Adelaide Crows vs Collingwood Magpies – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Aussie rules AFL Adelaide Crows - Collingwood Magpies
Result
59:56
16/08/2025 at 05:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFL - Round 23
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaAFL, Fox Footy
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 5
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+

Match Stats

Goals
98
Behinds
58
Kicks
218209
Handballs
121128
Disposals
339337
Frees For
2517
Frees Against
1725
Clearances Completed
3949
Marks
8276
Tackles
6185
Hitouts
6034

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (8 - 33)
  • 01:18, (Behind Rushed),
  • 03:34, Schultz L. (Behind),
  • 05:14, Schultz L. (Behind),
  • 06:43, Membrey T. (G),
  • 10:58, Smith B. (Behind),
  • 12:53, Elliott J. (G),
  • 15:16, Fogarty D. (G),
  • 18:38, Houston D. (G),
  • 23:20, Membrey T. (G),
  • 29:05, McStay D. (Behind),
  • 32:33, Cameron D. (G),
  • 2nd Quarter (31 - 1)
  • 01:38, Fogarty D. (G),
  • 04:57, Walker T. (G),
  • 07:14, Curtin D. (G),
  • 20:51, De Goey J. (Behind),
  • 22:34, (Behind Rushed),
  • 23:57, Walker T. (G),
  • 28:56, Rankine I. (G),
  • 3rd Quarter (7 - 10)
  • 01:39, Daicos N. (Behind),
  • 03:29, Daicos N. (Behind),
  • 04:11, Perryman H. (Behind),
  • 14:18, Thiltorpe R. (Behind),
  • 20:28, Mihocek B. (Behind),
  • 26:20, Cumming I. (G),
  • 30:26, Elliott J. (G),
  • 4th Quarter (13 - 12)
  • 17:30, Peatling J. (G),
  • 21:25, (Behind Rushed),
  • 23:11, Crisp J. (G),
  • 25:13, Thiltorpe R. (G),
  • 26:45, Daicos N. (G),

Chances of winning


Adelaide Crows
64.3%
Collingwood Magpies
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.7% 30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.8% 27.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Adelaide Crows has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Adelaide Crows's form might have worsened.
  • Collingwood Magpies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Collingwood Magpies's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adelaide Crows than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Adelaide Crows, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Collingwood Magpies than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Collingwood Magpies, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Adelaide Crows - Collingwood Magpies Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.45
    (1.35)

    2.62
    (3.1)
    7.2%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 156.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-13)
  • What is the prediction for Adelaide Crows - Collingwood Magpies?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Adelaide will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Collingwood will win (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Adelaide (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 85:72.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 0.
    • Adelaide is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Collingwood's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Collingwood may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Adelaide could have a small edge in this match.
    • We predict that Adelaide will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 1189:1331. (average 69.9:78.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 534:634. (average 59.3:70.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Adelaide Crows - Collingwood Magpies were as follows:
    16.05.2025 Collingwood Magpies - Adelaide Crows 78:68
    17.05.2024 Collingwood Magpies - Adelaide Crows 78:74
    24.06.2023 Collingwood Magpies - Adelaide Crows 82:80
    Latest results of Adelaide Crows
    Latest results of Collingwood Magpies
    AFL Table
    2025
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Adelaide Crows2318052278:1635139.3372
    2Geelong Cats2317062425:1714141.4868
    3Collingwood Magpies2316071991:1627122.3764
    4Brisbane Lions2215161972:1725114.3262
    5Hawthorn Hawks2215071966:1602122.7260
    6GWS Giants2215072010:1741115.4560
    7Fremantle Dockers2215071866:1718108.6160
    8Western Bulldogs2214082396:1708140.2856
    9Gold Coast Suns2214082020:1682120.1056
    10Sydney Swans22110111727:185193.3044
    11Carlton Blues2390141799:186196.6736
    12St Kilda Saints2290131746:197388.4936
    13Port Adelaide Power2390141705:213679.8236
    14Melbourne Demons2370161902:203893.3328
    15Essendon Bombers2260161477:205671.8424
    16North Melbourne2351171805:236576.3222
    17Richmond Tigers2350181449:219765.9520
    18West Coast Eagles2210211415:232060.994

          Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )