Adelaide Crows has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Collingwood Magpies than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide Crows than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Collingwood Magpies - Adelaide Crows Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.44)		2.45 ↓ (2.82)	7.3% (5.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 163.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-12)

What is the prediction for Collingwood Magpies - Adelaide Crows?

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Collingwood will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 88:76.

Preview Facts

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Collingwood won 5.
Collingwood is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Adelaide's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Collingwood may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Collingwood will hold a modest advantage in this match.
We predict that Collingwood will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Collingwood won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 1253:1121. (average 78.3:70.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Collingwood won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 619:587. (average 88.4:83.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Collingwood Magpies won against Adelaide Crows?

Collingwood Magpies has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Adelaide Crows won against Collingwood Magpies?

Adelaide Crows has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Collingwood Magpies - Adelaide Crows were as follows:

17.05.2024 Collingwood Magpies - Adelaide Crows 78:74

24.06.2023 Collingwood Magpies - Adelaide Crows 82:80

Latest results of Collingwood Magpies

08.05.2025 Fremantle Dockers - Collingwood Magpies 83:97 ✺

03.05.2025 Collingwood Magpies - Geelong Cats 87:90 ✺

25.04.2025 Collingwood Magpies - Essendon Bombers 107:66 ✺

17.04.2025 Brisbane Lions - Collingwood Magpies 53:105 ✺

11.04.2025 Collingwood Magpies - Sydney Swans 109:78 ✺

Latest results of Adelaide Crows

10.05.2025 Port Adelaide Power - Adelaide Crows 84:89 ✺

03.05.2025 Adelaide Crows - Carlton Blues 110:50 ✺

25.04.2025 Fremantle Dockers - Adelaide Crows 85:67 ✺

19.04.2025 Adelaide Crows - Greater Western Sydney Giants 52:34 ✺

10.04.2025 Adelaide Crows - Geelong Cats 100:119 ✺

AFL Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		%%	Pts
1	Adelaide Crows	20	15	0	5	2019:1401	144.11	60
2	Collingwood Magpies	19	15	0	4	1742:1290	135.04	60
3	Brisbane Lions	19	13	1	5	1689:1524	110.83	54
4	Geelong Cats	19	13	0	6	1949:1452	134.23	52
5	Hawthorn Hawks	20	13	0	7	1764:1500	117.60	52
6	Fremantle Dockers	19	13	0	6	1636:1464	111.75	52
7	GWS Giants	20	13	0	7	1766:1586	111.35	52
8	Western Bulldogs	20	12	0	8	2165:1577	137.29	48
9	Gold Coast Suns	18	12	0	6	1677:1403	119.53	48
10	Sydney Swans	19	9	0	10	1499:1596	93.92	36
11	Port Adelaide Power	19	8	0	11	1419:1706	83.18	32
12	Carlton Blues	19	7	0	12	1450:1554	93.31	28
13	Melbourne Demons	19	6	0	13	1532:1703	89.96	24
14	St Kilda Saints	19	6	0	13	1535:1777	86.38	24
15	Essendon Bombers	18	6	0	12	1227:1712	71.67	24
16	Richmond Tigers	19	5	0	14	1223:1796	68.10	20
17	North Melbourne	19	4	1	14	1422:1954	72.77	18
18	West Coast Eagles	19	1	0	18	1249:1968	63.47	4

Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )