Result
0:0
18/03/2026 at 01:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A-League Women - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Channel 10, Paramount+ |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.21 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 61% (185/303) | 75% (314/421) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.21 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.22 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 61% (185/303) | 75% (314/421) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (17/52) | 40% (25/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 48% (41/86) | 65% (82/127) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (1/9) | 8% (1/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.27 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 34 | 37 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 76% (16/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 30 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.22 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 62', Condon E. ↓, Gooch L. ↑,
- 62', Morgan S. ↓, Holmes D. ↑,
- 70', Taranto A. 🟨,
- 71', Jackson D. ↓, Uchendu C. ↑,
- 78', Keane A. ↓, Butrus D. ↑,
- 79', McKenna L. ↓, Hughes L. ↑,
- 81', Taranto M. ↓, Zois P. ↑,
- 81', Healy E. ↓, Rossi C. ↑,
- 88', Dawber C. ↓, Hodgson I. ↑,
- 90+1', Henry B. ↓, Apostolakis A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Melbourne City
57% | Draw
22.5% | Adelaide United
20.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Melbourne City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Melbourne City's form might have worsened.Adelaide United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Adelaide United's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (+15.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Melbourne City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide United than the current prediction. (-8.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Adelaide United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Melbourne City - Adelaide United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.61 ↑
(1.31) |
4.08 ↓
(5.01) |
4.51 ↓
(7.06) |
8.7%
(10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Melbourne City - Adelaide United?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Melbourne City will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Adelaide United will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Melbourne City (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne City won 4.
- Melbourne City is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Adelaide United's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Melbourne City is the undisputed favorite.
- We predict that Melbourne City will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Melbourne City won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 28:11. (average 2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne City won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.7:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne City won against Adelaide United?
Melbourne City has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Adelaide United won against Melbourne City?
Adelaide United has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne City - Adelaide United were as follows:
31.01.2026
Adelaide United
-
Melbourne City
2:1
16.03.2025
Melbourne City
-
Adelaide United
4:3
20.12.2024
Adelaide United
-
Melbourne City
1:3
18.02.2024
Melbourne City
-
Adelaide United
1:1
06.01.2024
Adelaide United
-
Melbourne City
0:5
Latest results of Melbourne City
Latest results of Adelaide United
Australian A-League Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Melbourne City W ✔ | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 34:19 | 15 | 37 |
| 2 | Wellington Phoenix W | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 35:14 | 21 | 31 |
| 3 | Canberra W | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 29:22 | 7 | 30 |
| 4 | Adelaide W | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 23:21 | 2 | 30 |
| 5 | Melbourne Victory W | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25:22 | 3 | 25 |
| 6 | Brisbane Roar W | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 30:36 | -6 | 25 |
| 7 | Perth W | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 18:24 | -6 | 24 |
| 8 | Central Coast Mariners W | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 25:25 | 0 | 23 |
| 9 | Newcastle W | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 20 |
| 10 | WS Wanderers W | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 17:34 | -17 | 16 |
| 11 | Sydney W | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 16:28 | -12 | 15 |
Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Melbourne City W is Qualified for A~League Women (Play Offs Semi~finals)
