Result
4:3
16/03/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- AUSTRALIA: A-League Women - Round 19
- Referee: Cooper I. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | 10 Play, Paramount+ |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 6 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 4 |
 Usa | ESPN 3, ESPN App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.33 | 1.35 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 20 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 45 | 26 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (358/487) | 68% (251/370) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 61% (93/152) | 56% (67/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 15% (4/26) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (15/20) | 74% (17/23) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 27 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 10', 1 - 0, McNamara H. ⚽, Stott R. (A),
- 27', 2 - 0, McNamara H. ⚽, Bosch L. (A),
- 33', 2 - 1, Tonkin E. ⚽,
- 41', 3 - 1, Leon L. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 53', 3 - 2, Healy E. ⚽, Holmes D. (A),
- 62', Vlajnic T. ↓, Roestbakken K. ↑,
- 64', 4 - 2, McNamara H. ⚽, Bosch L. (A),
- 71', Healy E. ↓, Morgan S. ↑,
- 71', Sasaki N. ↓, Dewey S. ↑,
- 73', 4 - 3, Tolland Z. ⚽, Holmes D. (A),
- 76', McNamara H. ↓, Henry B. ↑,
- 76', McKenna L. ↓, McMahon S. ↑,
- 83', McNamara M. ↓, Hodgson I. ↑,
- 89', Bosch L. ↓, Pollicina R. ↑,
- 89', Condon E. ↓, Karambasis T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Melbourne City
60.9% | Draw
21.5% | Adelaide United
17.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Melbourne City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Melbourne City's performance.Adelaide United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Adelaide United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Melbourne City that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adelaide United than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Adelaide United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Melbourne City - Adelaide United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.51 ↓
(1.72) |
4.27 ↑
(3.93) |
5.24 ↑
(3.98) |
8.7%
(8.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Melbourne City won 4.
- Melbourne City is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Adelaide United is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Melbourne City could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Melbourne City is a favorite.
- Our prediction for today's Melbourne City to win the game is with odds 1.52.
- Last 13 head-to-head matches Melbourne City won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 24:8 (average 1.8:0.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Melbourne City won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11:5 (average 1.4:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne City won against Adelaide United?
Melbourne City has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Adelaide United won against Melbourne City?
Adelaide United has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne City - Adelaide United were as follows:
20.12.2024
Adelaide United
-
Melbourne City
1:3
18.02.2024
Melbourne City
-
Adelaide United
1:1
06.01.2024
Adelaide United
-
Melbourne City
0:5
29.01.2023
Melbourne City
-
Adelaide United
1:0
11.01.2023
Adelaide United
-
Melbourne City
0:3
Latest results of Melbourne City
Latest results of Adelaide United
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Melbourne Victory W (2) | Bye | |
| 2 | Adelaide W (3) | Western United W (6) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Melbourne City W (1) | Bye | |
| 4 | Central Coast Mariners W (4) | Canberra W (5) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Melbourne Victory W (2) | Adelaide W (3) | 3 : 1, 3 : 1 |
| 2 | Melbourne City W (1) | Central Coast Mariners W (4) | 0 : 1, 2 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Melbourne Victory W (2) | Central Coast Mariners W (4) | 1 : 2 |
