Result
2:1
31/01/2026 at 00:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- A-League Women - Round 15
- Referee: Cooper I. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Channel 10, Paramount+ |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 3 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 6, TNT Sports Extra |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.74 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (264/353) | 73% (293/399) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 1.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (264/353) | 73% (293/399) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (15/52) | 34% (17/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (60/91) | 60% (84/141) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 32% (6/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.73 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 37 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 52% (11/21) | 85% (17/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 41 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.05 | 1.72 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | -0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Worts F. ⚽, Healy E. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 49', 2 - 0, Tonkin E. ⚽, Condon E. (A),
- 62', Uchendu C. ↓, Henry B. ↑,
- 62', McMahon S. ↓, Apostolakis A. ↑,
- 65', 2 - 1, McKenna L. ⚽,
- 66', Morgan S. ↓, Holmes D. ↑,
- 71', Condon E. ↓, Dawber C. ↑,
- 72', Hodgson I. ↓, Taranto A. ↑,
- 78', Otto T. 🟨,
- 85', Worts F. ↓, Rossi C. ↑,
- 86', McKenna L. ↓, Wilson E. ↑,
- 90+2', Jackson D. ↓, Karic C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Adelaide United
22.6% | Draw
23.7% | Melbourne City
53.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Adelaide United - Melbourne City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.05 ↓
(4.1) |
3.86 ↓
(3.92) |
1.71 ↑
(1.68) |
9.2%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Adelaide United - Melbourne City?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Melbourne City (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Adelaide United (2.89) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- DC - Adelaide United (1.84) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Adelaide United (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Melbourne City (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide United won 0.
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Melbourne City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Melbourne City is a strong favorite.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Adelaide United won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 11:28. (average 0.7:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:13. (average 0.6:2.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Adelaide United won against Melbourne City?
Adelaide United has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne City won against Adelaide United?
Melbourne City has won 6 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Adelaide United - Melbourne City were as follows:
17.12.2025
Melbourne City
-
Adelaide United
Postponed
16.03.2025
Melbourne City
-
Adelaide United
4:3
20.12.2024
Adelaide United
-
Melbourne City
1:3
18.02.2024
Melbourne City
-
Adelaide United
1:1
06.01.2024
Adelaide United
-
Melbourne City
0:5
Latest results of Adelaide United
Latest results of Melbourne City
Australian A-League Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Melbourne City W | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 26:16 | 10 | 26 |
| 2 | Wellington Phoenix W | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 27:10 | 17 | 24 |
| 3 | Canberra W | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 22:16 | 6 | 24 |
| 4 | Adelaide W | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 17:17 | 0 | 23 |
| 5 | Brisbane Roar W | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 26:25 | 1 | 22 |
| 6 | Melbourne Victory W | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 23:21 | 2 | 20 |
| 7 | Central Coast Mariners W | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 22:21 | 1 | 19 |
| 8 | Perth W | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 13:20 | -7 | 17 |
| 9 | Newcastle W | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
| 10 | WS Wanderers W | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15:27 | -12 | 15 |
| 11 | Sydney W | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10:22 | -12 | 12 |
Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
